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Byron Buxton 2017 Outlook


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33 minutes ago, St3v3k4hn said:

Seriously, I never thought I would say this but Buxton is carrying my team into the playoffs! 

 

He is playing so well I may have to bring him up from the minor league roster so he can help me in the playoffs. hes been hitting great for over a month now.  I hope this breakout is legit and he can come out hitting like this next season. 

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uh, so i guess it's safe to say hes figuring it out. holy heck what a day and what a month he's been having. 

 

with this type of awakening, what do y'all see him as next year's rankings go for redraft and keeper leagues?

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16 minutes ago, Under500Forever said:

 

He is playing so well I may have to bring him up from the minor league roster so he can help me in the playoffs. hes been hitting great for over a month now.  I hope this breakout is legit and he can come out hitting like this next season. 

just curious but how is he eligible for a minor league roster?

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I believe he is the real deal folks.  He has a great approach and clearly the game is slowed down for him so his talent is finally shining through.  So slumps should not last too long with Buck in the future. Wrists look fine too lol.

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1 hour ago, STLSU said:

I believe he is the real deal folks.  He has a great approach 

What has led you to the conclusion that he has a "great approach". He strikes out 31% of the time and only walks 8% - that's nearly 4:1 ratio of K:BB. He swings at 32% of pitches he sees that are outside the zone. He swings and misses over 13% of the time.

All those numbers are below league average. Nothing about what he has done this year has shown us "great approach". While this is a nice hot streak he's on right now, he was godawful for 800 PA's spread over the last 3 years. Its going to take a whole lot more than a few week of good results to say he has anything resembling a great approach imo.

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3 hours ago, cs3 said:

What has led you to the conclusion that he has a "great approach". He strikes out 31% of the time and only walks 8% - that's nearly 4:1 ratio of K:BB. He swings at 32% of pitches he sees that are outside the zone. He swings and misses over 13% of the time.

All those numbers are below league average. Nothing about what he has done this year has shown us "great approach". While this is a nice hot streak he's on right now, he was godawful for 800 PA's spread over the last 3 years. Its going to take a whole lot more than a few week of good results to say he has anything resembling a great approach imo.

Buxton changed his approach back in June, which has correlated with his increase in production. He no longer uses an exagerated leg kick and he also changed his pre-swing hand placement. Since he made the changes he is only striking out around 23% of the time. 

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25 minutes ago, Backdoor Slider said:

Age 23 season-

 

BJ Upton- .894 OPS 

.300/86/24/82/22

21.8 K%, 11.9 BB% 

 

Buxton- .715 OPS

.249/52/13/37/24

28.7 K%, 7.9 BB%

 

Great! We sure don't want him following BJ's career arc.

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31 minutes ago, Backdoor Slider said:

Age 23 season-

 

BJ Upton- .894 OPS 

.300/86/24/82/22

21.8 K%, 11.9 BB% 

 

Buxton- .715 OPS

.249/52/13/37/24

28.7 K%, 7.9 BB%

BJ is a guy who peaked early in his career.  It remains to be seen what happens wth Buxton. 

 

Byron was so bad in the first few months that his production right now should be a sign that he has made some adjustments.  Can he sustain it?  Who knows.  Pitchers will start adjusting to the new Buxton and we will see how he responds.  

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11 hours ago, cs3 said:

What has led you to the conclusion that he has a "great approach". He strikes out 31% of the time and only walks 8% - that's nearly 4:1 ratio of K:BB. He swings at 32% of pitches he sees that are outside the zone. He swings and misses over 13% of the time.

All those numbers are below league average. Nothing about what he has done this year has shown us "great approach". While this is a nice hot streak he's on right now, he was godawful for 800 PA's spread over the last 3 years. Its going to take a whole lot more than a few week of good results to say he has anything resembling a great approach imo.

Clearly you missed my earlier posts in the thread speaking of his batting stance and game plan.

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2 hours ago, Backdoor Slider said:

Age 23 season-

 

BJ Upton- .894 OPS 

.300/86/24/82/22

21.8 K%, 11.9 BB% 

 

Buxton- .715 OPS

.249/52/13/37/24

28.7 K%, 7.9 BB%

 

How is this relevant? Another talented player showed a flash of production, then failed. We knew that was possible with Buxton, but this comparison doesn't really inform us at all about the topic.

 

Buxton was the top prospect in the game when he arrived. He is already an outstanding defender and a threat on the bases, but it has taken him some time to figure it out as a hitter. At age 23, some mechanical adjustments followed by a strong second half could be the real deal. It is no sure thing, but that's always the case with post-hype sleepers.You have to look for big-time talent, which Buxton has, and reasons why he might be turning things around, such as a change in mechanics. 

 

I've never been great with prospects, but i've had winning fantasy baseball teams because I can find guys worth taking a chance on like Buxton. That is where you  can find great values. 

 

 

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40 minutes ago, Piotr said:

 

How is this relevant? Another talented player showed a flash of production, then failed. We knew that was possible with Buxton, but this comparison doesn't really inform us at all about the topic.

 

Buxton was the top prospect in the game when he arrived. He is already an outstanding defender and a threat on the bases, but it has taken him some time to figure it out as a hitter. At age 23, some mechanical adjustments followed by a strong second half could be the real deal. It is no sure thing, but that's always the case with post-hype sleepers.You have to look for big-time talent, which Buxton has, and reasons why he might be turning things around, such as a change in mechanics. 

 

I've never been great with prospects, but i've had winning fantasy baseball teams because I can find guys worth taking a chance on like Buxton. That is where you  can find great values. 

 

 

Are you aware that BJ Upton was the #2 prospect in all of baseball? 

 

There are a lot of similarities in these two former top prospects who just ooze talent due to their tools & athletic ability, but struggle with plate discipline. So I think the "point of the comparison" was quite obvious, though I knew Buxton owners wouldn't like to see it. 

 

Do with the comparison what you will. It's more for keeper and dynasty owners to contemplate if they get another owner who thinks he's figured it out and they're willing to pay a king's ransom for the former top prospect in baseball. I'm very skeptical Buxton will ever be more than a .250/15/45 OF which of course is plenty valuable. But it's peak BJ Upton. 

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