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Everything posted by rschroeder1

  1. I'm not as worried about the Jeffery pursuit for two reasons. One, they may have simply been trying to acquire him at a discount and had no desire to sign him at the market rate the Eagles offered. Two, teams with hot-seat head coaches sometimes make desperation one-year pushes. From Pagano's perspective, a one-year contract for Jeffery would be perfect for Pagano's situation of needing job security now. For me, I'm more curious to see if the Colts begin contract talks with Moncrief. If they don't, that's a tell-tale sign.
  2. I should have written more specifically. I was referring to my (amateur) evaluation of his technique. Especially in the red zone, he seems to have pretty developed skills positioning his body. It's definitely a small sample, as you pointed out, and thus perhaps not worth extrapolating from.
  3. I can't figure this guy out. When the ball gets thrown his way, in my opinion, he shows the traits of an elite WR. But the targets aren't there. The Colts played some odd games last year, in which they had ridiculous totals like 12 yards for the first half. Now this obviously can't be an excuse for Moncrief - see Hilton. If the Colts can generate a little more offensive consistency, which would start with the line play, perhaps Moncrief can better get involved in the game plan. There's so much negativity around Moncrief that I will probably seek to acquire right at
  4. I can't claim to know much about Sarkisian's play-calling, but I think there's a big difference between being a head coach and a coordinator - how many have succeeded at coordinator and failed as a head coach at the NFL level? I'm also leery about tying college head coaching success to coordinating success - recruiting teens to come to your school, particularly one that had a disastrous program and one recovering from NCAA sanctions - don't seem to correlate to coordinator success (or failure). None of that means Sarkisian will be a success, though. And his recent job transitions
  5. Look, this is no slight on Coleman. But to say that Coleman won't be affected by the loss of the team's fullback when he has fewer catches, fewer targets and fewer receiving yards than Freeman, while saying that Freeman will, doesn't make sense to me. YPC is definitely more important in real life, but volume matters in fantasy as well. There's no parsing that Freeman finished with more receiving yards and thus more fantasy points from receiving yards (and more targets) than Coleman, despite having a lower YPC.
  6. I haven't been able to find anything like that. Would definitely be a useful marker.
  7. Of the Falcons 389 running plays, 75% were with a single back or from the shotgun. I don't have info on how these splits factored individually for Freeman and Coleman. http://www.espn.com/nfl/team/splits/_/name/atl/type/rushing In 2016, Freeman averaged 4.06 targets per game; Coleman averaged 3.07 targets per game. http://www.espn.com/nfl/team/stats/_/name/atl/atlanta-falcons
  8. I think you're drawing a lot of unfounded conclusions here, based on a sample of one half of football. Freeman averaged 6.8 YPC in the Super Bowl, Coleman 4.1, yet they decided to abandon the running game because Coleman got hurt? We have a larger sample from the regular season when Coleman missed Weeks 8-10. The Falcons averaged 26.3 carries per game this year, and ran the ball 19, 34 and 13 times in Weeks 8-10. There are obvious explanations for the dips; the 19 came in the aerial shootout against the Packers, and the 13 against the Eagles' stiff run defense. In th
  9. Maybe Henry is not an athletic specimen. Who is in the NFL who is also a successfully producing tight end? Gronk and Reed? If we were talking about WR or RB, I might be more inclined to listen to discussions of athleticism. But there are only 32 starting tight ends, and I have to have one of them for my team. After Gronk, Reed and Olsen, there's not much left. Gronk and Reed remain injury risks and Olsen is aging. I'm not trying to claim that Henry is going to be the overall TE1. But I'm going to chase his production, which is pretty rare at the TE position for a
  10. I think these numbers need a little context. For starters, the Falcons finished the 2016 season ranked 26th in plays executed. They also finished 4th in total number of big plays (run 10+, pass 25+) and 3rd in big play percentage. Simply put, not only did the Falcons execute fewer plays than the majority of the league, they also gashed huge chunks of yardage on the more limited set of plays that they executed. The clear outcomes here are fewer attempts for any fantasy player, and more limited chances to gain yards. I will admit, I am a Freeman keeper owner for the la
  11. I think you have Freeman tiered pretty well at 1.12, but I'm not as concerned about loss of work via Coleman. Looking at their stats for the first six games of 2016, when both were healthy: Freeman: 75.7 standard on 112 carries/targets Coleman: 79 standard on 74 carries/targets Extrapolation to entire season (16 weeks) Freeman: 201.8 standard Actual 2016 fantasy points (16 weeks) Freeman: 230.1 standard (1541 yards + 13 TD - 1 fumble, I think my math is correct) Weekly difference in points: 1.7
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