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Alex Verdugo 2019 Outlook


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I know it seems that Joc Pederson is like a son to Dave Roberts, but they need to find a way to get Verdugo into the lineup everyday instead of every other day.  The great batting average was expected, but he's even hitting for a bit of power so far this season.

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Gonna be like owning Joc Pederson from the past, good when he plays but....

Joc Pederson from 2016-2018 has had 908 AB's vs RHP's with a .252 avg, .351 OBP, .872 OPS. He mashes RHP's to a well above league average mark. That's what's blocking Verdugo. The Dodgers know they ca

Totally agree, but what the heck do the Dodgers actually need? They look awesome early in season. Doubt they move Joc, given AJ's history injury. Having Verdugo protects against injury. As a Verdugo o

This kid is a legit pro hitter. Even in a crowded Dodgers lineup, I have to give Roberts credit for getting him in there where he can. Joc has actually played very well so far so no reason to bench him. Yes, as an AV owner I'd love someone to flame out and my guy get the call, but I also know the why of the situation and I am just thankful Verdugo is getting the PAs he IS getting. 

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27 minutes ago, lavaman said:

legit shot at ROY

I could be wrong, but hasn't he played too many games over the previous two seasons to qualify?  That and players like Victor Robles and Pete Alonso play everyday and will likely finish with good numbers.

Regardless, it is looking like Verdugo is ready for an everyday role if he could ever get one.

30 minutes ago, kwolf68 said:

This kid is a legit pro hitter. Even in a crowded Dodgers lineup, I have to give Roberts credit for getting him in there where he can. Joc has actually played very well so far so no reason to bench him. Yes, as an AV owner I'd love someone to flame out and my guy get the call, but I also know the why of the situation and I am just thankful Verdugo is getting the PAs he IS getting. 

True about Joc so far, so I will change things a bit... They would have to be willing to play Muncy at 2B everyday, but there is a player that really doesn't deserve to be part of what is standing in the way of Verdugo getting everyday playing time....  Chris Taylor.  After a very solid 2017 season, he was decent last season, but still clearly regressed.  Playing Taylor off and on this season is clearly not working.

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Just now, KilloWertz said:

 

True about Joc so far, so I will change things a bit... They would have to be willing to play Muncy at 2B everyday, but there is a player that really doesn't deserve to be part of what is standing in the way of Verdugo getting everyday playing time....  Chris Taylor.  After a very solid 2017 season, he was decent last season, but still clearly regressed.  Playing Taylor off and on this season is clearly not working.

 

Actually thought about this today when I was watching the game. I suspect as Verdugo forces Dave's hand more and more he'll look at creative options to get him into the lineup and this suggestion of yours is very plausible. Sometimes the bats just gotta play. 

 

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7 hours ago, kwolf68 said:

 

Actually thought about this today when I was watching the game. I suspect as Verdugo forces Dave's hand more and more he'll look at creative options to get him into the lineup and this suggestion of yours is very plausible. Sometimes the bats just gotta play. 

 

I know Milwaukee agrees with that.  Maybe someday Dave and the Dodgers will too.

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13 minutes ago, loro1991 said:

Interestingly, he hasn't walked once so far this year. Can't blame him for wanting to swing when Roberts benches him every other day lol

He always displayed good plate discipline throughout the minors, with a good K/BB ratio...I wouldn't be concerned.

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4 hours ago, street sharks said:

Dunno how he's going to get more playing time with Pollock, Belli, Joc/Taylor in the outfield

Since Pollack is struggling he should eat into his PT.  If pollock goes down, methinks Verdugo is a top 20-25 OF.

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11 hours ago, JetsAwesome said:

Since Pollack is struggling he should eat into his PT.  If pollock goes down, methinks Verdugo is a top 20-25 OF.

The only way Verdugo's playing time improves because of Pollock is the latter.  They brought in Pollock for a reason, and it's not to sit the bench.

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I love the upside, but he’s been out of the lineup 50% of the time over the course of his last 10 games.  This makes him tough to roster even in deep leagues.  Does anyone see anything on the horizon that will permit him to be playing more in the very near future?

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Let's assume Verdugo were to get a full 550+ AB's for a regular season.  What would his stat-line look like assuming he was an everyday starter?  I didn't think he'd be a 20+ HR hitter, but I may have underestimated his pop. 

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11 minutes ago, cizastro said:

Let's assume Verdugo were to get a full 550+ AB's for a regular season.  What would his stat-line look like assuming he was an everyday starter?  I didn't think he'd be a 20+ HR hitter, but I may have underestimated his pop. 

I don’t see any path to 550 at bats barring massive injuries.  I’d probably cap him at 450 and say he should hit 17-20 in that many at bats.

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3 minutes ago, bjvance5 said:

My PERSONAL estimate .... 298 AVG 75RBI 80R 19HR 7SB

 

hows that look? Feel free to pick it apart.

 

Seems like a safe steamer-ish projection. I also think the HR total could be higher, but yours is a safe bet. 

 

After looking, steamer600(assuming 600 PA's) has him at .270/15/68/66/7 but they are notoriously pessimistic. With his OBP track record, I would imagine he'd get those 600 PA's in a spot that would lead to more than 68/66. 

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