Magoo Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 (edited) 21 minutes ago, tonycpsu said: Worth noting, but I don't see why we wouldn't see a repeat The team let those guys run because there was no downside, because the team wasn't going anywhere. The team isn't going anywhere in 2019, either. Maybe early in the season a few stop signs go up, but once it's clear that the team isn't contending, why wouldn't they just let them run? Steals can be a funny thing to predict because so much is outside of their control (SBO, unpredictable managers etc). They are still going to play to win at least at first. The Royals weren't a "contender" to start last year when Merrifield barely ran. Edited December 5, 2018 by Magoo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonycpsu Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 14 minutes ago, Magoo said: They are still going to play to win at least at first. The Royals weren't a "contender" to start last year when Merrifield barely ran. Yeah, but when every team is mathematically in contention, you have to at least pretend. Once it becomes clear to everyone that not only are they not built to win but they have no realistic shot, then you just give the fans a reason to tune in / show up, which means letting your players do what they do best, regardless of whether it might decrease win expectancy by a small fraction. I'm predicting the same pattern -- respectable but not silly SB numbers early, then just total madness. Mondesi may or may not hit well enough to realize all that SB potential late in the season, which is why I'm not in on him at his current price, but Whit almost certainly will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Bat Theory Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 (edited) 4 hours ago, Magoo said: Steals can be a funny thing to predict because so much is outside of their control (SBO, unpredictable managers etc). They are still going to play to win at least at first. The Royals weren't a "contender" to start last year when Merrifield barely ran. The only way the Royals can win is with speed at this point. Last year they still had Moose at the start to drive Merrifield in. Not this season. Edited December 5, 2018 by The Big Bat Theory Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magoo Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 14 minutes ago, The Big Bat Theory said: The only way the Royals can win is with speed at this point. Last year they still had Moose at the start to drive Merrifield in. Not this season. Ohearn begs to differ. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecofolux Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Guy has a real problem making contact AND taking walks. Not feeling it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RotoCat Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Peraza hit like .323 for about 200 at bats with no plate discipline, and more homeruns then was expected. The next year he stunk and beginning of 2018 until he realize he needed plate discipline, then he took off. Peraza is no Mondesi but believe me thier watching tape. Say goodby to Mondesi's out of this world end of 2018 season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DearMrFantasy Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 On 12/6/2018 at 2:20 AM, RotoCat said: Peraza hit like .323 for about 200 at bats with no plate discipline, and more homeruns then was expected. The next year he stunk and beginning of 2018 until he realize he needed plate discipline, then he took off. Peraza is no Mondesi but believe me thier watching tape. Say goodby to Mondesi's out of this world end of 2018 season. Dont think Peraza is a great comp. Yes- both speedy w/ plate discipline issues, but Peraza never projected as having any pop. Peraza was a sub 400 SLG guy in AAA while Mondesi slugged 500+ in AAA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST. STEVEN Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 There are flags in the profile, certainly. But he can continue to shine up those things too. Speaking as a guy that was onto him early as a huge buy-low in dynasty last year (as @Flyman75can attest to) he might be one of the more obvious sell at hype peaks now too...just because the industry has pushed him super high. Idk I will likely hold at least into ST to see. I don't have any analytical data to support, but he really appeared to be smoking the ball--when he made contact. His barrels and esp exit velo numbers would be of interest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DearMrFantasy Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 4 hours ago, ST. STEVEN said: There are flags in the profile, certainly. But he can continue to shine up those things too. Speaking as a guy that was onto him early as a huge buy-low in dynasty last year (as @Flyman75can attest to) he might be one of the more obvious sell at hype peaks now too...just because the industry has pushed him super high. Idk I will likely hold at least into ST to see. I don't have any analytical data to support, but he really appeared to be smoking the ball--when he made contact. His barrels and esp exit velo numbers would be of interest. Useful data on this: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/adalberto-mondesi-609275?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnonymousRob Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 2 hours ago, DearMrFantasy said: Useful data on this: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/adalberto-mondesi-609275?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb Looks like he'll be seeing a ton of off-speed and breaking balls next season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TribeFoo Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Razzball has him #20 overall. The overdrafts on this guy are going to be legendary. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueToTheBlue Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 ESPN doesn’t even have him in their top 100. Rankings on this guy are all over the place right now 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasyGeek2018 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 He just went 30th overall in my new keeper league. Too high for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmoore1521 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 This guy and Villar are going to be super interesting same type of player that nobody has a real firm grasp on the right time to take them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magoo Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, kmoore1521 said: This guy and Villar are going to be super interesting same type of player that nobody has a real firm grasp on the right time to take them It’s interesting to see there is no steal inflation for slap hitters but any power projections (10+) and they just keep climbing. mondesi adp will be 30ish by March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jfazz23 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, Magoo said: It’s interesting to see there is no steal inflation for slap hitters but any power projections (10+) and they just keep climbing. mondesi adp will be 30ish by March. i took him 34 in mock 1, and i dont regret it 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members_Only_76 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, jfazz23 said: i took him 34 in mock 1, and i dont regret it took him 55 in our current mock, and happy with it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jfazz23 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Members_Only_76 said: took him 55 in our current mock, and happy with it. just checked, hes gone 33, 44 and 55 in our 3 mocks. im willing to take one risk in the top 5 or so. he might be my risk in several leagues. unless i get a 25+sb guy in the 1st or 2nd 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bradwatson Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 10:15 AM, kmoore1521 said: This guy and Villar are going to be super interesting same type of player that nobody has a real firm grasp on the right time to take them Couldn't be more excited to be keeping both from last year. These guys won a bunch of leagues last year, especially Mondesi. Definitely two of the most intriguing players to watch for 2019. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2ndCitySox Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 hours ago, bradwatson said: Couldn't be more excited to be keeping both from last year. These guys won a bunch of leagues last year, especially Mondesi. Definitely two of the most intriguing players to watch for 2019. Yeah Villar can either help win you your league or be on your waiver by May. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AF25 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 So on average, he seems to be a top 50 player; I am sure many people inflated his stats from last year, which I learned the hard way, not to. I took him from waiver last year in one of my leagues and will have the right of him this year too; so at least the risk is minimum. In the redraft league if he is available in 5 round (at least 12 teams) or later, I will feel more comfortable on taking him. The secondary stats just scares me some. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slatykamora Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 (edited) On 12/20/2018 at 3:59 PM, AnonymousRob said: Looks like he'll be seeing a ton of off-speed and breaking balls next season. Across the board players have worse numbers vs breaking balls. Off-speed? We shall see in a full season Edited January 17, 2019 by Slatykamora Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFS179 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 He’s exciting for sure after that second half run, especially September. That said he feels pretty risky too. The Royals shouldn’t have anything to lose and should just let him play daily, but they’ve screwed things up numerous times before. I want at least one share somewhere, but it may be tough to go all in unless he improves the plate discipline remarkably in ST giving hints that he’s working on his batting eye. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pan55 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 hours ago, JFS179 said: He’s exciting for sure after that second half run, especially September. That said he feels pretty risky too. The Royals shouldn’t have anything to lose and should just let him play daily, but they’ve screwed things up numerous times before. I want at least one share somewhere, but it may be tough to go all in unless he improves the plate discipline remarkably in ST giving hints that he’s working on his batting eye. And if he does that, you wont want to pay the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magoo Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 20 hours ago, JFS179 said: He’s exciting for sure after that second half run, especially September. That said he feels pretty risky too. The Royals shouldn’t have anything to lose and should just let him play daily, but they’ve screwed things up numerous times before. I want at least one share somewhere, but it may be tough to go all in unless he improves the plate discipline remarkably in ST giving hints that he’s working on his batting eye. With his OBP issues he’ll be lucky to not disappoint in runs relative to expectations. Especially on this team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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