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Everything posted by oswald737

  1. Man, baseball economics aren’t pretty. Have to pay money to trade an elite player.
  2. I'd view this as a (likely unsuccessful) buying opportunity.
  3. CBS does a fair bit of content on points leagues and typically does different rankings.
  4. I personally listen to: Rates and Barrels (DVR and Eno) Sleeper and the Bust Pitcher List (when they focus on... pitching) Batflip Crazy (not as frequent) The Athletic Fantasy Baseball The top 2 are basically every episode listens. If I run out of content, I will listen to CBS Fantasy baseball, they are a lot more basic, but they do a lot, so they are sort of old faithful.
  5. I was adamant that Lindor was a glove only SS that wasn't worth a FAAB bid.
  6. Actually, you are correct. I re-ran the report for all PA for lead off hitters: Boston 701 (2nd in MLB to ATL). LAD: 692 (7th). Interestingly, for all lead off hitters, Boston had 144 PA (6th in MLB) with runners in scoring position. LAD had 148 (2nd in MLB). That would suggest that Mookie would see very team specific opportunity difference. Parks will still matter (NL West parks generally are worse for hitting vs. AL East parks).
  7. Actually Acuna only led off 118 games (78 RBI) and hit 4th for 36 games (21 RBI). It doesn't change your overall point because if you extrapolate the lead off numbers over the same total games, he actually finishes at 103. Yes, Acuna was slightly more efficient driving in runs from the 1 spot than he was 4. SSS, but it sort of furthers the point that lead off could still yield a solid RBI total. I just messed around with the Fangraphs Splits Tool: Joc Pederson had 94 PA with Runners in Scoring Position in 107 games leading off in 2019. Mookie Betts had 93 PA with Runners in Scor
  8. Remember, this isn't intended to be a specifically fantasy list. There are a lot of guys getting defensive bumps on this list that are totally irrelevant for our considerations.
  9. While I generally don’t mind colorful commentary, this isn’t the place for it. If you want to drop condolences, go for it. If you have something disrespectful to say, don’t say it here. Have no issue dropping the hammer from this point on.
  10. oswald737


    Generally speaking, take the best player available regardless of proximity imo. Even if you are ready to compete in 1-3 years, you could theoretically deal Dominguez to get immediately better. By that point, you may not want to, but its better to have the more premiere asset regardless.
  11. Based on Passan's tweet, Robert will start the season in Chicago. Aggressive.
  12. Reminder: League specific Add/Drop Questions belong in the A/C forum, not player outlooks.
  13. You’ll get a lot of answers to this... but here’s the rub. If you believe in Chubb enough to pick him where he’s going (late first, early second), that’s because you think he’s going to be a monster who makes it impossible for Hunt to take a huge (greater than 30-35%) of the job. If that’a true, it’s a really costly hedge to want to take Hunt where you need to take him (9th round?, 8th round?). I’d sooner not have to hold Hunt with Chubb for 8 useless weeks (including Chubb’s and other byes) and take a Hill, Thompson, Singletary type in the same spot. My 2 cents.
  14. By all accounts he’ll have a huge chunk of the job to start the season since Guice hasn’t had much run. They’ll want Guice to play, but AD is playing for retirement money, so Guice is going to need to take the job from a hungry all time great. I honestly don’t expect he will for a while, if at all.
  15. He can’t rejoin team officially till tomorrow and has clinical benchmarks before cleared to play games, but those are largely administrative based on the articles I have seen. Expectation is that if all goes well, he’ll ramp up over this week and perhaps be eligible (though team decision pending) for preseason week 3.
  16. I think this is right. Generally speaking, less offensive talent is a mixed for a player. Less competition... Less offensive production overall (first downs, time of possession, plays, scores, etc). Someone tweeted out Mixon's production with and without AJG this weekend and it basically was the same... about 5% lower without Green.
  17. I'm also not sure there isn't a difference in stolen base upside between Madrigal and Edwards. Edwards has had a higher B% and OBP over his minor league career to date. Madrigal's OBP has been in the .350 area whereas Edwards has generally been at or above .400 most of the way. Still both are very small sample sizes, but when the calling card is speed, being on base means opportunity and Edwards has shown more ability at a younger age to get on base at an exceedingly high clip. Saw someone mention Billy Hamilton earlier.... Hamilton never showed the ability to hit OR walk like Edwards (or
  18. Ok, this Keith Law discussion is clearly off topic. Let's get back to a discussion of these rankings por favor.
  19. Certainly plausible. I was inferring more of the limit then the expectation. That said, the Dodgers have been fortunate to have cost effective starting pitching depth largely because of Stripling and Urias staying cheap. That is a hard thing to maintain. Ryu is a free agent who will likely be coming off a career year as a Boras client. Maeda is almost perma-capped by his contract, struggles against lefties, and struggles third time through a line-up. I think they'll still be extremely cautious with Urias as you've noted, but I don't know that the Dodgers maintaining 6 effective starters s
  20. Not completely lifted I don't think. I would expect next year that we're talking 150-170. Given the landscape of the modern starting pitcher... that's not that far off, but I definitely don't expect Urias to go from 100-120 this year to 180 next season.
  21. I think we're currently start to start. He needs to have a good outing next time out or he's going back to the minors or to the bullpen.
  22. I will point out that TJ before the last 3-4 years was treated as a 12 month recovery. Since teams have moved it to a 15-18 month recovery, the results have been much better. Several guys have come back off TJ and been better than they were. Lamet is definitely a lottery ticket, but I think the environment (SD) and his stuff make him extremely intriguing as a streamer almost immediately.
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