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DeAndre Ayton 2018-2019 Season Outlook


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12 minutes ago, SicarioSanity said:

Got Ayton at 26 in a 16 teamer, paired him with Lillard in a punt assist build. Super hyped to be an owner - he just needs to replicate what he did during the preaseason and he will smash this ranking. Not at all regretting the reach I did.

 

2nd round pick....ouch....

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15 minutes ago, SicarioSanity said:

Got Ayton at 26 in a 16 teamer, paired him with Lillard in a punt assist build. Super hyped to be an owner - he just needs to replicate what he did during the preaseason and he will smash this ranking. Not at all regretting the reach I did.

 

I think that's the earliest I've heard of him going and I gotta say I think you may have drafted him at his ceiling for this year even if everything falls into place. I own him in 2 leagues and if he finishes 26th overall I'm going to be ecstatic. Even if he carries his preseason momentum I'm not so sure about "smashing" that ranking either. Good luck man, like I said I own him too and I hope your gamble pays off, but I'm pessimistic that he turns out THAT good. 

 

 

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Just now, misterj said:

 

I think that's the earliest I've heard of him going and I gotta say I think you may have drafted him at his ceiling for this year even if everything falls into place. I own him in 2 leagues and if he finishes 26th overall I'm going to be ecstatic. Even if he carries his preseason momentum I'm not so sure about "smashing" that ranking either. Good luck man, like I said I own him too and I hope your gamble pays off, but I'm pessimistic that he turns out THAT good. 

 

 

I'm all in on the Ayton train, but with somewhat tempered expectations.  I drafted him in a few leagues, but they were the auction type drafts. I did have to overpay a bit over his average $18 price on yahoo leagues (paid from $21 to $23 on all 4 leagues I own him). I would be stoked if he delivers 3rd to 4th round value, anything over that is just gravy on top.

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I expect him to put up prime Al Jefferson stats his rookie year.

 

If his FT% is closer to 80 than 70, he'll return 2nd round value with a chance at cracking late 1st round value.

 

All comes down to the FT% because he's looking like 18/10/1.5 with 54% easy.

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Got him at 46 last week. Wouldn’t have been available to me in the next round. 

 

A slight reach, but seems fun to own and has the opportunity and skill set to produce like KAT’s rookie year.

 

I’m on board the hype train :ph34r:

Edited by ovofnd
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2 hours ago, misterj said:

 

I think that's the earliest I've heard of him going and I gotta say I think you may have drafted him at his ceiling for this year even if everything falls into place. I own him in 2 leagues and if he finishes 26th overall I'm going to be ecstatic. Even if he carries his preseason momentum I'm not so sure about "smashing" that ranking either. Good luck man, like I said I own him too and I hope your gamble pays off, but I'm pessimistic that he turns out THAT good. 

 

 

All good my man. I am a big advocate of reaching for players if they fit your draft build. Last year I got Air Gordon at 39 and got a lot of flak for it as well haha. We all know how that turned out, he started off fast (had that monster 40 point early season game in BKN) and cooled off after the new year.

 

With that being said with my draft position, Ayton is the only big that can provide possibly 20 ppg, 10 rpg and 1.5 bpg without hurting your FT% after the Giannis/KAT/Embiid tier. Even if he doesn't reach those numbers exactly something close to it will work for how I built my team. It's not about if he finishes higher or lower than 26, it's about the specific selection of stats I needed for my team so I pulled the trigger.

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12 minutes ago, kawaiileonard said:

does anyone have pre-season stats of KAT and AD in their rookie year?

 

KAT:

2015-2016 PRESEASON GAME LOG
DATE OPP SCORE MIN FGM-FGA FG% 3PM-3PA 3P% FTM-FTA FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
Fri 10/23 W 112-108 31 8-12 .667 0-0 .000 2-2 1.000 12 1 1 1 3 0 18
Tue 10/20 L 88-106 13 2-5 .400 0-0 .000 2-3 .667 6 0 0 0 3 1 6
Sun 10/18 L 68-90 23 2-7 .286 0-0 .000 4-4 1.000 7 1 0 0 3 3 8
Wed 10/14 W 89-87 20 4-7 .571 0-1 .000 4-5 .800 6 0 3 0 0 1 12
Mon 10/12 L 105-112 23 2-5 .400 0-0 .000 3-4 .750 6 2 0 2 4 2 7
Sat 10/10 L 105-114 23 4-9 .444 0-0 .000 5-5 1.000 10 0 1 1 4 1 13
Wed 10/7 L 99-122 28 8-12 .667 0-1 .000 2-2 1.000 5 1 2 2 2 3 18

 

AD:

2012-2013 PRESEASON GAME LOG
DATE OPP SCORE MIN FGM-FGA FG% 3PM-3PA 3P% FTM-FTA FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
Fri 10/26 W 96-89 36 11-18 .611 0-0 .000 2-5 .400 11 0 1 3 1 4 24
Wed 10/24 L 90-97 38 5-12 .417 0-0 .000 3-5 .600 8 0 3 2 5 6 13
Mon 10/22 L 74-87 35 2-12 .167 0-1 .000 2-2 1.000 17 2 2 0 1 4 6
Thu 10/18 L 68-97 36 8-11 .727 0-0 .000 3-5 .600 7 1 1 0 2 1 19
Fri 10/12 L 75-95 0 0-0 .000 0-0 .000 0-0 .000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thu 10/11
  • @
  •  CHA
W 90-87 30 4-12 .333 0-0 .000 4-6 .667 9 1 1 0 0 2 12
Tue 10/9
  • vs
  •  CHA
W 97-82 30 9-18 .500 0-1 .000 4-7 .571 9 1 1 0 1 0 22
Sun 10/7 W 85-80 23 4-9 .444 0-0 .000 0-2 .000 8 1 2 0 3 0 8
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12 hours ago, misterj said:

 

I think that's the earliest I've heard of him going 

 

 

I raise you one spot. Wanted him at 35 or 37 but someone took him at 25 overall, pick 03.01. He can be kept in round 2 next year, so that justifies a little inflation, but my eyes popped wide open when that pick came in.

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1 hour ago, Tekno Team 2000 said:

 

KAT:

2015-2016 PRESEASON GAME LOG
DATE OPP SCORE MIN FGM-FGA FG% 3PM-3PA 3P% FTM-FTA FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
Fri 10/23 W 112-108 31 8-12 .667 0-0 .000 2-2 1.000 12 1 1 1 3 0 18
Tue 10/20 L 88-106 13 2-5 .400 0-0 .000 2-3 .667 6 0 0 0 3 1 6
Sun 10/18 L 68-90 23 2-7 .286 0-0 .000 4-4 1.000 7 1 0 0 3 3 8
Wed 10/14 W 89-87 20 4-7 .571 0-1 .000 4-5 .800 6 0 3 0 0 1 12
Mon 10/12 L 105-112 23 2-5 .400 0-0 .000 3-4 .750 6 2 0 2 4 2 7
Sat 10/10 L 105-114 23 4-9 .444 0-0 .000 5-5 1.000 10 0 1 1 4 1 13
Wed 10/7 L 99-122 28 8-12 .667 0-1 .000 2-2 1.000 5 1 2 2 2 3 18

 

AD:

2012-2013 PRESEASON GAME LOG
DATE OPP SCORE MIN FGM-FGA FG% 3PM-3PA 3P% FTM-FTA FT% REB AST BLK STL PF TO PTS
Fri 10/26 W 96-89 36 11-18 .611 0-0 .000 2-5 .400 11 0 1 3 1 4 24
Wed 10/24 L 90-97 38 5-12 .417 0-0 .000 3-5 .600 8 0 3 2 5 6 13
Mon 10/22 L 74-87 35 2-12 .167 0-1 .000 2-2 1.000 17 2 2 0 1 4 6
Thu 10/18 L 68-97 36 8-11 .727 0-0 .000 3-5 .600 7 1 1 0 2 1 19
Fri 10/12 L 75-95 0 0-0 .000 0-0 .000 0-0 .000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thu 10/11
  • @
  •  CHA
W 90-87 30 4-12 .333 0-0 .000 4-6 .667 9 1 1 0 0 2 12
Tue 10/9
  • vs
  •  CHA
W 97-82 30 9-18 .500 0-1 .000 4-7 .571 9 1 1 0 1 0 22
Sun 10/7 W 85-80 23 4-9 .444 0-0 .000 0-2 .000 8 1 2 0 3 0 8

This looks like The Matrix code on my phone lol

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Just now, BetterCallHinkie said:

I wonder whats the highest he’s gone in auctions? Was able to grab him for $14 in my dyno before the preseason and will only cost me $24 to keep him next season.

 

Choo Choo!

Went for $26 in my keeper auction, will be $31 if kept.

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4 hours ago, BetterCallHinkie said:

I wonder whats the highest he’s gone in auctions? Was able to grab him for $14 in my dyno before the preseason and will only cost me $24 to keep him next season.

 

Choo Choo!

 

posted him first round in an auction two days before preseason. figured there would be a bidding war and wanted to get money off the board for people willing to overpay for rookies. these are the same people that overpay for breakout candidates and they can be quite annoying. but hardly anyone bid on ayton, so i got him for $12 ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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