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About archibjd

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  1. Strasburg needed TJ surgery after 68 IP in the majors last year. Over the next two years he will probably only pitch 100 IP without a lot of wins because of the team that he is on and the innings cap. I drafted Strasburg last year in my keeper league but found it frustrating to wait on him for 6 months. I had dreams of 300+ K's for this year or 2012. I think to be a *special* guy you can't have durability issues like Stras has had at such a young age. I think people tend to get caught up in building a team with potential only to never realize it. If you are going to gamble and invest in tale
  2. My philosophy is that in a standard 5*5 pool you have to compete in innings pitched since Wins and K's account for 50% of the counting categories for SP's (the others being ERA and WHIP). If you are in the bottom half of innings pitched there is no way you will get enough points in ERA and WHIP to offset your deficit in Wins and K's. There will be 2 or 3 teams that will be more balanced than you (finish near or at the top in Wins and K's and finishing better than average in WHIP and ERA with their solid high value picks and top 10 ace Anchor). I am all for value analysis and sleeper picks (tha
  3. I disagree. It doesn't matter how you move compared to where you were but rather how you move compared to the competition. You need to be competitive in terms of innings pitched or you will get killed in Wins and K's. If everyone (for example) is going with a 5-man rotation you can't go with a 4-man rotation and win because you'll finish too far down in Wins and K's. Also everyone else's 5th starter is doing the same (blowing up in a certain number of unpredictable starts) so it only matters that your fifth starter is blowing up less. With any number of starters you have there will always be
  4. I like to draft a top ten pitcher in rounds 4-5 (it was Wainwright last year here for me), and then go back to pitching when I see a second run on it with the high upside guys after round 10. You need an ace though to bring down your ERA, WHIP and boost your K's and Wins. I like Gio Gonzalez and Ricky Romero for value this year. Morrow isn't the guy to draft. When he has his stuff he can dominate (obviously) but he isn't mentally tough enough to be a true ace. If he doesn't bring his best stuff or he falters with his control he doesn't know how to battle through the game without getting ro
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