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Weekday Warrior

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Everything posted by Weekday Warrior

  1. I personally still ding him a little and would take Betts and Lindor ahead of him (in addition to the “big 3”) only because he came back down to earth in the 2nd half of 2019, including a hint of vulnerability vs lefties that earned him light platoon treatment in 2018, so the sample size isn’t quite where I want it to be just yet.
  2. Yes I would be floored, they gave up a top 50-75 prospect to land him, and Gallen has tons of trade value. Look at Gallen’s numbers in the PCL last year!
  3. I didn’t say he has nothing left to prove as we sit here now ... again, I was addressing earlier comments expressing a view that Joc presents a season ling barrier regardless of what Adell accomplishes in 2020, to which my counter point is if Adell forces his way into the lineup (a possibility that could occur early with a strong spring) they have plenty of other options for getting Joc’s bat in the lineup against righties... please try to pay attention
  4. Right, that is why I said Joc is a contingency plan in case Adell needs more seasoning... as contrasted with others’ point of view that Joc represents a season long barrier no matter how great Adell plays in ST and AAA (P.S. Adell had a PCL game where he went 2-2 with 2 HRs wiped off the stat books due to rain out that would have boosted those #s quite a bit given the small sample size)
  5. There are many, many paths to keeping Joc’s bat in the lineup that don’t involve keeping Adell in AAA when he has nothing left to prove there
  6. I see Joc as more of a contingency plan in case they genuinely feel like Adell needs to marinate in AAA a little longer - given Adell’s truncated 2019 - but in no way a barrier. Everyday job will still be there for Adell to claim on opening day or Super 2 at latest with a strong spring.
  7. Hmm that is a pretty bleak outlook and does indeed raise the question what they are saving their money for... But, the landscape can change shift pretty quickly with pitchers at least, Patrick Corbin didn’t really establish himself as a valuable 2019 FA until his 2018 season, for example..
  8. Well the Sox are ahead of the curve on a strategy like that since they got both salary relief and a nice young hitter who won’t start arbitration until 2020.... the overarching point remains that this was far from a dismantling even if they don’t spend on a free agent in this year specifically
  9. I don’t know what all the fuss is about. It isn’t like the Sox are in fire sale mode, this was more of a retooling, and they still have plenty of weapons to try to compete this year. If the price wasn’t right no doubt they keep Betts and focus on 2020 but Verdugo was a nice return, and shedding Price’s contract really made it a no brainer IMO. The Nationals lost Bryce Harper and got nothing and still won the World Series ya know
  10. Would think he will get a good number of 1st base starts too
  11. Wow did not realize Gallen was such a polarizing figure! I think you can take a 10+ K/9 to the bank with him given the arsenal and elite changeup. Double digit wins also seems plausible.
  12. They are very high on Nick Madrigal, and I am too so I was glad to see that after a lot of other lists put him in the 40-70 range. But then I listened to the podcast for their list, and at the 24:50 mark Jarrett Seidler conservatively forecasts Madrigal for a .480 SLG, which is wildly unrealistic, so now I am back to worrying that I think too highly of Madrigal because I don’t know what he is even thinking with that projection.
  13. I am in too. He has an elite hit tool that I will always bet on and then let everything else fall into place. Being an extra year removed from TJS seems like it should help him regain his early career form.
  14. I am floored by Cole’s contract size but I still get it. Those few stalwart aces who eat innings and K everyone year after year are a rare breed. There is always risk of injury or abrupt age related decline but if you are going to bet on someone to give you a run of multi year dominance at the top of the rotation kinda like Scherzer gave the Nats, Cole is the guy to bet on
  15. Wow so Yankees offer Cole 7/245, and Cole’s agent turns around and gets that EXACT amount for his other less valuable client? Did Boras make some kind of argument to the Nats that since it was just an opener for Cole it is a fair proxy for the closing price for Stras? I guess Cole wants to be the first $300 millions pitcher...
  16. Looks like the Phillies paid a 20% premium for the certainty of getting it done early and avoiding a protracted bidding war.
  17. Buckling in for another snooze fest until March, the Boras clients at the top of the pile are going to milk this....
  18. Stumbled across this still-in-progress prospect mock draft between 16 industry writers and/or podcasters. First 5 rounds are done and the list is updated here ... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xRe3iuvCXPXsbxj3l-_ouBnc7xUbKAfv_k2q9lVgyBw/htmlview# Definitely skews toward young upside guys with Marco Luciano, Jasson Dominguez, Julio Rodriguez, and Kristian Robinson all going in the top 10 (!!).
  19. I don’t know he had a lights out spring training this year and faced even less competition for playing time so there isn’t much he could do performance wise in next year’s ST to make me bullish. The landscape would really need to shift vis a vis path to playing time, which will get even murkier after the Rockies sign Ben Zobrist this offseason.
  20. With lists like this I think much of the debate centers around who belongs in what tier since reasonable minds can always disagree with individual rankings. I personally don’t have much use for a top 100 list as I would never consciously draft a starter outside the top 40 unless I very specifically handpicked someone as a breakout candidate. But it is still interesting to see the 1000 foot view of the SP landscape like this.
  21. The fact that he has never eclipsed even 450 ABs in a season is a bit of a red flag heading into next year. Yeah you can find replacement stats while he is out but those injury and conditioning problems have also been known to effect his performance.
  22. I think it is too early to judge the Gallen/Jazz swap. It was definitely a nice buy low/ sell high swap in the sense that Jazz was a top 100 preseason prospect and Gallen was a no name. It is not surprising that Gallen would deliver early MLB returns since he has a premium changeup, next year will be the real test after hitters adjust. Jazz is still a legit power speed threat and true shortstop so he could turn into something.
  23. I was worried that the Dodger’s platoon-happy style could take a big bite out of Lux’s value. He was fine against lefties in the minors this year but AWFUL in 2018. Joc Pederson was also fine against lefties in his 2014 30/30 AAA season but we know how that story ended...
  24. Power is fading down the stretch, .376 SLG this month...last home run was July16th. No major cause for alarm for an 18 year old with so many other advanced metrics of course. But it still puts a damper on the fun of talking about or owning someone you can characterize as an emerging titan of the sport.
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