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Pascal Siakam 2018-2019 Season Outlook


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Oh no you're right, 3 weeks into the season his fate is sealed.. he was only a top 35 player last season in the exact same situation. May as well trade Jokic for Nurkic now too seeing as Jokic is play

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Oh the tings I will do when I am on call at work and all the servers are running fine (in other words, I am bored): 

Pascal Siakam fun facts, Nov 20 edition: 

  •   number of games with 3 or more 3PT attempts: 

2018/19 - 3 games
2017/18 - 20 games  ( 2 games after all star break)
2016/17 - zero games

  • Number of games with 3 or more 3PT attempts  where 3P% less than 50%:

2018/19 -  1 game (his FG% was 62% in that game)
2017/18 - 16  games (1  game after all star break)

I think we can see a trend where he will  attempt some 3s; if they go in he will keep shooting. If not he will not take them.

And final fun facts: 

  •  number of games with 10 or more FGA :

2018/19 - 8
2017/18 - 8
2016/17 - 2

  • number of games with 10 or more FGA and FG% less than 50% :

2018/19 - 1
2017/18 - 1 
2016/17 - 0

  •  number of games with 10 or more FGA and FG% greater than 60% :

2018/19 - 6  (only 2 games so far with 10 or more attempts and FG% under 60%; he was 40% and 57% in those)
2017/18 - 4 
2016/17 - 0

Let's do some math.
Assumption: for the rest of the season he attempts  two 3s per game and ten FGA total.

That would give him total of 820 FGA per season.
To hit 60% he needs  to  make  492 of them (492 / 820 = 0.6) 

820 FGA = 164 3PTA + 656 2FGA


If he keeps making 3s at the current rate of 31%  he needs to make 51 of them.
51 /164 = 0.31

492 - 51 = 441

So, to hit 60% for the season, he needs to make 441 2-point FG out of 656 attempts.
441 / 656 = 0.672

In other words, his FG% for 2s should be 67% or higher in order to make 60%  for the season.

So far for the season, he is at 68.8% (http://www.espn.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/field-goals/sort/fieldGoalPct)

Difficult but not impossible, DeAndre Jordan has done it couple of times.
The watch is on...


 

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You're also assuming that he's healthy the rest of the year. Your average useful fantasy player (iirc) plays about a high 80% of his games year to year. We're 20% of the way through the year, so you can assume he plays 72-74 games. Meaning it's even easier for him to hit those numbers.

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12 minutes ago, miasma16 said:

You're also assuming that he's healthy the rest of the year. Your average useful fantasy player (iirc) plays about a high 80% of his games year to year. We're 20% of the way through the year, so you can assume he plays 72-74 games. Meaning it's even easier for him to hit those numbers.

 

Especially when he is "the Great One"

(i guess I'll also settle for "the chosen one") 

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1 minute ago, ellejamil said:

Can somebody do an analysis of his shot selection? That could be a better indication

just watch one Raptors game, that is all you need.  At the rim or  wide open 3s. Very seldom he shoots long 2s

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4 hours ago, Gile Pile said:

Oh the tings I will do when I am on call at work and all the servers are running fine (in other words, I am bored)

Pascal Siakam fun facts, Nov 20 edition: 

  •   number of games with 3 or more 3PT attempts: 

2018/19 - 3 games
2017/18 - 20 games  ( 2 games after all star break)
2016/17 - zero games

  • Number of games with 3 or more 3PT attempts  where 3P% less than 50%:

2018/19 -  1 game (his FG% was 62% in that game)
2017/18 - 16  games (1  game after all star break)

I think we can see a trend where he will  attempt some 3s; if they go in he will keep shooting. If not he will not take them.

And final fun facts: 

  •  number of games with 10 or more FGA :

2018/19 - 8
2017/18 - 8
2016/17 - 2

  • number of games with 10 or more FGA and FG% less than 50% :

2018/19 - 1
2017/18 - 1 
2016/17 - 0

  •  number of games with 10 or more FGA and FG% greater than 60% :

2018/19 - 6  (only 2 games so far with 10 or more attempts and FG% under 60%; he was 40% and 57% in those)
2017/18 - 4 
2016/17 - 0

Let's do some math.
Assumption: for the rest of the season he attempts  two 3s per game and ten FGA total.

That would give him total of 820 FGA per season.
To hit 60% he needs  to  make  492 of them (492 / 820 = 0.6) 

820 FGA = 164 3PTA + 656 2FGA


If he keeps making 3s at the current rate of 31%  he needs to make 51 of them.
51 /164 = 0.31

492 - 51 = 441

So, to hit 60% for the season, he needs to make 441 2-point FG out of 656 attempts.
441 / 656 = 0.672

In other words, his FG% for 2s should be 67% or higher in order to make 60%  for the season.

So far for the season, he is at 68.8% (http://www.espn.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/field-goals/sort/fieldGoalPct)

Difficult but not impossible, DeAndre Jordan has done it couple of times.
The watch is on...


 

Boy, you were really bored at work! :lol:

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10 minutes ago, jvfantasy said:

Kawhi is out tonight. Expecting a double-double, +60% shooting, and a full line from Siakam tonight. 

And the opponent is Hawks, so let the line be 2/2/2/2 :D

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