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Jorge Lopez -- SP Brewers


fawkes_mulder

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He was a top 75 prospect entering 2016. Had a disaster year at AAA. Rebounded in the Puerto Rican Winter League this offseason. 

 

1.56 era, 0.87 whip, 32 k, 13 bb

 

Post-hype sleeper IMO.

 

Longenhagen's write up from today:

 

Quote

Relevant/Interesting Metrics
Produced 14% walk rate at Triple-A, after just 8% at Double-A.

Scouting Report
If you saw Lopez toward the end of 2015, you saw a filthy three-pitch mix that looked like it was headed for big-league success, even if Lopez still had trouble throwing consistent strikes. Things unraveled last year at Colorado Springs, where Lopez was walk and homer prone, before receiving a demotion to Double-A late in the year. Studies have been conducted on pitch movement at higher elevations and they show, due to the way air density effects Magnus force on the baseball, that pitches break less in places like Coors Field and at Colorado Springs. Lopez’s meal-ticket secondary pitch has long been a plus (and I’ve gotten some 70s on it as well), 12-6 curveball that simply wasn’t breaking as much in Triple-A as it previously had been.

After his demotion, Lopez began missing bats more frequently and cuts back on walks. He’ll likely never even have average command, as he struggles to repeat and sync up the moving parts of his delivery, but his stuff might allow him to start anyway. Lopez’s fastball sits about 91-96. He often leans on his low-80s curveball to throw strikes when he’s behind. It’s also his favorite way to keep the peace against left-handed hitters. His changeup feel is poor, but the thing moves because Lopez has such spectacular arm speed. It will flash above average but is often up around 87-89 mph and some scouts think that’s too firm, even if Lopez is sitting in the mid-90s.

There’s No. 2 or 3 starter stuff here, but the command likely caps Lopez’s ceiling around that of a No. 4 or 5 starter — or potentially dominant reliever.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-25-prospects-milwaukee-brewers/

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