BackyardBaseball

I mean he still has a .359 Obp, so as long as he can keep taking a few walks and a few hbp to keep above .330 I doubt they move him.

The things that do matter on the statcast page are whiff % chase % k%. His game has always been contact oriented in the minors and it’s translating to the majors. On top of that his exit velos are passable as of now and he definitely has a chance for a little late career power breakout. Could end up being a really nice piece of they move him around to get at bats and stack his eligibilities.

And a 3rd in the making with Freddy peralta’s transformation

He apparently is making a real effort to be more aggressive this year which is evident as he hasn’t walked yet despite having one of the highest bb% the last few years.

He drew 2 walks, that’s all I really care about. If he can get on base at a decent clip and stay at the top of the order great things are going to happen

Peralta, Dustin may, antone(not a starter yet but should get there at some point)

I read just about everything and can safely say ignore about 95% of it. When you read everything forget the lists of sleepers and breakouts etc, look through the meat of the article and find factually compelling arguments. Also pay attention to all the “bust” articles, because when 75% of the articles have the same guy, it just means his adp is gonna plummet and most likely become a bargain. Same thing can be said for sleeper and breakout articles where if one dude is being pitched by everyone they’re obviously not a sleeper anymore and gonna be over drafted most of the time. So go get

Injury seems minor also for the those comparing him to Mallex smith and pointing to avg exit velos, the difference is Robles CAN hit the ball hard. His double on Thursday was clocked at 109.3 mph. He has the ability to hit it hard, he just hasn’t been able to do it consistently. 15-20 hr is very feasible and obviously the legs will play if he gets on base.

What increase in mph? He averaged 97 last year.

His statcast page is a mystery to me....amazing xba, xslg, xwoba...complete **** ev, hard hit%, bb%, k%, barrel%. dont get how that all adds up.

Very sss but he had also caught a ton of attention as a sleeper going into last season because he had multiple pitches that graded out as elite. There was a simple case that if he changed up his pitch mix he could make massive gains and sure enough he did and the results show it. So it’s tough to say he was lucky and it’s tough to think he won’t continue to work off those same changes. He’s also not being drafted in the top 100, he’s in the low 100s which is where you want to be targeting high upside guys(or at least I do) and clearly he does have some high upside while also lacking a rock

Just go look at his statcast page from last year...everything that matters(except bb%) was 80th percentile or better. Across the board results like that aren’t found on many pages. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/joe-musgrove-605397?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb

He’s on basically every “bust” or “do not draft” list out there and it actually makes me think he’s gonna be a great buy if you’re drafting closer to the start of spring training. His adp and rankings seem to be around the 80s which clearly has his injury risk baked in as is and everyone’s still saying don’t draft. In a year where we can expect most starti pitchers to be on some innings restrictions I’d rather have 120-140 innings of Lamet than 140-160 innings of guys like Greinke, Hendricks or ryu. If it’s a points league or h2h I’d have a different take but for roto the 120 innings of lam

This guy is going to be robbed of a landslide MVP because of the shortened season and the fact that his team sucks. 2nd place on most of these isn’t even close. Iso(1st) Avg(2nd) Slg(1st) OPS(1st) OPS+(1st) OBP(1st) Woba(1st) wrc+(1st) Hr, R, Rbi, war(Top 20 in 43 games)

Ken Griffey Jr Randy Johnson Alex Rodriguez Ichiro