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George Springer 2019 Outlook


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[Thread for previous season automatically locked. Feel free to post a new thread for 2020.]

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17 minutes ago, Baur10 said:

 

He has left something to be desired for sure.  I think he has more power than the 22 HR he showed last year though and has consistently elite R production.  I know waiting on Springer to "break out" has been the downfall of many a team before, but with a relatively high floor and potential for .275/115/30/80/10 if all breaks right color me interested.

I've owned him since his final season in AAA so I waited for a longtime for the real breakout. Eventually I gave up on that and now look at him similarly to you - very high floor player who won't hurt you but likely isn't going to win a league for you. Anything over the established .265/100/25 line is gravy to me at this point, especially steals. Would love to see 30+ homers.

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58 minutes ago, bradwatson said:

I've owned him since his final season in AAA so I waited for a longtime for the real breakout. Eventually I gave up on that and now look at him similarly to you - very high floor player who won't hurt you but likely isn't going to win a league for you. Anything over the established .265/100/25 line is gravy to me at this point, especially steals. Would love to see 30+ homers.

 

I think that's a tough thing to do for a lot of fantasy managers.  When players don't live up to their hype people sometimes devalue them more than they deserve. It sucks hes not the first round guy we hoped but at this 40+ ADP this year I'm not than happy with his floor/ceiling combo. I made a similar argument with Archer this year too (although a bit less confidently). No he's not an ace which sucks but a low 4 ERA with high 3 potential and a good shot at 200+ IP and K could be solid value at 120+.  

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On 4/20/2019 at 8:05 PM, bradwatson said:

Quietly having a really good start to the season. I've considered him mostly a jag for the past few years. Hopefully he can get to 30+ homers again this year.

 

This might just be me being nitpicky, but I've never really considered him a JAG; when I think of a JAG I think of the perennial two WAR players that you use to fill out your roster. He never quite reached the level many thought he could, but he's still a career .266/.357/.472 hitter. I do think he should get to 30 again this year, remember he was hurt or playing hurt for a decent portion of last season. Still early but he already has seven home runs. 

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35 minutes ago, phillyphan21 said:

 

This might just be me being nitpicky, but I've never really considered him a JAG; when I think of a JAG I think of the perennial two WAR players that you use to fill out your roster. He never quite reached the level many thought he could, but he's still a career .266/.357/.472 hitter. I do think he should get to 30 again this year, remember he was hurt or playing hurt for a decent portion of last season. Still early but he already has seven home runs. 

You aren't being nitpicky. He's definitely above JAG level. What I really mean is that his numbers in all but 1 or 2 seasons have been replaceable by many guys on the wire. Case and point: Eddie Rosario has turned into a better fantasy player than George Springer and likely went lower in drafts the past 2 years after being a waiver wire add in 2017.

The same thing could be said for plenty of guys of course. I think the problem as you said is that expectations for George were much higher than he's ever reached, with the closest he's come being in 2017. When a guy goes 40/35 or whatever in the minors it's hard not to expect a 35/20 season at some point in the majors.

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10 minutes ago, bradwatson said:

You aren't being nitpicky. He's definitely above JAG level. What I really mean is that his numbers in all but 1 or 2 seasons have been replaceable by many guys on the wire. Case and point: Eddie Rosario has turned into a better fantasy player than George Springer and likely went lower in drafts the past 2 years after being a waiver wire add in 2017.

The same thing could be said for plenty of guys of course. I think the problem as you said is that expectations for George were much higher than he's ever reached, with the closest he's come being in 2017. When a guy goes 40/35 or whatever in the minors it's hard not to expect a 35/20 season at some point in the majors.

 

I get what you're saying. Springer has been a valuable asset but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't expecting more. I have him in a dynasty league (bought somewhat low, think 85 cents on the dollar, around our trade deadline last year) and I'm hoping he has another 2017 and in the early going at least that looks probable. I don't think the steals are ever gonna come like we all thought they would but he should hold value everywhere else, even last year he was fine until he got hurt. 

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1 hour ago, brockpapersizer said:

What's funny is there were a lot of posts about "Why get Springer, when you can get X 5 rounds later".  Happens every year and in multiple threads though. 

I don't think I posted one of those, but I was certainly thinking it... Pleasantly surprised by his production so far this year.

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44 minutes ago, bradwatson said:

I don't think I posted one of those, but I was certainly thinking it... Pleasantly surprised by his production so far this year.

I'm not too surprised. I knew he was good, average might come down a bit. He's really good.  Perfectly in that really good tier of players nobody cares about and everyone doesn't want to pay full price for coming off a bad year but is within the age where he's almost surely bouncing back if healthy. Altuve to a similar but different extent is the same.

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1 hour ago, Fantasy Baseball Geek said:

Best value pick in the top 100 by far this season? This guy has been a team saver! Hope he can keep it up!

And I saw a ton of people in different places saying the dumb "Why get Springer in round X when you can get X 6 rounds later"

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