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Backdoor Slider

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Posts posted by Backdoor Slider

  1. 52 minutes ago, tonycpsu said:

    There's nuance to this quarantine discussion that's being lost here.  Cuomo had spoken to POTUS minutes before the idea of a quarantine was announced, and, according to Cuomo, nothing about a quarantine was mentioned.  Furthermore, nothing was actually said about what specifically such a quarantine would entail.  NYC is already locked down to a significant and unprecedented degree, and ratcheting things up would, as indicated above, have non-trivial consequences elsewhere.

    Given POTUS's... shall we say, inconsistent approach to policy around COVID-19, and given that Cuomo had just talked to him and nothing about quarantine was mentioned, and given that our political system has much stricter limits on what the feds can do to supersede state and local laws than a country like China does, can anyone blame him for not being enthusiastic about an unknown set of restrictions being imposed by a government that had to be begged to take the threat seriously from the start?

    Maybe we're at the point where NYC and the tri-state area have to ratchet up restrictions some more, but the idea of that coming from the federal level in this environment seems like a recipe for hundreds of thousands of panicked New Yorkers simultaneously clogging the interstates.  If that's to be done, it needs to be done by state and local officials who know the lay of the land and can target the restrictions without adding to the harm.

    I don’t think that nuance is lost. I think it’s convenient that those who wanted to the federal government to act swiftly and make decisions are now suggesting maybe it’s best left to state and local municipalities. 

    • Like 1
  2. Cuomo apparently hasn’t paid attention to how the spread of disease was slowed in China. 
     

    New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo has warned against a quarantine of “hot spots” that President Donald Trump floated on Saturday, saying it would be nothing short of a “federal declaration of war” that would pit state authorities against the federal government.

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/president-trump-considering-enforced-quarantine-173412170.html

    • Like 2
  3. 3 minutes ago, My Dinner With Andre said:

    Gordon Beckham and Brett Lawrie.

     

    Fluky rookie years + attractive position eligibility = huge losses on investment

     

    Their ADPs in subsequent seasons never even came close to the picks I wasted on them.

    I actually kept Jesus Montero one year in my keeper league. 🥴

  4. 30 minutes ago, brockpapersizer said:

     

    I think we finally got most of the people to agree that there’s not fear-mongering going on, then you post this 😂

    I like Dan a lot, but this is a pretty ridiculous thing to tweet/say. There will be empty stadiums, if need be. The likelihood of this lasting 2-3 years with no vaccine, AND MLB not adjusting doing anything, is infinitesimally small it’s really not worth discussing. In fact I don’t think the odds of this are > 0. 

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 2
  5. 16 minutes ago, The Big Bat Theory said:

    I didn't mean it that way.  I meant that everyone is in the same boat so it remains a level playing field and cream rises to the top.  Also mixed metaphors thrown in for free.  🙃

    Yeah, but some are affected differently than others. And at different times in their career. My thought had led me to look into other players. We all know Ted Williams, Hank Greenberg, Christy Mathewson stories of the war. I found Cecil Travis. A 27 year-old SS who led the league in hits and hit .359 his final season before the war. Was an all-star 3 of previous 4 seasons, and got MVP votes 4 of the previous 5. By all accounts he was headed to the HOF. 
    Then he missed the next 3 seasons for the war. Returned at age 31, wasn’t the same player (obviously), and didn’t make the Hall. 
    These are the guys I’m talking about. Again, I know not the end of the world in the grand scheme of things. 

  6. So certainly minor on the scale of importance right now, but thinking of some of the players and how this affects their legacy. Remembering that Fred McGriff finished with 493 HRs, 7 short of the “magic number” that likely would’ve made  him a lock for the voters. And really it was the strike/lockout that cost him. There are guys right around 30 that could probably use one more peak season on their resume. A guy like Altuve comes to mind. He may miss out on that opportunity.

    Then the young stars, Soto, Acuña, etc. How much will they miss out on “the youngest player to ever do ________.” Or simply doing their own resume building.

    This sucks for a lot of reasons, but I feel for the guys who put everything into this, and how losing this season could affect how they’re remembered. 

  7. 11 minutes ago, 6Kill said:

    Can't argue with you really on either point.  Banking on huge upside out of these two.  Don't feel terrible about either of their floors though.  And where these two are rather risky picks, I think Albies and Harper are rather safe picks to balance my team out a bit.

    The thing about JRam that is great is that even when he’s struggling, he keeps running. He’ll hit some HRs. His floor is great for those reasons. 

    • Like 1
  8. 26 minutes ago, JE7HorseGod said:

    Well...particularly in an OBP league, the idea of getting someone who hasn't gotten on base at less than a .353 clip in six years, has slugged above .500 three out of the past 4 years as a position widely bereft of power, I'd feel safe with that guy in the slot.

    My general position when dealing with scarcity is to identify the last guy I feel comfortable with rather than first...so I won't be owning either.

    But with Altuve's track record...I think you could make worse picks where he's going.  JMO.

    I will admit some of this is my own personal bias. I have a tendency to shy away from guys once they reach age 30 and appear to be on the downside. And definitely wasn’t taking OBP into account for this particular draft.

    • Like 1
  9. 2 minutes ago, JE7HorseGod said:

    Altuve and Realmuto are the ultimate "scarcity" picks IMO.

    You pay for the safety of a position which gets disastrous very quickly.  There are ways of mitigating that I think, but if you want to avoid the crapshoot I get it.

    Realmuto- yes. The clear 1 at C. Altuve doesn’t fall into that category for me. At all. Safe floor I suppose, but not an almost guaranteed top 3 at position, like Realmuto is.

    • Like 1
  10. 4 minutes ago, 89Topps said:

     

    Without checking, wasn't JoRam on fire the first half of 2018, then fell apart the 2nd half?  Then awful start to 2019 before catching fire again in the 2nd half?

    I'm high on JoRam, as he went back to what was working in the 2nd half of last year.  I'm a little concerned he changed his approach for essentially an entire season though.

    Career splits-

    April .251
    May .263. 
    June .281
    July .309.  
    Aug .283.  
    Sep/Oct .292

    Obviously there’s more to it than just average, but he clearly warms up as the season progresses.

     

  11. 8 minutes ago, 6Kill said:

    1-10 JRam - thought about going Story here but didn’t want to risk losing José in the next 4 picks. I’ve gotten JRam on all 5 of my money leagues (2nd round in all of them). This mock has more sharps in it than any money league I’ve done though so I thought it was very probable had I took Story in the first that JRam would’ve been taken by the time my 2-15 pick came around. Think there’s a very good chance JRam puts up top 5 numbers this year in avg AND obp leagues.

     

    2-15 Harper - BC took Story so I felt that Bryce was the best OBP option on the board at this time and didn’t feel like anyone else was close. Should return at least first round value in OBP leagues. 
     

    3-34 Albies - Second base is super thin this year so I wanted to grab one of the top options at the position.  Find myself drafting Ozzie in more leagues than not this year-  won’t hurt you in any category, and will improve his SB numbers this year IMO. 
     

    4-39 Meadows - Another solid 5 category contributor.  Love guys like him that contribute in all cats. Slight bump up in my OBP rankings. 

     

    5-58 Yu - Needed a SP at this point and I feel that Darvish has a good shot to be a bonafide ace this year. Looks like he solved his control issue halfway through last year and was super dominant after he did. Upside central.

     

    6-63 Hoskins - Should be really strong in an OBP league.  Most projections have him hitting 30/90/90 and where he’s a liability in the AVG category he’s actually an asset in the OBP cat.

     

    7-82 Yates - I haven’t jumped on a RP this early in any of my money drafts thus far but I feel like I had to switch up my strategy with so many good starting pitchers gone.  Wouldn’t be surprised if he was the top closer at years end.

    JRam- Any thought go into his early season struggles? His worst months are generally April and May (I’ve owned him in a keeper). Maybe it’s weather, but if he’s slow out of the gate and he only has two months to correct instead of 4, well...

    I’m not sure what to think of Yu. You could be right, but he’s older and what we saw was a SSS. Huge boom or bust pick imo

  12. 9 minutes ago, JE7HorseGod said:

    Sure.

    1.11 - Nolan Arenado (3B)

    2.2 - Freddie Freeman (1B)

    3.11 - Patrick Corbin (P)

    4.2 - George Springer (OF)

    5.11 - Manny Machado (SS)

    6.2 - Nelson Cruz (UTL)

    7.11 - Zack Wheeler (P)

    8.2 - Jeff McNeil (2B)

    I struggled with Wheeler and Springer, but I think I did well with Cruz and McNeil.  It's a 6x6 with OBP and Holds.

    Agree with your assessment. And even Springer I think is solid at that spot. 
    Wheeler...man I’ve fallen for that one before. Good luck haha.

    • Like 1
  13. 3 minutes ago, Dark Kn19ht said:
    OF Mike Trout - LAA 1 3 3 LS
    UT Yordan Alvarez - HOU 2 10 22 LS
    P Shane Bieber - CLE 3 3 27 LS
    P Luis Castillo - CIN 4 10 46 LS
    OF Luis Robert (R) - CHW 5 3 51 LS
    1B Paul Goldschmidt - STL 6 10 70 LS
    P Josh Hader - MIL 7 3 75 LS

    My first 7 picks. Took Robert early as I had a long time between pics after that and knew he wouldn't be coming back to me. Goldschmidt was like one of the 3 last solid 1B. It was starting to get thin at the position so I felt I needed to take him. Don't quite love the selection. With getting Bieber and Castillo felt like going Hader to start the RP early since the SP start was good. Surprised Alvarez was still there in the OBP mock starting out with 2 +.400 OBP guys is pretty great, IMO.

    Yeah 1B is unusually thin. Lots of meh picks. You don’t love taking Goldy, but it’ll end up working out I’m sure.

    Love your pitchers, and love grabbing Hader there. Many underestimate how much an elite RP helps with ratios. Another elite RP and it’s like adding a top 10 SP. 

    If Yordan is more of a .370 OBP guy (as most projections suggest), do you still take him there? I’m a little hesitant on taking a DH early unless he’s truly elite.

  14. 13 minutes ago, JE7HorseGod said:

    We've been talking in the draft room about how we're looking forward to feedback in the forum.

    Would love to see some of you post your team through first 7 rounds here, and maybe even picks you struggled with. Might elicit more feedback. 🤷🏽‍♂️

    • Like 1
  15. @meh2 

    I’m not high on Altuve this season.  Nothing to do with the cheating, more age, lack of SBs, etc. You grabbed him and started the run on 2B. Gleyber, Ozzie, Katel, Hiura all followed. You could’ve had Hiura certainly a round later, and possibly Katel (if you don’t take Altuve).

    Looking back, would you rather have someone else plus Hiura instead of Altuve plus A.Rizzo?

  16. 1 minute ago, AJdude said:

    There needs to be summer school and Saturdays to make up this time.  There could be no better lesson to teach our kids in grit and responsibility than by doing that.  I'd abandon any pretense of distance learning and video learning at this point and advocate for school in July and six days a week whenever the most stringent social distancing rules are loosened.

    At this point the online learning is “extension” learning that is simply to keep the kids active and engaged, and the parents sane. 
    I am not sure what will happen, but what’s ultimately decided will be a political decision made between government officials and school districts/unions. 
    So I won’t abandon anything I think can benefit my students, as I have no idea what will happen next month, let alone this summer. 

    • Like 2
  17. 1 minute ago, JCD said:

     

    This thread is about corona virus right?
    And the link is about MLB games in London in June.
    Still nothing?

    Well, the answer is that those games just got cancelled, because of the virus epidemic, as predicted.

    Thanks. These words help convey your meaning. Because you click on the link and it says “to buy tickets now.” So yeah, was a little confused as to what you were attempting to say.

  18. 10 minutes ago, TrueToTheBlue said:

     

    Dude, I’m not trying to be mean when I say this, but you are completely out of touch with reality. 

     

    This is a very, very serious situation. Look at the projections, which are now being supported by the trends. The US cases right now are increasing faster than any other country in the world. The healthcare system is still holding on by a thread but it will be overwhelmed in parts of the country soon - and when that happens things will get really bad in those areas. 

     

    These are facts, not conspiracy theories. Everyone needs to practice social distancing to flatten the curve. I just don’t get how some people can see what’s going on, read the firsthand reports, see the statistics and projections - and still not take this seriously or think it’s some kind of political conspiracy. Makes no sense at all to me.

    I think part of it, unfortunately, is the media itself. They have spent years (ALL of them) pushing agendas, using hyperbole/panic/sky is falling to sell. They’re a business. They’re paid by clicks. And it’s what sells. So as this headed our way, there was reluctance (even from myself) to not believe this was any different than the fear they’ve sold in the past. 
    That said, the conspiracy-ish theory of it all is too much, and something I don’t quite get. Everyone should now realize the enormity of this, and grasp that IF we’re able to keep death rates down, it’s due to the unprecedented shut down of the country which makes it happen. 
    I’m in Michigan. There have been 3 or 4 Detroit police officers to die already, and over 100 more are quarantined. Anyone, at this point, who doesn’t recognize the gravity of this simply isn’t paying attention. 

    • Like 6
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