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Posts posted by tusb


    With Rojo out, Fournette for sure.

    I like Beasley this week, even in a tough matchup - he is getting double-digit targets even against tough defenses recently.

    I would avoid Gaskin; as you say, too much risk.

    With Mostert on IR, if Wilson is fully healthy I would consider him over Beasley, but it's close.  If Wilson is questionable, stick with Beasley.


    • Like 1

    Ugh.  I started Adams and my opponent started Fant, so I went from a 9-point favorite to a 14-point underdog quickly.


    Standard scoring:  My lineup as it stands now:

    Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Henry, Taylor, Adams, McLaurin, Hilton, Conner (flex), Gronk, Rams DST.


    Other potential options to sub in:  Jeff Wilson, JD McKissic, Latavius Murray, Sony Michel, Benny Snell, Brandin Cooks.


    McLaurin has had a bad couple of weeks, but he got 39 targets in 4 weeks with Haskins at QB earlier this year, so I feel pretty safe rolling him out there.

    Conner worries me - both from his recent production and his quad injury, and that he's a game-time decision for a Monday Night Game.  I can hold out until Monday to see if he plays and then start Snell if he doesn't, or I can sub in one of the other options above to be on the safe side. 

    If Mostert had been ruled out, that would have made it an easy decision to go with Wilson.  But with Mostert playing, I'm not thrilled with any of the RB options.

    I'm leaning toward starting Cooks, but I'm probably going to sub out that spot 3 or 4 times before the early games start.


    Thoughts?  I need a homerun - stick with Conner, or plug in one of the other options, and if so, which one?


    Thanks in advance.  WHIR (leave a link)

  3. Da

    I doubt if trying to play defense against your opponent's QB is going to make much difference, especially since Davis is unlikely to be higher than Allen's third option (behind Diggs and Beasley).  Just play the one you think has the better chance of a good day.  (And that's a toss-up for me too - I lean towards Patrick since he seems to have emerged as the prime option in Denver, but I also think that Davis has a better matchup than Patrick).

    One quick note - if you are a severe underdog in your matchup, I would definitely play Patrick rather than Davis.  By tying one of your players to your opponent's QB, you reduce your ability to catch up (since if Davis has a big day then by definition Allen will also have a big day).  If you start Patrick in that scenario, you at least have the chance that Patrick could have a big day while Allen does not.  It's a long shot, but it might be worth that risk.  In a neutral or positive game script for you, just play the one you think will be better.




    All right, with a little more clarity on the injury front, I'm left with the decision that I posited 2 days ago:


    Standard scoring.  Need to start one of the following in my FLEX.  With Cooks officially healthy, I need to drop two from this list as well (unless Conner is ruled out by Saturday night, in which case I can stash him in my IR slot)

      James Conner (trending towards a game-time decision against CIN.  Playing IND in week 16)

      Jeff Wilson Jr. (Mostert is playing, so now he's in a time-share against the porous DAL defense.  Playing ARI in week 16)

      JD McKissic  (Gibson and Smith are both out, Haskins at QB vs. SEA.  Not as much upside as if Smith had played, but still in line to lead that backfield.  Revenge game narrative?  Playing CAR in week 16)

      Latavius Murray  (Brees is back, Kamara will feast, Murray will probably resume 10-ish touch role with no pass-catching upside.  Playing MIN in week 16)

      Brandin Cooks  (off the injury report, but IND is a tough matchup.  Playing PIT in week 16)


    At the moment, I'm inclined to rank them this way for week 15:

      McKissic > Cooks > Conner > Wilson > Murray


    And for week 16:

      Cooks > Conner > Wilson > Murray > McKissic


    So I'm either starting McKissic this week and dropping Wilson and Murray, or I'm starting Cooks and dropping Murray and McKissic.  Unless any of you have a better idea....



    Thanks in advance.  WHIR (leave a link)




    Tannehill is the safer play - if you're favored or it's an even matchup, I'd start him.

    If you're an underdog and need an upside play, go with Herbert.  That game could easily be a shootout, but without Herbert throwing 50-yard bombs to Jalen Guyten it's going to be hard for him to top 20 points.




    I'd play Dobbins for sure - Ingram seems to be phased out of the offense, so it's a 2-headed monster rather than 3, with enough volume for both Dobbins and Edwards to have potentially big days.

    I slightly lean towards McLaurin, especially if Alex Smith starts.  I think Evans may have more upside than McLaurin, but his bust potential is also higher.




    I'd go with Juju.  Pittsburgh is struggling to run the ball, and Diontae is struggling with drops, so I'm expecting Big Ben to go to his more reliable option more, and Juju is still getting a good target volume even though the Steelers are awash in receivers.  I like Davis in general, but we saw last week that he can disappear if Tennessee is playing a bad run defense and Derrick Henry can run wild.  Jacksonville was just such a defense last week, and Detroit is similar this week.  



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