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Jose Bautista 2017 Outlook


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1 hour ago, Komfy said:

Anyone know if he's a good 2nd half player? 

 

His career 1st/2nd half splits are fairly similar.  He has quite a few more ABs in the 1st half due to some 2nd half injuries over the years, but his per-AB stats are very similar.  Very slightly higher HR rate in 2nd halfs, but it's so small I wouldn't take anything away from it.

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I'm concerned about his hard hit rate this year versus years past. All of fangraphs projections systems have him at a 220 ISO ros but I im thinking those projections may be overly optimistic. His hard contact is noticeably down. He looked like he was turning it around in May but since then and specifically the last few weeks his hit rate is: soft 33% med%33.3% hard33.3. Small sample size but regardless compared to 2015 and 2016 it is concerning.

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Season Age       Hard%
2004 23       0.1837
2005 24       0.1905
2006 25       0.2963
2007 26       0.2971
2008 27       0.2818
2009 28       0.3012
2010 29       0.3961
2011 30       0.3916
2012 31       0.3663
2013 32       0.3790
2014 33       0.3470
2015 34       0.3528
2016 35       0.4105
2017 36       0.3205

 

Hard hit rates over the years^^

Edited by Jimmymckrack
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  • 2 weeks later...
5 minutes ago, johnnyboy8102 said:

What is everyone doing at this point? .218 average and .717 OPS with the calendar turning to August. 

 

Dropped his a** a long time ago. There are plenty of other options available on the wire especially with all the call ups and potential call ups. 

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On 8/2/2017 at 7:47 AM, My Dinner With Andre said:

 

Anything can happen in August and September. Especially Sept with all the call ups and a lot of the league mentally checked out.

 In a division with Boston, New York, and Tampa fighting for playoff spots, I wouldn't count on his opponents being checked out.

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On 5/24/2017 at 2:33 PM, wily mo said:

 

now it's 22 / 7 / 19 / .424, with 3 steals. #7 overall hitter past month in my OBP league, and has creept up inside the top 35 for the whole season

 

so that's pretty good

 

 

I notice the updates stopped here. 

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  • 3 weeks later...
1 hour ago, AroundTheHorn said:

Now I know why my season is in the trash because this guys has been hot garbage all year. Finally going to drop him but sadly it's too late.

It will still feel great though.  Pull the trigger, show that turd who's boss.

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