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Posts posted by Sternes

  1. I picked him up in a 16 team league where we play LF/CF/RF.  While there isn't much out there on the WW, I read this article which convinced me to pick him up.  I got lucky and paying dividends now.  I'm not sure how much it is a factor but it does give some reason for optimism outside of just "luck"  and "terrible Rangers pitching" which are both true at the moment. 




    Skweres’ most fascinating point, which has also been touched upon in a Royals Review article by Craig Brown, is Taylor’s transition from utilizing a big leg kick to an approach that now refrains from using a kick at all. Essentially, Taylor went from an approach that was more akin to the power approach of Anthony Rendon, who did come up in the Nationals Minor League system with Taylor, to one that was simpler and more refined over the past couple of seasons.

    While people should read the whole article, as Skweres utilizes analysis of GIFs in comparing Taylor and Rendon’s swings, here is a interesting tidbit that goes into more detail in regard to Taylor’s swing and approach transformation:

    In 2018, Taylor had a big leg kick and a big separation movement with his hands.  The movement with his hands reminded me of his teammate at the time, Anthony Rendon.  However, Rendon did (does) it with a very simple stride while Taylor did it with the leg kick….The problem is that Taylor swung-and-missed too much in 2018 (30.1% K% and 32.1% Whiff %).  He also chased out of the zone 28.8% of the time, 5.5% worse than his current mark.  His approach over the offseason from ‘18 & ‘19? Clearly to simplify.

    He not only eliminated the leg kick, but he totally eliminated his stride…

    However, Taylor actually got worse in 2019.  As stated earlier in the breakdown, he struck out 35% of the time in 2019, whiffed more than he ever had, and pulled the ball more than he ever had.  

    I think the struggles are mainly chalked up to a lengthy adjustment period.  As someone that’s gone through an adjustment period where I eliminated a leg kick in favor of a simple stride, it’s amazing how much more time you feel like you have, and it’s hard not to get out front and over the front side.

    “Michael A. Taylor: A Buy Low Option” by Grayson Skweres

    Skweres also goes into Taylor’s second season of his change, though like he mentioned before, there was an adjustment period, and he didn’t get a whole lot of at-bats to put his adjustments into action (he only played in 38 games in 2020):

    So what did Taylor do in 2020? More of the same, mostly, with a tiny bit more simplification.

    His front heel lift is less pronounced and more simple.  He has even less body movement, focusing on getting into hip coil.

    There’s less movement with his hands, and he finishes his load with them in a lower position than he did in 2018 & 2019.  

    He starts his load earlier in 2020 than he did in 2019.

    “Michael A. Taylor: A Buy Low Option” by Grayson Skweres

    As stated before, Skweres is not alone in this analysis as both Brown of Royals Review and Lewis of the Athletic also point this change out in their respective articles. And thus, Royals fans need to wonder: is Taylor on the verge of a breakout in 2021 offensively? After all, he has had less than 200 plate appearances with this new “approach”. If he gets anywhere from 400-500 plate appearances in 2021, could his new “swing” produce some tangible results as a Royal, with perhaps something close to his .271/.320/.486 line in 2017? (In which he accumulated 432 plate appearances in 118 games.)

    The advanced metrics seem to hint that Taylor is progressing offensively, as his K rate dropped from 35.1 percent in 2019 to 27.3 percent in 2020, and inversely, his barrel rate increased from 7.1 percent to 13.8 percent from 2019 to 2020, respectively. And thus, while Taylor may not be a .300 hitter or make Royals fans forget Lorenzo Cain or his offensive and defensive production anytime soon, there are plenty of signs that his new plate approach and swing could finally come to fruition in Kansas City, which would make his $1.75 million more than worth it for the Royals.


    • Like 1
  2. 5 hours ago, PhilFan said:

    They all have their merits(except Keller deal) to improve O.Really need more info like who steps right into starting slots.Reyes,Soler,and Ohtani all could be Ut. only under some settings.Do you get Ohtani P as well?I'll say follow gut on Biggio especially if Bell comparable to current 1B.Urshela deal looks good too if your set to compete now.Dozier appears set to add 3B to 1B and OF eligibility. but I am a little leery of both he and Reyes and fear at least one will be a whiff on your part.Duvall should be OK starting season but will platoon and some talented kids loom.

    My UT spot is open which would allow them to get in the lineup.   The only other players on roster that are good in the hitting department are Muncy, Happ, and of course Tatis.  The first two are eligible all over and will let me shuffle around lineups easily.  Ohtani is one player in my league.  My thinking was to get an upgrade for Baez who could play UT and hopefully another position AND another player to fill a roster spot. Baez is currently in the UT spot and unless he got 2B eligibility, he is stuck there.

  3. 16 team league. 6x6 H2H.  Dynasty, keep forever.  25 man roster 30 man minors.  Pitching is fine on my roster.  Hitting needs help.  I don't have much there and can pretty much shuffle guys into the lineup with my utility spot being pretty much vacant.  I have Tatis and Baez. Baez now locked into just SS is forcing me to move him.  Thoughts on these offers

    Gallo + Duvall

    Mitch Keller + Kyle Kopech

    Biggio + Josh Bell

    Urshela + Soler

    Ohtani + Austin Riley

    Franmil Reyes + Dozier


  4. My 2 cents on the thing, ignoring whether or not he should be in because I haven't taken a deep dive on the numbers, is that they should be judging the guy for ON the field stuff.  I really don't care about off the field.  This whole thing seems like a vendetta because they think they have the moral high ground and have an axe to grind. It rubs me the wrong way like it does with TO in NFL HOF.  TO should have been a 1st ballot HOF no contest.  Instead the media guys got back at him because of "off the field" and "locker room" angles.  A bunch of butthurt pricks getting their petty payback and in the end he skipped the HOF enshrinement to get the last laugh. 



  5. 2 hours ago, 2ndCitySox said:

    I didnt see it in the mlbtraderumors article (maybe I'm blind), but the players going back to COL are:

    Lefty Austin Gomber, righties Jake Woodford and Angel Rondon, first baseman Luken Baker, and outfielder Jhon Torres. 



    I read this before coffee as "Gorman".  I thought hmmm, 3B of the future for the 3B of the present.  2 sips later, and a few more brain cells activated and I'm in shock. This seems like they removed their top guys, then told Colorado to "close their eyes, grab a handful of names from this bag" type deal. Then a few years from now can claim they got FIVE, yes FIVE for Arenado!  When in reality


    • Like 1
  6. On 1/19/2021 at 10:35 PM, SuperJoint said:


    I don't BLAME Higgins for doing what he did. If he hadn't - he would have been roasted for that too.

    It's just that - you have one of the league's best backfields with Chubbles/Hunt. Pick one at the half yard line 1st and goal and you score. Hell have Baker take it in on a keeper.


      Picking up a 25 yard gain to put your team ato the GL and getting roasted for not reaching out with the ball? 



    You even said it yourself with Chubb/Hunt at the goalline.  I understand Higgins was trying to make a play, it just ended with the worst possible outcome like we have seen time and time before.

  7. On 11/22/2020 at 1:44 PM, The Dukester said:

    Hey Everyone, I will be embarking on my first real true dynasty league experience with a minor league draft and prospect roster spots. Did a Keeper League a number years back but not to the degree this will be. Am wondering what are the best resources to turn to for quality info and reviews on the minor league prospects. Do folk go so far as to monitor even high school prospects? Thanks for any suggestions in advance.


    How many teams in your league, and how many players do you get to have on your minors roster?   This will largely dictate how far down the rabbit hole you have to go.

  8. 9 hours ago, dan said:

    So, if a player has had ANY time in the majors and/or "are expected to be in the starting lineup on their MLB team" than they shouldn't be considered prospects. 


    8 hours ago, ThreadKiller said:

    But then the list because too subjective and each source is likely to have different names involved. My opinion is there should be some sort of established perimeters, not just randomly up to the source.


    I agree with both these points as well.  I'd be fine with some sort of cutoff.  I do also agree with BBT on this one; that the lists smack of laziness.  Take my Tigers for instance.  Who considers Mize and Skubal prospects?  They were in the rotation last year.  They got the 3rd and 4th most innings of any starters.  Their positions are not being challenged by FA or other prospects in minors coming up.  They are expected to start the season in the rotation.  Yes, "technically" they are still in the minors in my fantasy league.  If I was paying for or thumbing through a magazine at a store and saw those guys on the pages I'd want my money back or put it down.  What possible insight are these guys providing me with my money when I can read the list and know 10 of them are already in the majors permanently?  I'm not even an avid prospects guy.

    Manning on the other hand hasn't been called up. He is expected to start in the minors AFAIK, should eventually be called up this year at some point even if it is just for coffee, and should be on the list.

    • Like 1
  9. 5 hours ago, dan said:

    I'm curious, where would you draw the line? 5 ip or 10 ab? 


    Well in this case all the names he mentioned, at least at a glance, are expected to be in the starting lineup on their MLB team.  That sort of takes away from them being prospects (aside from technicalities) when we know they have already been called up.

    • Like 1
  10. On 1/20/2021 at 1:11 PM, goke said:



    You clearly don't watch the games...the difference between Lamar and other elite QBs is a WR1...its that simple


    I watch plenty of the games. Think what you want.  Lamar is an elite rusher, but he isn't an elite QB.  His supporting cast needs to be improved but their is a blueprint to beat him which is becoming more and more obvious.

    • Thanks 1
  11. Rule doesn't bother me.

    Everyone knows it.

    I don't know why players keep reaching out with the ball like that and they know the rule too.  The exception would be if it is 4th down, 2XP, game on the line with no time left.  Go ahead and reach for it.

    We see this happen numerous times each year and pretty much every time the player has the ball in a compromising player rather than tucked in like normal.

    • Like 1
  12. On 1/18/2021 at 12:18 AM, Deuce1042 said:


    There's such an anti-Lamar sentiment on this forum that people don't even understand how important he is to whether their offense can consistently function. More so than the average QB. I would like anyone on this website to name a single Ravens game in 2.5 years that one of their RBs had a good day rushing and Lamar didn't. The only one I can think of is the Dolphins game in 2019 (his perfect passer rating game). Other than that you can't find one. Not a single one. 


    And Baltimore only throws the ball 25 times a game (last year 27). There just isn't much room for error when you throw the ball that few times, so he basically has to be near perfect. A good Lamar Jackson game is going 17/25 for 220 yards and 2 TDs, and if it's a really good team he probably has to add 15 carries for 120 yards too. Their offense is too dependent on him. They really need to address the interior offensive line. The issues at center with the snap are unprofessional. They're terrible at right guard. They also really need a primary receiver who is a good route runner at all three levels and has proven experience. 


    Baltimore's offense is more scheme over talent and even that has a ceiling. It's the cheapest and one of the youngest offenses in the NFL. Whatever this website thinks Lamar Jackson should be wouldn't fix their offense that much. He'd complete about 3 or 4 more balls in a given game that he otherwise wouldn't. Just not enough attempts. He still needs to work on his footwork and emphasize all off season getting the ball out on time. Deshaun Watson had this problem too where he held on to the ball too long waiting for stuff to develop. Interceptions throwing into tight windows in the red zone happen. Just sucks for him it happened when it did. Aaron Rodgers should've gotten picked off twice yesterday. 


    The offense was built around his ability to run, not pass.  That is why it is having rapidly diminishing returns.  He had 2 carries for 3 yards vs Cincy this year.  I don't even care about that point, but you stated there wasn't another game.

    Plus, it is easy for Lamar to pad rushing stats late even in a losing effort. 

    Yes, they need to address their line.  Yes, he needs better receivers.  And finally, YES, he needs to throw better.  If you think Jackson is a good passing QB right now based off of his stats, I would highly recommend watching him live.  Most of the passing isn't pretty, his reading of the progressions isn't happening, and he despite being a dynamic runner he doesn't use it to open up his passing game. 

  13. On 1/18/2021 at 6:30 PM, goke said:

    Some of you guys are exposing yourselves...there's a difference between watching the games and box score


    Lamar is an accurate passer but is inconsistent due to the lack weapons on the perimeter. Once he has a legit WR1 things should change. Allen/Mahomes/Kyler/Herbert/Watson...pretty much any QB would have limitations with the Ravens offense.


    Lamar isn't an accurate passer. That is one of his problems. Don't quote me his completion percentage.

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