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Showing content with the highest reputation on 08/27/2019 in all areas

  1. As far as the stat about Duke being 2nd in % of carries to gain 10+ yards over the last 3 years, I decided to look more into that (and checked all 4 years of his career), to see if a high percentage of those 10+ yard runs were coming on 3rd and long situations. Spoiler Alert...they weren't. --2015: 7 carries of 10+ yards. 6 came on 1st or 2nd down. 1 came on 3rd down. (3rd and 18 and he gained 10 yards) --2016: 14 carries of 10+ yards. 11 came on 1st or 2nd down. 3 came on 3rd down. (3rd and 1 and he gained 16 yards; 3rd and 19 and he gained 16 yards; 3rd and 20 and he gained 11 yar
    8 points
  2. I'm biased. I think Damien Williams is going to ball this year. That being said I try to be pragmatic. DWILL balled out last year in his games. Yes, he hasn't proven he can handle the load. The rookie has looked good in preseason, which we all know doesn't mean much. He also has not proven he can handle the load. There's no proof that it will be a time share, because if it is, they both lose value. Andy Reid is known for running a cow. That's his history for the most part. DWILL got a 2 year deal, basically saying "prove it". He has every reason to prove i
    6 points
  3. Except for that inconvenient truth that Hopkins was garbage with Osweiler, while Adams was still a WR1 with Brett Hundley.
    6 points
  4. Always heartwarming when family decides to post here
    6 points
  5. Trey Quinn WR WSH as the last pick in all of my draft. Nobody talking about him. Primary slot receiver and Keenum is a slot slut, he is the QB who throws the most to the slot on average in the NFL
    5 points
  6. I looked up every one of the RB's you mentioned, to see how it worked out once these RB's were thrust into a full time role. To start, Cohen, White, Vereen & Gerhart never have been the lead RB to date, so we can eliminate all 4 of them from the discussion. Let's tackle the other 4 players... Dion Lewis --First 4 years of his career, his career-high in carries was 64. --Then in 2017, he was the lead RB, receiving 180 carries. --He put up a 180 - 896 (5.0 YPC) rushing line. He was the #13 RB in PPR (after being the #58 RB in ADP). Jerick McKinnon --First 2 years of his caree
    5 points
  7. I was nodding my head in agreement until I reached your last couple sentences. Jesus, relax. I don't have a dog in this fight. Just remember Damien killing it last year and don't see Darwin getting on the field much.
    5 points
  8. Good info. In looking at the comments on that Twitter post, I saw one person state these are "Biased stats..he was mostly in the game on passing downs. His yards per carry is high because of this". So I decided to look into that. Here are Duke's carries across his career... Rushing Receiving Receiving Passing Split Value Att Yds Y/A TD 1D Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD
    5 points
  9. Hall of fame talent? This is getting out of hand.
    5 points
  10. This guy is going to be special. I think it comes down to how well Garoppollo and the RB's and the OL can set up the passing plays for the 49ers. This will determine how well he will be able to do this season in my opinion.
    4 points
  11. Mike Davis is a guy with 4 years in the league. Cut by the first team after 2 years, then his second team let him walk. He averaged 2.85 ypc his first 3 years. Then "exploded" for 4.6 last year. But look under the hood. He had 25% of his carries and 28% of his yards in two games against Arizona, one of the worst run defenses in ages. And a season-long 37 yard run against the Rams, in third down prevent defense. Take out that run and the AZ games, and Davis averaged exactly 4 ypc. There's a reason the most run-heavy team in the league didn't keep him. They know he's JAG, easily replace
    4 points
  12. Lol. Recency bias is rampant in these forums. The Browns have turned it around recently but they have been the worst run for a long time. And it isn’t even close.
    4 points
  13. Technically he didnt play all the snaps
    4 points
  14. This is one of the dumbest statements I've seen and exactly why I hate fantasy football sometimes. People aren't capable of realizing how great a player is anymore unless it shows up in a boxscore or amounts to fantasy points. Luck was a can't miss prospect and lived up to the hype when he was on the field. Period. He took WAY more hits than any QB has to start his career and his body broke down, but that has nothing to do with his talent.
    4 points
  15. Less than Baez, Franmil, Hiura, Chavis, etc. Not optimal but when you are second in the league in Brls/PA %, I'm fine with it. Top 6: Cruz, Aquino, Gary, Yordan, Gallo, & Trout Other awesome stats: - 5th in Brls/BBE (barrels/batted ball events) - 4th most max exit velocity - Better MLB BB/K than his MiLB ratio An adjustment period will come but it's an amazing ride. - https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_leaderboard
    4 points
  16. They're artificially inflated by the exact same hot air as every other CoP back in the history of fantasy football. When <2 down back> comes off the field, and Duke Johnson comes on the field (with more career targets than rushes) defenses play the pass, and he's been able to take advantage of his opportunities when the play is actually a rush against a soft box. Not really his fault, just the nature of the game. This is extremely common of CoP backs throughout fantasy football, as are people who get overly excited about them being extremely effecient with limited touches, mov
    4 points
  17. I'm not fully understanding the hype here. I don't see Darwin getting any meaningful work unless Damien is out. Even then, Darrell still gets the bulk IMO, at least this year. Reid has very important guy under center. Is this guy just lighting it up or what?
    4 points
  18. I took a look at some clips of Penny, and I would never give him 25 touches a game. Not in 25 years. https://www.fieldgulls.com/2019/8/26/20833255/run-game-review-rashaad-penny-seattle-seahawks-against-los-angeles-chargers-between-tackles-space In most of the clips where he breaks off a big run, I see the following happen: - O-line forces a small gap - Penny doesn't see it or take it - Penny goes to the outside, gets in trouble - Penny forces his way out of it, sometimes with insane backtracking. Kudos for the last step, but that is a terrible, terrible strategy and a
    4 points
  19. 2018 ADP: 4th round 2019 ADP: free Therein lies the difference
    4 points
  20. Why is everyone sleeping on D-Will so hard. He is a big play threat in this offense for as long as he's healthy. I own both on the same team so no bias.
    4 points
  21. It's important to note that both Gordon and Zeke are still under contract (unlike when Bell held out), so they have to play this year (or retire). If they don't play, they will still have the same amount of years on their respective contracts in 2020 as they did to start 2019. And they will be a year older and made no money in 2019. Bell was in a unique situation where the franchise tag language was ambiguous regarding situations where the player didn't play the entire season. Bell would have had to be kept at a much higher franchise tag pay rate in 2019 (based on average top Q
    4 points
  22. Some of the worst rated lines block for some of the early round RBs and rookies. Mixon, Cook, Jacobs, Bell, K & D Johnson all have lines that are generally rated in the bottom 3rd. Does that factor into any of your drafting plans on those players? PFF https://www.pff.com/news/pro-nfl-offensive-line-rankings-all-32-teams-units-entering-2019 FantasyPros https://www.fantasypros.com/2019/07/offensive-line-rankings-and-fantasy-football-impact-2019/ NumberFire https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/26859/sannes-fantasy-football-offensive-line-ra
    4 points
  23. I'm more surprised than anything. CJ has been awful in preseason, isn't running well, and has been banged up with ankle injuries. Mark Thompson who was on the practice squad of the Ravens. Ty Johnson I get in the Riddick role. Zenner did well this preseason too, 5.1 YPC. CJ is getting 2.7. The Lions got rid of everyone but Kerryon from last year. That seems to be a curious move in itself. Zenner might have a shot considering how dire some of the RB situations are in the NFL.
    3 points
  24. You're right, I forgot. He caught 68 passes, 7th most of all RBs, and chipped in 55 carries for 4.7 ypc. Oh wait, that was Jalen Richard.
    3 points
  25. All sorts of posts today and I'm busy at work but add this to my post earlier about his size. Duke is the 11th highest paid RB, they also traded a 4th which could turn into a 3rd so they believe in him. Let's go to the all time leading rusher at the U.
    3 points
  26. Came to check in on @Sternes
    3 points
  27. The Cowboys made an offer (between Bell and Gurley), it got rejected, and now they just made another offer closer to Gurley. Sure looks like Zeke is the one with leverage. I smell a deal getting done soon, if this is how it is going. Cowboys appear to be caving.
    3 points
  28. I disagree. An owner puts in his time and is free to play through to the end no matter where he is in the standings. You pay your money\time, you have that right imo. As long as an owner is not doing something out of the ordinary (like picking up and then dropping top free agents just to mess up the waivers or dropping top players to the wire to mess things up), I have no problem with any owner playing his team through to the end. The teams in contention should expect nothing less and keep up with the news\free agents themselves and stop worrying about what other owners are up to imo.
    3 points
  29. But that’s my point. The Cowboys said otherwise about what they believe regarding the RB position when they drafted him #4.
    3 points
  30. Zeke (and all other rookies) have no choice when it comes to signing rookie contracts. It’s either sign or walk away. The Cowboys have Zeke locked down for 3 more years (including the team option) at well below market value. He’s not getting a mega contract at the end of 3 more years of 300+ carries. RBs are absolutely screwed with the current Rookie contract structure.
    3 points
  31. Let me get this straight. The Cowboys drafted Zeke with the 4th overall pick, Zeke performed accordingly (or arguably above expectations), and now they aren’t willing to pay him as the #1 RB? The only argument I see in the Cowboys favor is that he hasn’t played out his contract. But that doesn’t seem to be the sticking point here. It seems to just be the $ amount that they don’t want to pay him. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think any RB is worth $20 million. But the Cowboys made that bed when they drafted him at #4. Pay the man.
    3 points
  32. My mind is blown everytime i see a posters talk with absolute certainty that kids in their second or third year can't improve. These guys are 21 and 22 years old in most cases and are not a final product. /rant.
    3 points
  33. Imagine thinking a guy that is one of the best athletes on earth has no work ethic.
    3 points
  34. Except... He literally led the AFC in rushing yards last year while averaging 4.9 YPC on a 6-10 Bengals team. He's going to have the workload of a top fantasy RB, including passing game work, but you can get him in the 2nd round as potentially your RB2. Sure, his bad team limits his potential to be in the top 5-ish of running backs, but I'm not necessarily looking for that home run in the 2nd round, I think his floor is extremely safe.
    3 points
  35. https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/news/225862/ezekiel-elliott-offered-new-contract-close-to-gurley.php
    3 points
  36. Very logical and reasonable way to assess it. I will say, though...as someone who owned DJ last year, it sure didn't feel like he finished #9. He started 16 games so maybe his point total was #9, but I would rather have had a guy who scored less but started less and had a higher per game average. A guy like Nick Chubb or Marlon Mack was better for your team. DJ had a handful of good games and the rest of the time he was killing you as your first pick.
    3 points
  37. Never gonna happen. Penalties for failing to meet contract terms are defined and collectively bargained in the CBA. One does not draft a cuff to replicate the starters numbers. Merely an insurance policy for 70-80%- hopefully. Last season the Chargers produced a top 10 and a top 24 PPR back. They use their backs a lot and that’s not changing while old man Rivers is there. Can’t tell you which will end up more valuable...but for the price and where this MG3 situation sits I’ll gladly take a shot on the Chargers backups.
    3 points
  38. DJ definitely fits the bill of a first round pick bust this season, and there will be busts. I don’t think he has a single thing going for him. There is basically no reason to believe he will be a top RB this upcoming season. He is aging and past his prime, his team will likely suck, his line sucks. I’d take Chubb, Bell (who is also a major bust candidate), Cook, Mixon, Conner, Fournette, and Carson over him without a doubt. All of these guys are better or comparable talents at this stage of their careers and all have way better situations. things get murky with him are in the Jacobs/Kerryon/J
    3 points
  39. This is from an interview back before Training Camp even started. Nothing has changed.
    3 points
  40. Well said, except for the bolded. I think if you have Damien and don't cuff him with Darwin, you're making a mistake. But if you only own Darwin, having arguably the most valuable cuff in fantasy is well worthy of a bench spot.
    3 points
  41. 3rd round pick 73 guys a lock hall of famer! I like him too but the hype is getting a little out of control. I did 4 drafts this weekend. All PPR 12 teams 2 of them were superflex. 1.Jacobs-44 DMont-36 2.Jacobs-37 DMont-40 3.Jacobs-51 DMont-52 4.Jacobs-44 D.Mont-43 NFC- 69 drafts this weekend with sharper players then my 50-200 leagues Jacobs-34 D.Mont 43 Basically the hype with the more preseason results oriented players in my leagues have led players to actually drafting D.Mont over Jacobs on average. We still see the sharper players grabbing Jacobs
    3 points
  42. Jags fan here. If you have any questions, I'm happy to help if I can. I drafted Westbrook yesterday in my draft (obvious bias) but I'm also just expecting big things from him this year.
    3 points
  43. 1) He's never had to carry the load, so he's still unproven as a workhorse 2) He was in a pretty horrible backfield in Miami and never emerged, so why now? I think both are valid points and both have their counters (he hasn't had a chance yet which isn't his fault, Miami was a dumpster fire), but I think everyone would be all over Damien if he either started half the year last year or had shown signs of this in Miami. Now we have a rookie RB that can be had MUCH cheaper and has already worked his way up the depth chart over 2 guys in the preseason. I think they will both be so
    3 points
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