hornrimmed_rambis 1,832 Posted October 15, 2017 Share Posted October 15, 2017 I've been looking for the right predictive factor to determine his FG%. Here's what I've got: His FG% is driven by his 3P%, which varies widely. IF he 1) Starts, and 2) Plays SG rather than SF, then he takes far FEWER 3P attempts (4.8 vs 6.7 3PA), and that raises his FG% to a more respectable 41%, vs. 36% if he starts at SF and 37% if he plays from the bench. This has something to do with jacking up 3 point shots from the SF position. He's better if he is NOT doing that. http://www.espn.com/nba/players/splits05?playerId=2581190&sYear=2017&sType=1 We have very limited data from one season. His hot periods also were when Dion Waiters was down, so it's something to keep in mind. He was blazing hot to end the season, with a 46% FG%. This preseason he was mostly at G, playing even PG with Dragic out. He was a respectable 44.6%, and took 4.2 3PA. That number of 3PA is exactly what we want. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
pdids911 508 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 my league is highly competitive. if i wanted him, i had to get him early. took him in the 8th. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Pirate 900 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 I remember the hype was pretty big last season too. Will be interesting to see how he goes this season. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
El_Chingon 1,807 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 43 minutes ago, Pirate said: I remember the hype was pretty big last season too. Will be interesting to see how he goes this season. The preseason hype was justified last season also. Injuries are what ruined his season last year. When he finally got healthy and into a rhythm he was money down the stretch. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Pirate 900 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 28 minutes ago, El_Chingon said: The preseason hype was justified last season also. Injuries are what ruined his season last year. When he finally got healthy and into a rhythm he was money down the stretch. Finally Quote Link to post Share on other sites
brosephd 1,304 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 just dropped fultz for him, i excited to see what he can do with the injury to the SF. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
pushaZ 1,374 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 1 hour ago, brosephd said: just dropped fultz for him, i excited to see what he can do with the injury to the SF. ? Lol u didn't have anyone else to drop Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom Chambers 1,667 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Someone is sure to pick up Fultz and it'll be a bonus for him: he gets better and they get worse. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
pushaZ 1,374 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 I'm in a points league and not sold on this guy. could be wrong. But he signed a 4 year, 42 million dollar deal. That's not that much money in basketball. Plus he looks like he may miss opening game, not exactly a fountain of health Quote Link to post Share on other sites
lbjames6 2,700 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, pushaZ said: I'm in a points league and not sold on this guy. could be wrong. But he signed a 4 year, 42 million dollar deal. That's not that much money in basketball. Plus he looks like he may miss opening game, not exactly a fountain of health Where are you seeing this? I see nothing on Twitter. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hornrimmed_rambis 1,832 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 14 minutes ago, pushaZ said: I'm in a points league and not sold on this guy. could be wrong. But he signed a 4 year, 42 million dollar deal. That's not that much money in basketball. Plus he looks like he may miss opening game, not exactly a fountain of health Complete fabrication? Link needed. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
rodbelding 25 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 12 minutes ago, lbjames6 said: Where are you seeing this? I see nothing on Twitter. Fake news. Set him in your lineup and forget about about it all year. He's the new Dorell Wright. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
theantishere 717 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 21 minutes ago, lbjames6 said: Where are you seeing this? I see nothing on Twitter. He hurt his ankle in practice per rotoworld. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
lbjames6 2,700 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 9 minutes ago, theantishere said: He hurt his ankle in practice per rotoworld. Josh Richardson is expected to start on opening night against the Magic on Wednesday. The injury to Rodney McGruder (leg) is a tough loss for the Heat. This isn't concrete news on Richardson getting the start, but every Heat beat reporter is expecting him to get the nod -- we're in agreement after his strong preseason and how he saw the vast majority of his minutes at the three last year. The Heat have been using Justise Winslow at the three slightly more these days, which could be a more viable play if they want to use Kelly Olynyk at the four. Regardless, Richardson's fantasy value continues to rise and he's now worth a pick in the middle rounds of standard drafts This is the last update I see from Rotoworld, 4 days ago. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
theantishere 717 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Just now, lbjames6 said: Josh Richardson is expected to start on opening night against the Magic on Wednesday. The injury to Rodney McGruder (leg) is a tough loss for the Heat. This isn't concrete news on Richardson getting the start, but every Heat beat reporter is expecting him to get the nod -- we're in agreement after his strong preseason and how he saw the vast majority of his minutes at the three last year. The Heat have been using Justise Winslow at the three slightly more these days, which could be a more viable play if they want to use Kelly Olynyk at the four. Regardless, Richardson's fantasy value continues to rise and he's now worth a pick in the middle rounds of standard drafts This is the last update I see from Rotoworld, 4 days ago. Ahh apologies. Thought I was in the Barton thread. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
HarmStrong 615 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 that's some next level trolling 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
kane 2,857 Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SuperHans 180 Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 This is what i expected after drafting him Quote Link to post Share on other sites
brosephd 1,304 Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 better stat lines ahead Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Lifschitz 2,246 Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 These two teams are half court oriented, so it's not a great matchup for Miami to show case their offense. He'll be better in a faster pace matchup. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Alseca 12 Posted October 19, 2017 Share Posted October 19, 2017 (edited) So much hype for this guy.. why did he shoot 39,4% last season playing 30 min's per game? 1/1/1 is nice and all but what %'s are you expecting out of him? Edited October 19, 2017 by Alseca Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Dupontpt 164 Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 7 points 3/4 2 steal 1 three and a block. 4m left on the first 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Lifschitz 2,246 Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 I wish my players faced Atlanta every night Quote Link to post Share on other sites
python3 301 Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 That last missed shot should be Winslow's. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
lbjames6 2,700 Posted October 24, 2017 Share Posted October 24, 2017 32 minutes ago, python3 said: That last missed shot should be Winslow's. I don't know what the f*** is up with the NBA statisticians this year...in the preseason they were giving the wrong stats and they're still doing it now. They eventually correct it but it's frustrating as an avid basketball watcher. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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