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Serge Ibaka Outlook 2017-18 Season


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This is overthinking and getting way ahead of yourself don't you think?  You have to make it to championship week first.

Ibaka has really turned back the clock this week. He's playing like he's 38 years old again!

Rookie coming in with that fire roast sesh like a seasoned vet lol

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58 minutes ago, crocp said:

I just picked him up in a trade (as a side piece, main person was Kawhi), but I am punting blocks and do not need him.

 

Who are some good punt blocks but decent rebs guys that I could reasonably trade for?

 

More of an AC question, but I'll throw some names... Barnes, Gibson, Markkanen, Kanter (owner probably won't accept the way he has been rolling), Carroll, Ryno, KCP

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The 2014-2015 Ibaka is certainly not coming back, but I don't get why people are dropping him.  Someone just dropped him in my league and I happily picked him up.

 

I'll gladly take a guy who gets 1.5 3PTS and 1.5 BLKS per game, along with a FT% that doesn't kill you (career 75.4% FT...I think his poor current FT% will trend up towards his career norm) for my last roster spot.

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10 minutes ago, FootballFan101 said:

The 2014-2015 Ibaka is certainly not coming back, but I don't get why people are dropping him.  Someone just dropped him in my league and I happily picked him up.

 

I'll gladly take a guy who gets 1.5 3PTS and 1.5 BLKS per game, along with a FT% that doesn't kill you (career 75.4% FT...I think his poor current FT% will trend up towards his career norm) for my last roster spot.

 

trending up as well.

 

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6 minutes ago, bdy1 said:

I would be thrilled beyond belief if this guy could somehow claw his way into the top 100.

 

Once the free throw percentage normalizes, I think Ibaka will be a top 100 fantasy player.  The decline in blocks is for real and has been going on for multiple years but this year's decline in FT% seems really fluky to me.  If anything, his year-to-year trend for FT% has been improving each year before this year.

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20 minutes ago, SuperHans said:

He is 98 for the year on bbm

 

I could very well see him hitting 60-75 by seasons end with values in blks/3s/%s

 

At worst he stays the same

 

The rest of line may stay the same, but I'd be shocked if the FT% didn't improve.

 

Here's his year-by-year FT% trend before this year: 63%, 75%, 66%, 75%, 78%, 84%, 75%,  86%

 

Given this trend, doesn't his current 64% from the line seem really fluky?

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1 hour ago, FootballFan101 said:

 

The rest of line may stay the same, but I'd be shocked if the FT% didn't improve.

 

Here's his year-by-year FT% trend before this year: 63%, 75%, 66%, 75%, 78%, 84%, 75%,  86%

 

Given this trend, doesn't his current 64% from the line seem really fluky?

ft% is volatile, other than the guys that shoot like 90%, others seem to fluctuate a lot. look at westbrook right now for example. in the sample you have shown he has shot mid 60's twice in the last 8 years so, so there is precedent for it. also, you have to look at the number of free throw attempts, it could be that he is getting to the line very infrequently so far this season and he has shot a low percentage in a small sample set before the law of averages starts to take over...

 

but ya, just look at westbrook

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1 hour ago, SuperHans said:

He is 98 for the year on bbm

 

I could very well see him hitting 60-75 by seasons end with values in blks/3s/%s

 

At worst he stays the same

142 ESPN in 9cat with 2x2 instead of TO. 117 in BBM, which I trust more, but I feel better when they’re aligned. I hope you guys are right and days like today become more consistent.

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8 hours ago, richg24 said:

in the sample you have shown he has shot mid 60's twice in the last 8 years so, so there is precedent for it.

 

Those two times were in the first 3 years of his career.  The point I was trying to make is that unlike his blocks which have been trending down for years, his FT% is anything has been getting better with age.  So therefore, like I said, I think this year's FT% is fluky and will normalize.

8 hours ago, richg24 said:

also, you have to look at the number of free throw attempts, it could be that he is getting to the line very infrequently so far this season and he has shot a low percentage in a small sample set before the law of averages starts to take over...

Exactly, that's why I'm saying I think it will normalize by the end of the year.  I'd be really surprised if he's not at least 75% FT by the end of the season.

 

Honestly, other than FT%, his numbers look pretty similar to last year when he was a top 50 player.  I don't understand why people are dropping him, including someone in one of my leagues.  If the FT% normalizes, he's a top 75 player still.

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