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JR Smith 2015-2016 Season Outlook


LuSamSiam

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As a Cav last year in 46 games he averaged 2.8 3PM, 12.7 pts, 3.5 rbs, 2.5 assts, 1.4 stls and 0.4 blks, shooting 42.5% fg, 81.8% ft and only 1.1 TO. I don't see any reason not to expect more of the same this year with JR re-signing with Cleveland and basically the same team intact.

Judging from our mock drafts, he may be available in the later rounds, although perhaps his draft position was affected by the uncertainty of his team situation before re-signing yesterday? If he is available in the late rounds he should be a steal though. That combination of 3's/steals is nearly impossible to find at that point, but in addition to that fact, JR (in this role) is nearly a 9-cat player. I'll be targeting in redrafts.

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I'd like to think a lot of people's experiences with him last season are similar to mine.

I drafted him late round 9th/10th(cant remember) in a couple leagues last season because he closed out 13/14 like a boss.

I was hoping for a nice bargain bounce-back to 6th round value in 11/12 and 12/13.

He was so puke-tasticly bad in his first 2.5 months of the season I jettisoned him and then he turned awesome again with CLE and was picked up by someone else.

I would be open to rinse and repeat the plan again (minus the dropping part). NY was toxic last season. I still think he will be a bargain this year.

* caveat - my only fear is that JR is a total headcase (see 2013 playoffs following dumbass ejection etc.). This weird drawn-out contract thing could get in his head because I'm sure it wasn't a pleasant for the ego.

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Main issue now is two folds, of which we'll need clarification on. Firstly, JR soaked up so many minutes post trade because the Cavs were an absolute mess on the wings, and were dragging the corpses of Marion/Miller out. When JR came, Shump was still recovering from his shoulder rehab and thus the path to minutes was clear. They eased in Shimpert and by the time Iman was actually healthy, JR bought such a cohesion to the first unit that he stuck on as the starter.

Now of course during this off season the Cavs retained both Shump and JR. Only difference is now I think Shump might start, and Mo William's addition makes things a bit tricky. Between Delly and Mo, there's enough small tidbits of minutes siphoned out of the back up two spot enough so that you have to hope they move JR over to the 3 and salvage his value there. I like JR a lot more with the first unit than the second for obvious reasons so it's a bit premature right now to speculate on his value until Blatt shows us his hands during preseason.

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^^Agreed. The things I need to watch for is:

1. Will he start over Shumpert or will he back up Shump?

2. Will Mo Williams primarily back up Kyrie or will the slide him over to the 2 thus limiting his minutes.

3. If they slide over Mo over to the 2 can he play the 3 or do they trust Richard Jefferson?

Those are all my concerns.

IMO I don't expect Delly or James Jones to get that many minutes in the regular season as they are situautional players specifically for playoff series.

SideNote: Yes in the drafts he went late because he had no team, but now that he has a team and with a fully healthy sqaud with some depth I will l look around 6th round. I think if he had a team when we did our mock I probably would of drafted him before Covington but that is a slight maybe.

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I'd like to think a lot of people's experiences with him last season are similar to mine.

I drafted him late round 9th/10th(cant remember) in a couple leagues last season because he closed out 13/14 like a boss.

I was hoping for a nice bargain bounce-back to 6th round value in 11/12 and 12/13.

He was so puke-tasticly bad in his first 2.5 months of the season I jettisoned him and then he turned awesome again with CLE and was picked up by someone else.

I would be open to rinse and repeat the plan again (minus the dropping part). NY was toxic last season. I still think he will be a bargain this year.

* caveat - my only fear is that JR is a total headcase (see 2013 playoffs following dumbass ejection etc.). This weird drawn-out contract thing could get in his head because I'm sure it wasn't a pleasant for the ego.

Very possible the same thing happens, might get off to a bad start again and get dropped.

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  • 4 weeks later...

I've tried to grab him with my last pick in every mock I've done. A few times I've missed out because others have grabbed him, which I've been fine with. But getting someone who is going to give a huge boost in threes with a potential for more in the last round is gold.

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So what are we expecting thus year better or worse than the final 3 months? Worth to add or not?

I don't think he can has any realistic chance of being better than he was the final 3 months.

FYI, in a real draft that cost money to enter I got J.R. in the 14th round. 12 teams 8 cat. start 12 players.

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SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH He's very undervalued in Yahoo mocks, like he's really down there to the point you have to scroll down lol.

One of those guys who can get you 2 3's easy in a half. especially with LeBron dishing to him. I would call him ELITE 3 point specialist if given 25-30 minutes.

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  • 2 weeks later...

15/4/4, a steal and 2 blocks, with 3 three pointers and 1 turnover in 22 minutes yesterday. Those are the type of lines I expect regularly from JR next season, with some more explosive ones from time to time, along with duds thrown in here and there. I think Yahoo already moved his ranking up but he still remains massively underrated in my opinion. Danny Green with a small step down in efficiency available 5-6 rounds later.

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One hundred percent agree with the above. I mean when you go from a terrible New York team with no leaders, to a team where Lebron is expecting 100 percent from you, you're forced to undergo changes. J.R. has always had the talent, but not the work ethic IMO, and now given a chance to win a ring, you can see the changes in his game. He makes less bad decisions, he tries harder, runs harder. I think this year will be a 'breakout' year for J.R. whether he comes off the bench or starts.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Love. Three point stud. Almost averaged three a game after he got into the rotation with the Cavs.

He's a bench difference maker. With Shump hurt and Lebron with a back hurt, for me he's a must draft. Pass on the expensive three specialists for him late. And he gives you the huge 6-8 three games which swing head to head leagues.

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