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OBJfor6

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  1. Drop one half PPR: Jerick McKinnon Carlos Hyde Laviska Shenault Joshua Kelley Other WRs on team: Michael Thomas, Kenny Golladay, Robert Woods, DeVante Parker, AJ Green, Julian Edelman Other RBs on team: Nick Chubb, LeVeon Bell, Latavius Murray
  2. I like Watson, Deebo #1, Samuel #2. Don't overthink this one.
  3. Title says it all. Trying to decide between a handful of fringe starters for my flex in a half PPR. Mixon (vs. Jets) - Hate the matchup with the Jets and Andy being back will likely mean less running and more passing Shepherd (vs. Packers) - Was excited about him without Tate/Engram until the weather forecast came out. Ugly game might make it tough. McCoy (vs. Raiders) - No floor, but probably biggest upside of the group. RoJo (vs. Jaguars) - Hate how gameflow dependent he is Dede (vs. Bucs) - Safe, but low upside
  4. Andrews, wouldn't overthink it. Poor weather affects the deep game a lot more than the short-intermediate game Andrews plays in.
  5. Freeman vs. Packers, and I don't even think it's particularly close. Scary two weeks for him, I know, but just keep the faith a little longer.
  6. I would have to agree, Diggs against a soft Raiders secondary over Hollywood in heavy rain.
  7. Agree with everyone else, if you think you are a legit contender this year, take this deal. Otherwise, hang on to Ridley's 10th round keeper value.
  8. Tough decisions, guys are all pretty close to each other: RB - Joe Mixon, playing BUF RB - LeSean McCoy, playing BAL RB - David Montgomery, playing WAS TE - Evan Engram, playing TB TE - Mark Andrews, playing KC Thanks!
  9. Surprised by the amount of responses that went the other way. Completely agree with this - The market tends to get more efficient the closer we get to the season. A lot of the value plays you can get now will not exist come late August/early September.
  10. Comparing these two on their careers, when you just admitted that a back with a higher proportion of carries would be less efficient on this metric, is very contradictory. Simple thought experiment: What would D Williams points per touch look like if his proportion of rushes/receptions was roughly the same as Saquon's? Saquon's rushes/reception = 261/91 = 2.87. You would have to add ~126 carries to D Williams' career totals to get to approximately this proportion (183 carries + 126 carries/108 receptions) = 2.86. Using his career averages, and with generous rounding on TDs, add 504 rushing yards and 5 TDs to his career totals. That's about an extra 80 fantasy points. Take his new touch total/new fantasy points = (291+126)/(360+80) = 0.95 points per touch. Significantly different from above, clearly not on Saquon's level, but not too bad, either. Now I don't think this quick and dirty thing above is the right way to think about this, but I just wanted to show that the metric you are using is flawed and will always over-inflate pass-catching backs with limited rushing involvement. Here's another example - your metric would say James White is the best RB in the league. Do you really believe that? Here's a suggestion: Either look at points per rush and points per catch separately (safer) or come up with a more robust way of combining the two together with some sort of weighted average or scaling to limit how much your metric overvalues pass-catching backs (will always be a little flawed, but would at least be a lot better than what you are using now).
  11. But the point you ignored, about Bill Walsh's offense, is completely accurate. Before Montana, Walsh's system turned some of the worst QBs in the game to stars (look up these QBs' stat differentials with and without Walsh). Montana was just the first to be good enough for Walsh's offense to take him from good to legend, instead of from trash to temporary star.
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