RyanK 99 Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 Dropped Allen, got Jameis and rollin' with it. Feel like Allen is in the awesome stream category and a great schedule after the bye, but unusable for 2wks. Also, bad Fantasy Playoff schedule. Only keep if you see yourself desperate in the middle of the season with his cake schedule. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
cnewbykkn 832 Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 57 minutes ago, handyandy86 said: Allen has 11 rushing TDs in 16 career games, which is actually like a 69% chance of a TD (and 3 of 4 this season is a 75% chance). Most leagues score rushing TDs for 6 points and passing TDs for 4 points, which means a passing TD is only worth 67% of what a rushing TD is worth. 2 passing TDs is worth 8 fantasy points, and 1 passing TD and ~70% of a rushing TD is worth 8.2 fantasy points. So yeah, 1 pass TD and Allen's rushing game is more valuable than your arbitrary 2 passing TD threshold for QB fantasy relevance. Based on your rationalization, hes actually at a 75% chance of a pass TD this season. Soooooo, 0.75 pass TDs and 0.75 rush TDs is worth LESS than 2 pass TDs. Also - don't say "most leagues are 4pts passing TDs" when you cant prove it. My league is 5 for passing which only further supports my side of the debate and why I am rolling with Winston and Jones for now. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
PlayTheWaivers 1,886 Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 Easy drop- pick up Sunday morning next week Quote Link to post Share on other sites
StevieStats 3,722 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 so Coach McDermott has confirmed that if Allen is cleared, he will play. Allen is in protocol still, but later stages -- going to team meetings and practicing. Needs final all clear from team and independent neurologist. One tell to watch: Bills have an open roster spot after releasing a backup libeman this week and Barkley is the only other QB on the roster. If the Bills sign someone other than a QB he's probably playing. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
smeeze 6,096 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
kraftwrk_5 656 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 So GTD, eh? Yuck. I wish they'd just rest him through the bye so he can get fully healthy. His schedule for the next several weeks after is nothing short of mouth-watering. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
owenmills 5,326 Posted October 4, 2019 Share Posted October 4, 2019 13 minutes ago, kraftwrk_5 said: So GTD, eh? Yuck. I wish they'd just rest him through the bye so he can get fully healthy. His schedule for the next several weeks after is nothing short of mouth-watering. Should know earlier than that. This isn't an ankle that he has to test before the game. If he's not cleared by Sunday morning I don't think he's getting cleared and they probably will have signed another QB and ruled him out. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
owenmills 5,326 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Cleared and expected to play 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
StevieStats 3,722 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 He's cleared to play. Out of protocol. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Nah85 33 Posted October 5, 2019 Share Posted October 5, 2019 Don’t have much options so I gotta play him. I think he can have a good game. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
astrongcupofjoel 64 Posted October 6, 2019 Share Posted October 6, 2019 like that he's ready to go but i think i'm gonna sit him for jimmy g... i'll check in with the "experts" tomorrow morning. i'm pretty bullish on josh in general but i think jimmy against cleveland is more likely to tread water and i want to avoid a stinker... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
daethfromabove1979 874 Posted October 6, 2019 Share Posted October 6, 2019 If Allen was dropped in your league he is worth grabbing for his upcoming schedule after the bye, Miami twice, Philly, Washington, Cleveland, Denver. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
crotchcrickets 3,165 Posted October 6, 2019 Share Posted October 6, 2019 gonna be pouring rain all day here in nashville so keep that in mind. not sure if it helps or hurt. could help on the running game front. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
lindown 175 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 is he worth keeping through bye week? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
afl5013 420 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, lindown said: is he worth keeping through bye week? Out of the bye he gets MIA PHI WSH @CLE @MIA so i'd say so. 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
kraftwrk_5 656 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 hour ago, lindown said: is he worth keeping through bye week? Hell yeah Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BGDDYKWL 1,130 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 hour ago, lindown said: is he worth keeping through bye week? Yes, as mentioned, nice schedule, and I'd expect his numbers to improve ROS. He offers a nice floor and a pretty decent ceiling. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
theSPANKER 2,165 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Where will he end up ROS if he stays healthy? Top 10? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
dsrich 990 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 12 minutes ago, theSPANKER said: Where will he end up ROS if he stays healthy? Top 10? Probably top 32 at minimum 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BGDDYKWL 1,130 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, theSPANKER said: Where will he end up ROS if he stays healthy? Top 10? I'd expect his ROS stats to put him right around QB8-10, particularly in 4-point passing TD leagues. Edited October 9, 2019 by BGDDYKWL 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
theSPANKER 2,165 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 9 minutes ago, BGDDYKWL said: I'd expect his ROS stats to put him right around QB8-10, particularly in 4-point passing TD leagues. Can you re-assess for 6-point passing leagues? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
WayneFontes 316 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Top 5 QB ROS. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
JStyles 599 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 *Top 5 QB until week 12 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BGDDYKWL 1,130 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 5 hours ago, theSPANKER said: Can you re-assess for 6-point passing leagues? I probably should have just said he has even more value in 4-point passing TDs. It's likely not gonna make a huge difference in his end of season ranking. Probably just a slot or two. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Resident A-hole 96 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 I really think having Duke Williams instead of Zay Jones will help Allen's TD #s & completion %. Zay was completely useless this year, dropping passes, not fighting for contested balls, and not getting open enough- he caught only 7 of 18 targets this year. Replacing that with a red zone threat & a guy who can win jump balls is a boon. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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