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mjb03003

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mjb03003 last won the day on August 8 2018

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About mjb03003

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  • Birthday 02/10/1986

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  1. I'd guess there's a good amount of enthusiasm behind Moore that comes from the dynasty community, since he's so young for a 3rd year player and already has nearly 2k yards on his resume. He checks all the boxes for dynasty as someone who will have a long stretch of high end production. I think sometimes players like this do get inflated in redraft.
  2. I couldn't figure out how to pull in a quote from a different thread, but below is a post I made at the end of last season in the Gesicki 2019 thread. With no receiving weapons added in the draft, and Tua as the long-term QB1 in Miami, I think Gesicki is a clear upgrade for 2020 and moving forward. I'm going to remain cautiously optimistic and stick with that baseline projection of 60/675//7, but I think that is even more likely than it appeared last December, and he may surpass that with ease. mjb03003 Posted December 30, 2019 This guy ha
  3. Pedro Martinez David Ortiz Manny Ramirez Dustin Pedroia honorable mention: Mookie Betts
  4. Same here. Mahomes/Kyler duo looking pretty good for the next decade.
  5. I don't really know what you're referring to with the 3 more hits over 482 AB line. Maybe I missed a post somewhere. I don't think it's entirely quantifiable, how much better your stats will be based on how the ball comes off your bat, but since we're all in the business/hobby of projecting I don't see how it isn't relevant information that can help separate otherwise similar players.
  6. If I'm reading this correctly, Olson was the 10th most shifted against hitter in baseball last season. He was shifted against 87% of the time. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/visuals/batter-positioning?playerId=621566&teamId=&opponent=&firstBase=27&shift=1&season=2019&attempts=25&batSide=L&gb=1&fb=1 He seemed to handle it better than most if you look at his wOBA when shifted against.
  7. Show me where I said this. I said he *could* be a .270-275 hitter based on some of the improvements he displayed as a hitter in 2019. Specifically from June on (where he hit .276 over nearly 400 AB).
  8. I realize this. It's why batted ball data matters. If you consistently hit the ball hard, and/or hit line drives, and/or hit the ball on the barrel, and/or have a certain launch angle... you can start to predict a few more batted balls becoming hits vs. someone who does less of these things.
  9. No one said it's a given. Projection sites tend to be conservative. I've tried pretty hard to point out some of the things that many projections are seemingly not taking into consideration throughout this thread.
  10. Again, you're choosing to focus on just one of the many sample sizes being presented. .267 over a full season (127 games played, 483 AB). Is that also a small sample size? His ceiling is .260 because you say it is? He literally just hit .267. In your other posts you talk about how until something happens it's not a reality. It just happened. The .276 I have cited from June on is also a 395 AB sample size. Is that not relevant? Whatever you're expecting is fine. I'm here for the debate and discussion. I just think you are restricting what is in the realm of possibility based on inconsiste
  11. this is rich coming from the guy who earlier in this thread kept repeating that Olson's career average is .254 and ignoring his .267 average last year (or his .276 from June on, or his .282 in the 2nd half). So with his batting average, the fact that he's done it (hit over .260) means nothing. But with his home run hitting, the fact that he hasn't done it (hit 40 homers) means EVERYTHING. BE. CONSISTENT.
  12. 2018 was his only previous full season in the majors. He had a cup of coffee in 2016, and in 2017 he hit 24 HR in just 59 games played. So far, in terms of power potential, 2018 is the outlier. from 2017-2019, in 348 career games, Olson has 89 homers. That's a per-162 game pace of 41.4 HRs. No, we don't bank on 162 games played for players anymore. But clearly he's demonstrated the power to pop 40 bombs in a healthy season. And all of the stats we have on Olson have come as a 23, 24, and 25 year old player. So he's not yet in his prime/peak years, and we really don't kno
  13. Pretty happy with how my team grades out, even though we obviously have to take it with a massive grain of salt. I think my offense could be slightly better than these projections give it credit for, since i think I have a handful of major breakout candidates who could easily surpass their projections. Specifically I'm higher on Garver and Olson than most. I don't think Garver's season was a total fluke, and even if he comes back to earth a bit I could see him getting more ABs to help compensate for what he loses in efficiency. Olson I've spoken about enough already in this forum. Jump o
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