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Posts posted by meh2

  1. 1 hour ago, ST. STEVEN said:

    Streak of 22 IP without allowing a run ended, but still a 'quality start' last night. Mixed up his arsenal some last night and stayed with mostly firm offerings.

    Really hope to see more of the change and curve, both are really good pitches. He still got plenty of strikes and whiffs with all 5 of his pitches, in total 17 called strikes and 13 swinging strikes, picking up the cutter (and ditching the SL) has really changed his fortunes for the better...it looks like a plus offering.

    2 starts next week; @MIN and then home against LAA...

    He’s entered my circle of trust and I plan on starting him in most matchups unless something changes. I’ve been really impressed with his development this year and he’ll be a guy I’ll be targeting heavily next year.

  2. 11 minutes ago, Fbaseballgod said:

    Lots of complaining for a guy with a 3.09 ERA tbf

    Eh, I can appreciate some degree of complaining here. He’s gone from a consistent, dependable SP 2/3 pre-sticky stuff crackdown to an inconsistent whip-killing SP 5/6 post-SSC. I choose to direct my complaining toward Manfred.

  3. 21 minutes ago, secretagentman said:

    Except everyone would know if he comes back after 10 days that it was fake. 

    Rodon is a free agent after this year. The only thing standing between him and a massive payday is his significant injury history. He’s already had shoulder surgery in 2017 and Tommy John surgery in 2019. If the White Sox wanted to limit his innings and throw him on the IL for a brief break they’d have to get permission from both the player and player’s agent. Do you really think they’d say “yes, just go ahead and throw me on the IL with a shoulder issue.” How exactly would Rodon explain that to potential suitors in the offseason negotiations? Do you really think the White Sox would corroborate that story and expose themselves to violating the rules?

    Phantom IL stints probably do happen. But my point is if the pitcher would ever agree to it, the reason would never be anything arm-related. If a pitcher goes on the IL with anything arm-related it’s a safe bet that’s it’s not a phantom injury.

    • Like 2
  4. Save opp coming for the Rays in the 9th. I wonder who their super computer is going to tab? It’s time for their proprietary algorithm to get to work!

    Edit: Nevermind, not a save opp. Control, alt, delete!

    • Haha 1
  5. Big test coming up this week for Adell. After facing Matz tomorrow, he’s got Manoah, Berrios, Greinke, Garcia, and McCullers. I’ve liked what I’ve seen out of him thus far and think he could be a top 30 outfielder the rest of the way if he can hold his own against these guys.

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  6. 10 minutes ago, MonsterMan said:

    On the IL with shoulder fatigue, but is expected to miss only one start, so we could see him back in the rotation after his 10 days is up,  Any reason not to believe this?

    I haven’t seen any recent updates. He’s a fairly risky start this week given the uncertainty so I’ll be checking my benches to find a replacement.

  7. 1 minute ago, AnonymousRob said:

    Oh boy, surely this time will be different and I can invest in the Cincinnati bullpen without it blowing up in my face.

    Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me three times, shame on David Bell?

    Oh well, I have a somewhat optimistic feeling about Lorenzen and may be rolling him out in weekly leagues this week barring anything disastrous happening tonight or tomorrow.

    • Like 1
  8. Still just playing catch from 90 feet. I own several shares of Bieber but I think I’m about ready to cut bait. He’s still got to progress to throwing from a mound, face live hitters, and then go on a rehab assignment which will probably require at least 3 starts. There’s only 8 weeks left in the season so best case scenario we’re looking at a couple weeks of Biebs on a pitch count.
    In terms of potential outcomes this year I’d say throwing zero innings is far more likely than throwing over 20 innings. He’d be an easy hold if you have an open IL spot but in leagues without them he’s taking up a valuable bench spot. Has anyone dropped in a redraft league yet?


  9. 2 hours ago, StevieStats said:

    From June 15 - July 31 he hit .227 Avg/.316 OBP/.328 SLG/.633 OPS, 14 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI... with a .314 BABIP... That's a bad slump.

    Interestingly, he's been quite unlucky during that time period if you're inclined to place merit in expected statistics. From June 15th to the present he's got the biggest discrepancy in SLG vs xSLG (min 300 pitches) by a rather significant margin. We all know he's a streaky hitter. As long as his k rate remains stable I'm going to leave him in my lineup and wait for the next hot streak. His next 9 games (3 vs KC, 3 @ Pitt, 3 @ KC) are pretty juicy so I wouldn't be surprised if that heater happens soon.


    Pitch %
    SLG - xSLG
    chart_curve.png   disk.png   database_link.png
    289 641933.png O'Neill, Tyler 593 593 100.0 -.153
    288 543543.png Miller, Brad 347 347 100.0 -.135
    287 642727.png Alcántara, Sergio 309 309 100.0 -.123
    286 502671.png Goldschmidt, Paul 761 761 100.0 -.107
    285 624585.png Soler, Jorge 585 585 100.0 -.104
    284 656555.png Hoskins, Rhys 709 709 100.0 -.099
    283 650859.png Rengifo, Luis 320 320 100.0 -.093
    281 519390.png Vogt, Stephen 363 363 100.0 -.091
  10. I’ve spent way too much time analyzing this Reds’ bullpen this season but here’s how I see it:

    Lorenzen is the best bet going forward. He’s sitting 96-98 with his 4 seamer, throwing a hard cutter 91-93 with good movement, and he has a decent changeup that should keep lefties honest.

    We all knew Hembree was likely to implode and he has 2 major flaws that’ll keep him from being a successful closer - he’s wild and he can’t get lefties out (.394 wOBA on the year).

    Givens might be in the mix but we’ve all seen what happens to him in the closer role. 

    Sims and Antone are due back soon but they’re both coming off arm injuries and there are very real concerns about what they are without the sticky stuff. 

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