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Posts posted by BigPapi44

  1. There is consistent playing time and he might be making adjustments.  Whatever it is, he looks dialed in much like he did in ST.  Again, not every prospect has a linear development curve.  Now that he is playing pretty much everyday perhaps things are slowing down for him and he's figuring it out.

  2. 49 minutes ago, BigPapi44 said:

    Lux has hit another homer tonight, that's 4 games in a row. He's now hitting over .500 in 14 AAA games.  Albeit a small sample, that is still absurd how quickly he has adjusted.

    LOL, he just hit ANOTHER. 2 more dongs tonight with a BB and 5 RBIs.

  3. 6 minutes ago, Maxcd99 said:

    I recognize this is from a month ago but still find it to be an interesting thought.

    I feel that Age v Level is much more valuable on hitters than pitchers since pitchers can have things click pretty much whenever. Personally I think I'm a bit better at finding upside hitters than pitchers, mostly because it could very well be easier, but one mold of pitchers I typically analyze and am high on are pitchers with big frames and strong FBs.

    What do Joey Lucceshi, Damon Jones, Joey Cantillo, Michael Kopech, and Nate Pearson all have in common? All five of them are 6'4" or taller (except Kopech) with average or plus FBs that to some degree or another were overlooked during their career for them being risky. Kopech and Pearson were late first rounders that have soared into T-100s after pitching well, Cantillo is conservatively a top 150-200 guy right now after being a 16th rounder, Lucceshi is a 5th rounder that now has had a solid start to his MLB career, and the book is still out on Jones, who was an 18th round pick. 

    The difference with Jones and some of the others is that he's 24. I mentioned Cantillo and he's only 19. Jones was only drafted in 2017 and while he had a mediocre pro debut, he turned things around in 2018 and is watching his hype grow after outperforming expectations this season.


    Even if Jones flames out, I guess my point is that these big build high velocity fast ball guys get a lot of hype and even if they are volatile assets as major leaguers, I feel that most owners looking in this thread can get value from just flipping these types of guys before their debut if the hype gets big enough. That alone, the flipping potential, justifies the pick up.

    This was exactly my point in the Spencer Howard thread.  If there is a concern about the guy, use the hype and leverage for something you can use and is more 'trusted'.  Bird in the hand....

    Sure, there are going to be guys that do go on to have successful MLB careers, maybe even studs, but for everyone of those there are countless others that will flame out or not come up and immediately dominate.  In Fantasy, unless you have deep rosters that can tolerate the headaches of young pitchers let them be someone else's issue and take a really good piece, or a trusted piece if you can get it, imo, over that headache.

  4. Brennan Davis is the highest I've seen him ranked, but I think by year's end it will be justified.  He's still flying under the radar, but has monster tools and has the ability to hit for high average and his k/bb ratios are also really good.  

    • Like 1
  5. 17 minutes ago, hoops886 said:

    What is the reason for him not being rated higher on prospect lists?

    Some lists, like BA and Fangraphs, factor defensive value.  A guy like Diaz is limited to 2B, so that knocks him down for some.  And as mentioned, he was a highly touted guy a few years back, but struggled with high K rates so there was question on whether his hit tool would ever develop.  PCL power numbers aside, his improved strike zone is what I take most from his improvement this year.

    • Like 1
  6. 3-5 2B, HR.  Hopefully the Marlins can find Castro a new home so they can get this kid up already.  Most importantly, he has cut his K rate this year and it has been holding steady and his LHP/RHP splits are great.

    • Like 4
  7. On 7/11/2019 at 7:44 PM, BigPapi44 said:

    And further to FM's point, if his stock goes up and that's how you feel then you deal him for someone you feel more confident about or as a piece to get a big league asset to compete.

    5 no hit innings today. Final line: 5IP, 0hits, 0ER, 1BB, 7Ks.  Kid's stock is going to go up pretty quickly if he keeps this up, better jump on the train before it's too late.

    • Like 1
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