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Everything posted by rschroeder1

  1. League: 12 teams, 15 roster spots, QB RB RB WR WR TE RB/WR/TE Keeper rules: keep 0-4 players. Cost is one draft round higher than the previous year. Undrafted = 15th round. My draft position: 4th in a snake draft Note: we dropped K and D this year, so the round numbers might look funky below (notably Juju), as some players were previously 17th round keepers. Keeper Options (draft round for 2019) Amari Cooper (1) Carlos Hyde (4) Marlon Mack (7) Cooper Kupp (8) Courtland Sutton (9) Devonta Freeman (11) Ben Roethlisberger (12) Juju Smith-Schuster (15)
  2. Could you share your source for this? By what I can find, in 2017 he had 9 drops in 88 targets, about a 10% drop rate. Given that Breida's drop rate was 16.6% (6 drops in 36 targets), either Breida didn't qualify or something is amiss with what you are referencing.
  3. What does this actually mean, though? Hyde was 3rd in the NFL in RB targets (88). According to this article from the Sacramento Bee, he dropped 9 passes, which led the league. His drop rate was 1 drop for every 9.7 targets. Yet his back-up, Matt Breida, dropped 6 passes that season on 36 targets, a rate of 1 drop every 6 targets. Drop rate would probably be a better marker than total drops, due to volume. Drop stats seem to be hard to find on the Internet, however.
  4. If it is true that Hyde signed a multi-year deal with the Browns, how much money are they paying him this year? NFL teams can't just cancel contracts...unless a player is owed no money. If you want to deal with facts, simply state how much the Browns - or the Jags - are paying Hyde in '19. If you want to claim they restructured the deal, link to the restructured deal. If you want to claim the Chiefs are paying him from the Browns contract, then link to that contract. If you want to claim they cut him, we know that happened. Because there was no guaranteed money for '19 and '2
  5. Lying is definitely a symptom of depression. One can't deny that! I also am not seeking forgiveness from Rotoworld message boards. If forgiveness exists, and you get it here, the world is truly a depressing place. As to what I'm arguing, I'll quote myself from the first post I made in the Damien thread (all posts are publicly available, so no need to accuse me of lying). Me: "I offer this information as no slight to Damien Williams, nor to make any prediction. I just find the narrative that "Carlos Hyde is a bad running back" to be perplexing." I don't agree that
  6. Lol no worries, my personal opinion is that YPC gets to be skewed in small sample sizes. My overall point is that we shouldn't expect Williams' production from a five game sample to be the norm. Maybe it will be, but we shouldn't expect it.
  7. Shouldn't have gotten sucked in to this trolling. Here are some football reasons why I have skepticism for Williams. His sample size of games as the lead back is 5 games, 69 carries, 24 targets. His TD rate (8 in 5 games) comes out to 25 per season - wholly unsustainable, given Hunt averaged 16 per 16 games with the Chiefs. His 5.2 YPC in those five games would literally put him on the leaderboard of all time single-season YPC on Pro Football Reference. Not sustainable. He had more than 13 carries in only one of the five games (25 vs. Colts). His yards per catch totaled
  8. 1. People are wrong because their facts or evidence are insufficient. I'm not right or wrong because "I'm new to this" or "I've been a football fan for 873 years." Please attack the argument, not the person making the argument. 2. If Carlos Hyde is a "cheap veteran" because his cap hit is $2.73 million, with 5 years experience in the league, can you explain how Damien Williams, with a $1.73 million cap hit and 5 years experience in the league, is not also a "cheap veteran" but someone the Chiefs are head-over-heels committed to? Does Williams' dead cap figure of $500,000 for 2020 not g
  9. Why not sign a replacement-level player for cheap?
  10. Simple question: why would the Chiefs willfully move quickly to sign a below-replacement level back, when other RBs were available?
  11. Normally I don't feel the need to respond to trolling, but this is just getting silly. On April 22, @elroypedro wrote: "The ONLY reason for his above post about Carlos Hyde is either to troll this thread, because it has been shown and proven beyond any doubt over and over again in this thread that Hyde is an awful, below replacement level back. Or it is to mislead less informed readers here who haven’t read through the thread." http://forums.rotoworld.com/topic/740033-damien-williams-2019-outlook/page/22/?tab=comments#comment-8502033 To review the facts - actual facts - Car
  12. Can't edit my original post, but I'd like to post a reason #7. 7. The Chiefs intentionally signed Hyde and did not sign Yeldon. Maybe there were reasons why they couldn't sign Yeldon, but it seems when they had a choice, at the start of free agency, they chose Hyde. Shouldn't that mean something?
  13. With all due respect, you are cherry-picking statistics and situations without providing any context. Let me be clear, I'm not here to say Carlos Hyde is amazing, or Damien Williams won't start. However, I don't agree the evidence shows Hyde is bad. 1. Matt Breida posted better stats than Carlos Hyde in 2017. But as you note, Hyde was phased out at the end of the season in favor of Breida. Did this take place because Breida was definitively a better player than Carlos Hyde, or because Hyde was a free agent and the 49ers knew they weren't going to resign him? I think we need to make a bi
  14. I find a lot of the discussion here about Carlos Hyde to be a bit off. I offer this information as no slight to Damien Williams, nor to make any prediction. I just find the narrative that "Carlos Hyde is a bad running back" to be perplexing. Here's the 2017 Rotoworld RB rankings thread, in which Hyde is pretty consistently ranked in the top 10-15 of the entire NFL (for fantasy purposes). In the 2018 thread, no one seems to think he is a bad running back. General consensus ranges seems to be in the "he's fine" category, with a few "greats" sprinkled in. I realize th
  15. Thanks for the input. So far in the history of the league (this is the fifth year) only the best players when injured have been drafted or kept. Kelvin Benjamin after his first year and Jordy Nelson after his ACL injury. So I think I can probably wait on Henry and scoop him up before the end of the year. I'm willing to take that chance.
  16. Thanks for the input. I'm kind of leaning away from Goff as even in a 12-team league, it's not that hard to find a good QB. Goff was a free agency add for me last year. I'm leaning Meredith at the moment based on upside, but I'm really tempted by Mack as well. Mack might be the highest ceiling/highest risk, but to possibly get the RB in the Colts offense with a healthy Luck, I may not have that chance again in the future.
  17. Yes, 12, not 2. For some reason I can't edit the original post. Thanks for your input.
  18. 2 teams, 17 roster spots (QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, RB/WR/TE, K, D, 8 bench spots), .5 PPR Keeper rules: keep up to four players. Cost is one draft round higher than their draft round the year prior. You can keep a player indefinitely, i.e. through when they are worth a first-round pick. So if you can snag quality players as your 17th round pick, for example, there's a huge advantage. No position limitations on keeping players. My realistic options are as follows, with their 2018 round value: Cooper Kupp (9th round) Marlon Mack (9) Devonta Freeman (12
  19. Not to start a 2018 thread already...but I'm curious what people are thinking about Kupp at this point. Certainly, his numbers fall into that category of rookie numbers of players who go on to have successful careers. I'm not sure if I see him as kind of in that permanent WR2/WR3 group or if he can take the leap to the solid WR2 category with some WR1 weeks mixed in. Just curious what others might be thinking in this regard. I don't doubt the talent, but it seems that with Woods and Gurley there for the near term, there's going to be competition for targets. If Watkins leaves,
  20. I think these are fair criticisms, but both these guys are so young. As a Bears fan watching John Fox mangle Mitchell Trubisky, I think it's fair to consider this year as Goff's true rookie year. Likewise, with Kupp as a rookie, I don't think it's necessarily a negative if his involvement in the offense is by design. He's on pace for 104 targets as a rookie - that number is too high for me to consider it all as being kind of forced in his general direction. Even if it is more forced than not, we see time and again that some rookies can't even handle that - Kupp's involvement in
  21. Vernon Davis vs. Dallas Hunter Henry vs. Cleveland Appreciate your help.
  22. Yeah, one drop and the fumble. I don't mean to sound like a Cooper fanboy, but I think that Kupp is being a bit unfairly penalized because two of his three drops on the year have been high-profile - the end zone drop on the second-to-last play against Seattle on what would have been a spectacular catch, and the crucial third-down drop this weekend against Minn. For context, Odell Beckham has four drops this year on 41 targets (fewer targets than Kupp). Alshon has two, Julio has three, DeAndre has three (although all on more targets than Kupp. The Football O
  23. He caught six passes on seven targets in Week 11 at Minn.
  24. Through Week 10, Football Outsiders ranks Kupp pretty highly. 27th in Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement 23rd in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average 13th in Effective Yards (by average) He also only had 2 drops coming in to Week 11, so now 3 (unless there was another yesterday, but I don't think there was). Quite a few big names on the list with 2 or 3 drops. Given the generally accepted learning curve for rookie WRs, I think overall he remains a really promising player. Redraft, it's going to be spotty (Woods injury notwithstanding) but for keep
  25. I'm interested to see how Cooper fares against Minnesota this week. I feel like the last couple weeks have been largely a product of game flow/the Rams playing awful teams. The Rams are soaking up huge chunks of yardage on TD plays lately (94, 67, 52) in the last two weeks. My anecdotal observation is that against the Giants and Texans, the Rams' WR are blatantly wide open, so hard to necessarily blame Kupp when Woods/Watkins are uncovered. Odds are that is not a trend. In a more even game, let's see if Goff focuses in on Kupp.
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