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Posts posted by gotamancrushontombrady

  1. On 1/28/2021 at 1:55 AM, Boudewijn said:

    You are right, but I think it's also a bit of a moot point, and in the end you both don't say something drastically different: in the Ravens system, the RBs still have a good chunk of yardage, but if you take into account that LJax takes 1000-1200 yds, they're suddenly not that run-heavy as a team (they'd be between the Packers and the Eagles, more or less).


    Bottom line, between LJax, the system and them apparently running sort of a RBBC, I don't see Dobbins getting a 1500 yds season, although he is extremely talented. Him being drafted by the Ravens was a crime to Fantasy (*).

    (* But in real football terms a pretty solid move)

    Tell you what though, Aaron Jones is a 1/2 round talent, as is (was?) Sanders.  The data in this graph debunks the notion Dobbins doesn't get volume based on LJax - he gets the same or more volume as other high ranked RBs.  Great chart.

    • Like 1
  2. 3 hours ago, DerrickHenrysCleats said:


    What's the deal?


    Siriani is a committed RBBC coach?

    Siriani was OC in Indy.  Throughout the season the season JT would get 7 runs in the first quarter, then disappear until the start of the 4th.  Sounds hyperbolic, but look it up.  Reich came out and admitted he planned the first 15 plans (meaning he planned on JT), then OC takes overs from there.  That means Siriani was the one benching JT for Hines and Wilkins.  I'm not saying the coaching was wise or stupid, just unpredictable.  Now in Philly, and with a potential cadre of backs with various skill sets, Sanders appears less likely to get a workhorse - or even clearly defined - role at least to start the season.

    • Like 1
  3. 33 minutes ago, sasnumberonefan said:

    Love sanders as an offseason buy low in dynasty. New coach/new offense presumably catered to Jalen Hurts’ running ability should have his arrow pointing up big time.

    Probably going to be a rocky start.  Firing Ped. suggests they like Wentz (or know they are stuck with his contract).  They'd need a QB whisperer to turn Wentz around.  Consequently, expect Sanders to start slow.  I agree he's a buy low, because he could blow up once they fix/move on from Wentz.  Additionally, if Derek Henry can work on his pass catching, every reason to think Sander will be better in that area too.  Value seems low with him missing week 17, firing ped., a lot of disfunction right now, but they have a ton of weapons.  Fingers crossed they invest in O-line.

  4. 47 minutes ago, SkinsChargersFan said:

    Was honestly hoping for more... the Texans are god awful against RBs in every facet of the game (rushing, pass-catching, etc.).  Solid game, but not smash spot numbers you hope for.


    Will be interested to see how he does next week; every one of his good games (even earlier in the season) have been in the cakiest of cake matchups.

    Tonight's game should be interesting.  Pitt D hasn't been the same since losing line backers and already weren't great against the run.  One LB might be back next week, but considering cincy can't do anything except run (and not well) it will be telling how this depleted line backing core handles the run game as a forecast for next week.  If any Cincy RB gets 60 yards this week (a tall task), managers shouldn't be scared next week..

  5. 1 hour ago, herschel said:

    You are correct.  If you take out all of his long runs and only use his three yard runs, then his ypc would be around 3

    Had to go back and check where this thread went south.  This was the error, as it started with you saying he’s got nearly 6 ypc, I said look closer before you gloss over, and you got defensive.  I’ll gladly take his home runs, but he’s still boom bust.  No need to get snide about it.

    • Haha 1
  6. Really confused, I’m trying to make the case sanders should be played over Lockett, now everyone’s throwing free candy van memes?  My point is you take the good with the bad with sanders and play him.  He’s not going to actually get 5.7 yards per tote if you watch the game, but he’s as likely as any of the best to bust a 40+yard td, so you play him.  Lotta grinches in here today.

  7. 53 minutes ago, herschel said:

    Dude is currently averaging 5.7 ypc, 4th in the league.



    Got to dig down on those stats Herschel my man.  Lot of 2 yard runs.  I think he had something like 115 yards vs saints, and one 70 yard run on appx 14 rushes.  (115-70)/(14-1)=~3.3, which is not great.  But, again, he’s not nick Chubb, he’s Tyler locket at RB but with more chances.  That’s all good with me.

  8. It’s pretty evident this is what this guy is: he averages around 3 ypc, which isn’t good, but he’s a homerun threat.  He’s 2019 Stefon diggs at RB.  He essentially is Tyler locket.  The difference is you know he’s getting the ball, where as last year diggs or this year Lockett might get 4 targets.  I’d definitely lean sanders, but yea he might bust w 45 total yards.  Opportunity is king and he simply has more.  The opportunities also got better with Hurts needing to be accounted for.  Wilson loves Metcalf, and penny back, they will run more.  Homerun threat for sure but again give me more chances w sanders.

    • Haha 1
  9. 36 minutes ago, nonstopfan said:



    Luckily, the Jags defense suck almost as much with the Cowboys rush defense...

    Jags are giving up the third most rushing yds per game (145.5) and have allowed 16 rushing TD's

    Jags have allowed 2+ rush TD's in 43.8% of their games (second worst)

    "Baltimore is averaging 173.8 rushing YPG and has 19 rushing TD's on the season. That's best in the league in rushing yards and tied for third best in rushing TD's. "


    These numbers are great, but it will come down to share. Dobbins needs some of those money carries that Gus be getting. Also, it will come down to if "Superman" wants to play team football and share the wealth like the Justice League or is he just trying to impress Lois Lane and wants to do everything himself :)


    I think each of Gus's TDs were from 10+ yards out.  Dobbins was in when Ravens within the 10 when I watched.  I don't have the data to back up the claim though.

  10. 2 hours ago, GarrettHasTheClap said:

    I'm starting him.  I'm not relying on his production necessarily to win but his ceiling is higher than most alternatives. I'm not worried about the Saints. Sanders issue has been volume.  He's good enough to overcome a bad matchup if given a chance.  


    We didn't think Wentz would get benched and he did. Let's see if they follow through here.

    See you next year

    • Haha 1
  11. 1 hour ago, herschel said:

    Anything to see here or wishful thinking?


    Eagles' Miles Sanders: May get more opportunities
    23 hrs ago |

    Eagles head coach Doug Pederson implied Wednesday that Sanders could be a greater part of the game plan Week 14 against the Saints while sharing the backfield with new starting quarterback Jalen Hurts, Geoff Mosher of 97.5 The Fanatic Philadelphia reports. "In order to get [Hurts] success, you gotta attempt and try to establish a little bit of the run game, and he can be a part of that," Pederson said of his plans for the new signal-caller.

    In addition to making the run game a greater priority, Pederson also said that he would like to script in more "easy completions" for Hurts, such as screen passes. Both of those items would seem to point to Sanders picking up more work, though No. 2 running back Boston Scott likely won't disappear from the game plan either. Sanders hasn't drawn more than 10 rushes or three targets over his past two outings, so any additional touches he might get would be a welcome sight for his fantasy managers. The matchup with the Saints isn't an ideal spot for Sanders to turn in a breakout game, however, as New Orleans has allowed the fewest touchdowns and second-fewest total yards to running backs this season.


  12. 8 hours ago, Cleanface said:

    Not saying he will be a bellcow, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Wilkins usage decrease substantially and it become a JT/Hines split ROS the same way Mack/Hines split (with Wilkins peppered sparingly).  

    Isn't this what's already happening?  Just saying I don't see a big change in usage coming - sincerely hope I'm wrong.  Really seems like for JT to return big value owners need Indy to get up on LV and then Reich/staff seem comfortable giving the ball to JT in a run the clock out scenario.  Could happen, based on what occur with Jets last week.  Unfortunately, like many poor souls visiting this thread, JT's the best of a handful of bad options this season needed at the most important time. Giddy up!

  13. [...] CLE D looks good this year according to stats, getting healthy, so not a great match up, but man Dobbins looked good on limited carries when there was room.  He got optioned into a defender once or twice, or his blockers missed blocks, but he was a seriously smooth runner with a whole lot of burst.  Ingram looked ... not good.  Even shaving off a few carries from Ingram/Edwards (or Hill - WTF?) to give to Dobbins puts him in the 15 carries ranges which is alright by me to get into lineups.

  14. 1 hour ago, claig34 said:

    Astute observation, Miles. 

    "I know I've sucked lately, so they aren't playing me"  awesome.  Have to assume this means he knows he's getting a reduced workload at least in the short term until he proves he's improved. Obvious sit next week, too bad 🙄

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