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Everything posted by C_McGillicuddy

  1. The guy is hurting a new body part every time he throws 50 pitches. He’s already got a diagnosis (lat strain) with a book of: 1) real hard to detect with an MRI 2) compensating can transfer a lot of pitching work from a long back muscle to vulnerable inflection points like shoulders and elbows. How is it that guys living in mom’s basements know: “Rest a month or so, then ramp up slowly,” but these NYC specialists can’t get past: “Sure Jacob, the MRIs are negative, the injuries might not be related.” The last guy you want for a doctor is yes-man.
  2. My stats are a little lazy, yes. But I stand by them. Will have an ideal sample for comparison at the end of the year if spin rates stay down. The eyeball test says the difference in stuff has been extreme, especially compared to what guys were throwing just 5-6 years ago. Sliders are filthy, FB are live to say the least. As for Rose, what swayed me from your position was the argument that, if he’s betting on the Reds, even if he’s never betting against them, he will use his resources (especially his bullpen) differently around games which he’s got a lot riding on. That prospect, to me, i
  3. There have been 35 qualifying SP who finished the season with sub-2.0 ERA in the modern era. That’s fewer than once every two years on average. Last year there were three. This season, past the 1/3 mark, there are six sitting below 2.0 with another eight or nine in the ballpark. One guy is a full .2 below the dead-ball record, flirting with an unheard of sub-0.5. Say what you want about “game has changed… Driveline… flyball revolution… yada yada…” — these guys are throwing 100 mph aspirin tablets that dance like a wiffle ball and the results are making the same mockery of the historical pitchi
  4. Through five at 77 pitches Manoah’s FB a tick slow — sitting 93 and touching 95. Only 2k, but keeping it together with 4h and 1bb. Holding my breath.
  5. AL player of the week. Unsustainable .421 BABIP, unsustainable 30% LD rate, but a lot to like in his statcast numbers (.297 XBA; .401 XWOBA; .593 XSLG). Stassi’s knocking the cover off the ball and, combined with his 2020 numbers, he’s approaching 200 PA with a wRC+ well north of 130. Nothing to sneeze at for a catcher. If there’s a late career breakout brewing, no better place than LAA where his only competition for AB is the weak defense and swiftly fading bat of Suzuki.
  6. I trust guys who rely on the cutter to best weather any changes because that pitch is apparently effective according to its seam shifted wake, rather than how much it moves. Burns’ cutter has a 45 deg variation between its spin-predicted movement and its actual movement, and should still fool hitters as its spin decreases. It may be even more deceptive with slower rotation if the spin axis is easier to read. Pirates knocked him around some, with seeing-eye singles and no hard contact. I’m trying to buy high while his stock is soft, even though the recent uptick in walks may be relat
  7. Obviously the kid plays fantasy, and sees himself 3rd on ESPN player rater in spite of it all. This matters more to him than yesteryear’s so-called triple crown. A bong hit, 1/2 an Enchirito and a little number crunching reveals that six SB to date, matching Jose Ramirez’s total, would have him on top. Motivation. Late night sprint plyometrics followed by light cardio and a quick purge of whatever was left of that Taco Bell have him sleeping like a baby. Next morning he asks for and gets the permanent green light on the base paths. (Who can say no to the sincerity of those soft eyes
  8. Likes the left field porch, this guy
  9. 10 doubles in 111 AB. Compared to 9 in 2018 and 2019 combined (402 AB). 20 years old, the power is developing.
  10. This is debatable. Romano’s been lights-out since returning from the IL and his statcast is redlined across the board. I like both, but Julian’s SP pitch mix could work against him. As long as Romano looks trustworthy (and he does) I would stretch Julian out a little and play on his versatility, with thoughts of rotation potential a la Tejay. Not an option for 2-pitch Jordan. As it stands Merryweather’s role may depend on how the other guy does, and that guy is killing it right now.
  11. Guy added three ticks to his FB — averaging 96 and touching 99 on the gun — making him one of the hardest throwing lefties in the game all of a sudden. Spinning his CB just north of 3000 rpm. 1 BBE in 48 pitches (sure it was a home run, but point: people aren’t putting his pitches into play). Downside: 3 lefties in front of him in the pecking order — Smith, Minter (both pitched in the opener before his S), and apparently Matzek (who threw 29 pitches the night before and is topping 100). Of course SS caveats apply, and he’s always given up a smidge too many BBS. I’m adding i
  12. Thread may have quieted down for good. Knock wood — Expectations start getting met, not a lot to talk about.
  13. He was lights out, most dominant pitcher at any level by a country mile then hurt — minor shoulder inflammation. MRI didn’t turn anything up, but after a few weeks rest he came back with diminished stuff, diminished command and got knocked around some. High ceiling, medium risk contingent on health. (How is he not a Met?)
  14. Coming back from a sore elbow and getting rocked doesn’t bode.
  15. Sitting. Then, if he does well, I'll take it as a sign that I can run him out against Houston. I call this my backfire strategy, or "playing to finish second".
  16. Lol don't bother with this guy (if you own Sanchez or Realmuto). Seriously, though, hang on to your end-of-bench Kiermaiers and Heywards and let us idiots scoop up a likely league average hitter playing every day, just not at catcher (where he -- ahem -- qualifies). I was all in on Posey so the timing couldn't have been better. Kiner's got me happy as pig in ****.
  17. I was all in on Posey. Now all in on this guy. Moot fun.
  18. True. It also seems like butts in seats might weaken owners' position re compensation per the March agreement? I do agree that their negotiations look like bad faith. COVID gives owners a valid pretense for a lockout that could extend into next season. They have a lot of control and a lot of options when the only thing players want more than to play is to get paid.
  19. ^^this. For the statistical minded (any stat-heads around here?), a thorough primer on why cancelling games and staying home makes a significant difference, even for populations who are at less risk. Considering they have $1.5T in the old Sovereign money bag to float the stock market yesterday, tossing $50-60B at paycheck to paycheck fry-cooks so they can stay home while their noses are running seems like a no brainer. Would pay for itself 50 times over. #BeSaintLouis
  20. Buster Posey is hitting it hard ST Corbin Burnes slider is touching 94 G Polanco Danny Jansen
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