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Weekday Warrior

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Everything posted by Weekday Warrior

  1. So Melvin Upton’s wife wanted him to go back to being known as Bossman Junior? Who says romance is dead!
  2. I love how the Marlins took a hard line with the Braves and basically said “no Acuna, no Yelich” and then turned around and took Milwaukee’s offer. The Braves have one of the best farm systems in the league! Even without the benefit of hindsight now that we know Brinson isn’t living up to his former top prospect billing, how was it not worth weighing Pache, Riley and/or all those pitchers against what Milwaukee gave them? Stubborness?
  3. The Phillies do have a pretty darn good bullpen and might be able to get away with relying on Nola plus a bunch of workmanlike inning eater types via new-agey creative use of their bullpen. I think Velasquez could thrive as a reliever if they converted him.
  4. As I said in the sleeper thread his combination of high BA, high BB, and low K is truly rare and special. He is primed for a breakout so try to get a read on his health in spring training. I comped him to vintage Michael Brantley but without the steals.
  5. Seems like the Brewers might want to see what they have in Ray at the MLB level at some point this year given that they moved on from Broxton and Santana, no? The depth chart after Yelich-Cain-Braun doesn’t look like it poses much of a barrier, so I’m guessing Ray gets the call if a starter hits the DL. Not getting a lot of love on 2019 prospect lists despite prolific power/speed production in AA. Obviously he strikes out a lot and the BA is low but I think he is getting dinged on account of prospect fatigue too. Certainly in OBP leagues there is a lot of upside wor
  6. There are a lot of “look at me” rankings and omissions here, so I guess I’ve been lured into listening to the podcast. I don’t even mind the ridiculously high Jo Adell ranking that much
  7. Are his severe struggles versus lefties going to limit his fantasy value, especially given how platoon happy the Dodgers are? I guess for truly special talents like Seager and Bellinger they let them play through their issues with lefties a good amount, but is Lux really going to justify similiar treatment?
  8. I don’t think there is any question Harper and Machado can get 10/300 and we already know Harper turned down just that, they are obviously swinging much higher than that. Even if a technical argument is made that Harper/Machado are asking for a fair return on their WAR, I don’t think anyone can really fault teams for drawing a line in the sand and feeling confident they could spend the same money in smaller increments over the same 10 year period on other less-sexy-but-effective free agents (kinda like the McCutch and Brantley deals) and get the same or better WAR return for their
  9. All the projections I’ve seen have Giles’ ERA in the 3s and I think he can be drafted as such. He had some stretches where he gave up a lot of hits in the years where he struggled, but his overall track record doesn’t suggest he is inherently hittable and there aren’t really any other red flags other than his tempermant. Given how volatile the closer position can be, the firmness of his hold on the job now that he got a change of scenery is worth something.
  10. Matt Strahm is another guy I am interested in. Unclear what role he’ll have but he should have value either way and draft day cost shouldn’t be higher than his floor as a middle reliever with good stats, and those guys are always useful anyway
  11. There seem to be a lot more young post-hype sleeper candidates out there this year than in prior years, for which varying degrees of cases could be made for a breakout, for those looking to score the next Profar. I’m not personally bullish on all these guys, but some exames include: Margot, Buxton, Sano, Kepler, Mazara, Arcia, Swanson, Kingery, McMahon, O’Neill, Pederson, Weaver, Glasnow, Castillo and Rodon. (Plus Winker and Renfroe who I already mentioned as guys I like). All of these guys should be fairly cheap; dirt cheap in many cases.
  12. Jesse Winker if he looks healthy in the spring, that combo of high BA, high BBs, and low Ks is extraordinarily rare, if it all comes together he could have a breakout similar to Brantley’s 2014 but without the steals. Hunter Renfroe. Kinda risky if you play in OBP leagues but he’s slowly but surely getting better at taking walks, and that big second half hints at the 40 HR season to come. The pieces are there to put together something close to vintage Chris Davis.
  13. If someone was going to step up and blow away the competition with a blockbuster offer to Harper and Maxhado it would have happened already, and the teams that are interested in them are obviously comfortable letting someone else swoop in and do just that or else they would have done it first. This looks more similar to the JD Martinez staring contest from last year where he came in with a really aggresive ask that needed to come back down to earth a little before a deal got done, just on a bigger scale here...
  14. At this point can we assume that the Machado/Harper suitors are drawing their lines in the sand, not getting sucked into a bidding war, and basically saying they are comfortable tipping their cap to whoever wants to outbid them? I mean, who is going to criticize the GM who errs on the side of salary flexibility? I’m sure the offer from the Nats that Harper turned down and Stanton’s deal sets the approximate negotiating floor, but I’m guessing the movement beyond that is underwhelming...
  15. I love the power/speed combo but am worried about benchings vs LHPs and to build up his health for pitching usage cutting into ABs. If I knew they were committing to him as a hitter only I’d be less concerned about LHP since I think he could be one of those hitters who is special enough that they let him play through it and the overall season stats would still net out to being pretty awesome.
  16. Brantley signing is a coup for the ‘stros. Guys do get healthy, and the underlying skills are still there for Dr. Smooth. The price they are paying looks like it factors in injury risk too, so if he stays healthy it is pure gravey. The bottom 3rd of their lineup was a noticeable weakness in the playoffs so adding a proven veteran bat was a wise move. This is back to back offseasons now where the Stros added impact talent at minimal cost to what was already a championship caliber core. (Actually 3 if you count the Ken Giles trade....)
  17. Something similar to McCutch’s contract plus incentives for plate appearances seems fair for Brantley and Pollock
  18. I guess this version of Mccutch is sorta similar to what Carlos Santana gave the Phillies on offense (high OBP, modest HR power) they just swapped 2 years at $40 million for 3 years/$45 million but got better positional synergy by opening up 1st for Hoskins.
  19. I would argue that Stanton is a fair proxy for Harper in terms of what the player brings to the table (and Stanton even has the slightly higher WAR whether you start counting from ‘12 or ‘13). So Stanton’s contract adjusted for inflation seems like the best case scenario argument that Harper’s camp can make, but it also seems vulnerable to pushback that with hindsight the Stanton contract was viewed as an overpay as reflected in the tepid trade market just to unload it (at today’s dollar values and following a career season, no less) At the end of the day a willing buye
  20. There’s only been one $300 million contract ever, right? Giancarlo Stanton, and it didn’t long for it to be seen as pretty close to a give-away in terms of trade value even after he had a 59 HR season! So, in this new age of contract conservatism, why should Harper or Machado realistically expect a record setting contract? $300 million really should be the absolute drop dead limit...
  21. MIA probably wants to save face and redeem itself for last offseason, where they first demanded Acuna plus more for Yelich and then ultimately took a bunch of flashy looking names who are all trending downward now
  22. He was pretty highly regarded heading into 2017 fantasy drafts (before his preseason injury, that is) so I don’t think his strong 2018 finish is flying under anyone’s radar. The power/speed/Coors profile will earn him a lot of love; the injury history is the only source of discount.
  23. I think the Nats can withstand Harper’s loss, but it is a tough division. Relying on Soto’s emergence and Robles to pick up the offensive slack while pivoting to firm up the rotation is a decent strategy.
  24. I wish someone told me he was this good last year
  25. I think it is a good rule to stay away from these guys with shoddy plate discipline, yeah you’ll miss out on Baez’s big 2018 but in the long run I think you’re better off. If the price is right sure take a stab, but that ain’t gonna happen after that insane August-September run he had unless maybe you are in an OBP league with really disciplined league mates.
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