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About Alconbury

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  1. "Problem" for fantasy is Jonnu is a great blocker as well. Titans have no issues putting him one-on-one with top edge rushers and as key blocker opening up lanes for Henry in the run game. I didn't watch last game or read snap breakdown but losing their stud LT Taylor Lewan for the year isn't going to make Jonnu any less needed staying in for blocking.
  2. There is significant upside brewing here season long imo. He has been my last pick in most leagues this year with the idea he could be Shanahan's brilliant solution to the big slot he wants in this offense. They have been trying to materialize this role last few years drafting Jalen Hurd and Jauan Jennings. Furthermore, it all makes too much sense regarding Reed's history of concussions to keep him away from blocking and hits as much as possible and let him eat in the slot on third downs and in the red zone, where he always has been elite and still seems to be. He's better than slot
  3. Jordan Raanan is a beat writer. A reporter. What they report (quotes from staff, players etc) can be great for analyzing fantasy impact, but a good rule is to (apart from a couple exceptions) never trust them for direct fantasy advice. Their talent is reporting, not analyzing. We had an example just one week ago, when a beat writer suggested there would be a time share between Conner and Snell in week 2, which scared off many fantasy players from starting Conner. If there's a quote from within the organization saying Dion Lewis will be the top back, that would be a whole different story o
  4. To be fair though, who wasn’t? Especially after what was being said about him in Hard Knocks. One of the easiest potential breakouts and draft values to sniff up with that media exposure.
  5. Man, you are still missing the whole essence of the strategy. We are still talking about two separate things. Hopefully most other readers get it, but I will give it one final try explaining. Obviously Cook and someone else than Mattison would have been a better choice, in hindsight. That's not what I'm arguing about. Imagine if Cook were to go down early, the idea would then be Mattison picking up the slack and get you the points that Giants average to opposing backfields. It doesn't matter if Cook gets 23.7 and Mattison 0, Cook gets 11.85 and Mattison 11.85 or Cook goes down right away,
  6. Ah, it's clear to me now you didn't understand what I originally meant. I meant what NYG was giving up to backfields coming into week 7, which was 23.7 half-PPR points per game, if you divide that out over two players (23.7/2 = 11.85 per player). 11.85 is RB2 numbers. I didn't mean gamble on (this I agree was a big gamble) Edmonds actually reaching 11.85, but betting on DJ+Edmonds reaching 23.7. See the difference? It had nothing to do with Edmonds role vs DJ. It's just a strategy of playing a whole backfield vs a poor opponent, if the starter's status is uncertain. Playing both, not just
  7. Three rushing TD's and the 34.2/2 points each were way more than the strategy statistically and theoretically suggested coming into the game (23.7/2), so having that as an argument against it doesn't make sense. That success was not expected by anyone, not even his mom. And well, now we are just looking at small nuances in predicting how the game and game script would unfold. In which we are not in agreement anyway. I guess I have a more statistically-driven approach and you a more perceptual approach; broader stats vs "they were eviscerated in the passing game" etc. Gamescript difference
  8. Kingsbury's Friday comments of that he would not have played if the game was played that day, that's alarming and set this week apart from last week imo. But yes, situation looked exactly the same as last week for those who missed that comment. Hemorrhaging pass yards or not, they were statistically still a worse rush defense than a pass defense. Daniel Jones looking competent or not, they were still a bottom-10 offense coming in and worse than Cardinals both in points and yards per game. Nothing suggesting it would be a lopsided game forcing Cardinals to abandon the run which you are sug
  9. In hindsight of course not. But due to the unknowns surrounding DJ coming into the game, with Kingsbury saying Friday that he wouldn't have played if the game was that day, there were legitimate concerns about how big role he would have (even though the lopsided distribution it ended up being I don't think anyone foresaw). Starting both vs a bottom-barrel defense vs RB (averaging 23.7 half-ppr points per game to backfields) was definitely the safe and smart move going into the game. Eliminating the risk, setting up for, in theory, a respectable 23.7/2 points (RB2 numbers) for two of your start
  10. Hilarious! I don't own any shares of the backfield so perhaps mostly because I don't think very highly (to put it kindly) of Matthew Berry, neither in terms of entertainment value or as a so called fantasy "expert". Ironically, this meltdown is probably the best he ever put out. But it's pretty damn entertaining, I give him that!
  11. Well, you typically need up towards 16-20 points in half-PPR to crack WR1 any given week, and he has put up that twice this year already. He was the WR17 week 1 with his 19.3 points and WR11 week 5 with 20.8. Now facing a clear pass-funnel defense in the Eagles, giving up the 4th most receiving yards (280 per game) and the 4th least rushing yards (73 per game) in the league. Cooper and both stud tackles Smith and Collins expected to play. DAL-PHI 3rd highest implied points total (49) this week. WR1 certainly possible, even (I’d say especially) with Cooper back.
  12. Haven’t monitored their every run but I think it’s safe to say McCoy as a borderline hall of famer has a way better feel for how to maneuver, take the right angles, set up blocks etc. In short, how to play running back. I’d say it’s that simple.
  13. God I love this guy. Rare talent, absolute stud. But humble about it and just goes about his business. Nothing I respect more than that combination. No cockiness or showing off. Simply jumps right back up and runs over to the huddle for the next play. Easily in the conversation of top three backs in the league in terms of pure running.
  14. To be fair, Pocic has missed the last four games already. Fluker injured his hamstring early vs Rams so Jamarco Jones played almost the whole game, and did well. So the only thing different than vs Rams is if LT Brown won’t go (both him and Fluker listed as Doubtful btw, not OUT yet). Apparently he’s had the bicep issue since week 3 but managed to toughen it out so far. So, sure, not good if LT Brown does not make it. But the o-line situation isn’t as dramatically changed compared to last week as the above quote suggests. Either way, if you have Carson he’s likely not lower than your
  15. Jay Jay Get your a s s up and hurrah, uh! Jay train baby Nineteen baby He’s on the grind baby All the time baby Show us something
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