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Everything posted by Whizzinator

  1. I'm guessing both. I do think he'll mix and match, but Karinchak has always been the best pitcher in that pen and it seems hard to avoid him closing now, even if it's not a 100% gig.
  2. I cut Trivino the other day in my 12T---mixed recent performance, sense that Diekman was the primary closer, and good waiver options all made it a fairly easy call in the end. If I were desparate for saves I might have held another couple days---but also not sure that he's any more likely than Hudson or Fulmer to get (say) 5 saves in the next month and they are both on the wire. And I am not sure he's a better bet on ratios either. So to me, he was more fungible than the guy I picked up. As in all such situations, YMMV
  3. Diekman in for Oakland in 9th for save. But two on one out, he's not looking great. Lineup was lefty/right/right so not a platoon play. Trivino last pitched on 8th, so not a workload thing.
  4. They now have McClanahan and Patino up and no real openings. Boy do they have a lot of options!
  5. "Guerrero Jr Homered (still traveling)"
  6. It's long been established that the difference in the number of save chances between closers on good and bad teams is pretty small, so people shouldn't be using that as much of a factor. Where the team's record I think does legitimately come into the assessment is around the probability he gets traded by July to a team who uses him in a setup role, which is a greater risk for him than many on the list.
  7. Interesting on Staumont---certainly suggests he's no worse than number two on the list. And may be the new closer. Holland was activated for Saturday and reported to be available - though since we don't know specifically why he was out we also can't really assess whether they wanted to give him a day back before using him.
  8. I agree it's rarely worthwhile. I believe if you're going to try and game it, what you want to target is the third-best reliever ---so, not the closer or the 8th inning guy. Those guys, on average, end up in more 5-6-7th inning and tied/down a run situations which can yield wins. Ideally, it's on a team with more stable 8th/9th guys. And in my view, only time it is worth rostering is if the guy also has strong Ks/ratios. Loaisiga is the guy this year I would target for this if I had a roster spot where this is worthwhile. Brent Suter another candidate. That said, this year I perso
  9. Floro loads bases with no outs---not looking like a big threat to Yimi!
  10. That's still where I would have him, personally. Putting aside cancer and injury he has one of the more stable performance track records out there. He's not elite, but he's one of the better bets among the second/third tier guys.
  11. Ehh...I think at home it is very high leverage and on the road statistically it is still better to use your best reliever rather than wait for a save chance that may never come. Francona is pretty statistically aware, do not think I'd read into it anything other than that Clase is co-equal or the stopper.
  12. Can we put Tony LaRussa in here too?
  13. Fair, though I think I'd pay something like 50-60 cents on the dollar even in redraft because the upside is so huge if he stays healthy. So, just illustratively, if you trade Marcus Semien for him and he craps out it probably doesn't cost you the league to go from Semien to replacement level. But if Tatis manages to stay mostly healthy that's a huge upgrade. There are of course different philosophies that come into that assessment too
  14. It's a bummer of a situation as an owner. You can't really trade him---you'll get what, 60 cents on the dollar? So even if you know there's a lot of risk you have to just bear it for a while. If he's back in ten days and has a hot week some owerns might pay close to full value, but I suspect many still won't. I'm resigned to just having to ride it out. Also worried that power and steals will be down, which really cuts into the value. But he's a phenom and perhaps he's able to get through it
  15. I would say that the earlier your draft, the more value there is to using bench to manage the changes before season starts than during it. So, if drafting in early March using a bench slot (or a P slot) on someone who might win a closer gig or a minor-leaguer who might make roster is likely the highest and best use of the slot. But if you drafted yesterday, you probably do better just grabbing the guys you actually want on your roster for management purposes Thursday-on when season starts. Unless you really like the bench option you grab early (and sometimes you do) I tendt to play
  16. That is one ugly closer situation without Leclerc. As a place to throw a dart, there may be no more 'legit open' option than that between Bush, Kennedy, or Sborz or someone random like that popping in. But it seems like there's not a legit good option for non-saves purposes among them all...
  17. Lots of info available on the old internet for those who want to engage; no reason to ask basic questions here and certainly not to then criticize those who answer the questions. Roster Resources within Fangraphs has depth charts; the former Rotoworld has lots of updates. And then there's twitter. It's not hard to know what's going on if you put in a little effort. Astros depth chart is on the team's website or, for a different perspective, here: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/astros
  18. yeah, that probably explains your posts in this thread...
  19. I don't think anyone argued it is only about Valdez. Obviously, and really so basic that I wouldn't think anyone needs to say it, the fact multiple guys are out matters. But in a thread about Valdez where the discussion is about how long he will be out, thinking about the implications for Valdez seems like what we are doing. And in this case, the timing makes VERY clear that it is a sign about Valdez' health.
  20. Right, it's the timing though---it is conceivable it's a coincidence (e.g. Odirizzi's price dropped at same time Valdez injury happened) but I think most likely their existing questions become a critical need once Valdez was out for most/all of the year. Don't think, personally, you make a two-year high dollar signing for a couple months of injury.
  21. Astros sign Odorizzi. Have to think that means Valdez is indeed out most/all of the year. Bummer.
  22. I get the GM talk and also the need for competition in spring training, but do we REALLY think this isn't Pressly?
  23. The one group I wonder about is younger guys still building up. I'd guess that a Julio Urias for example will lose innings next year because he couldn't ramp up his workload as much this year. There's likely 6-8 guys in that category. I think vets who have thrown 160+ innings before will be back up at that level next year.
  24. It's a 3 run lead if you start an inning, tying run on deck otherwise. And the weird three-inning save too but that's not relevant to Anderson
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