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Nicky Lopez 2019 Outlook


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2 hours ago, KilloWertz said:

Definitely been impressive so far.  A slight bit disappointing he didn't try to run even once today since he was on base 4 times, but I get why he wouldn't have in the second half of the game when the floodgates opened.  Still, that's about the only thing I could complain about so far.

Regardless, he's been really solid and the stupidity of a blurb writer for Rotoworld strikes again.  He's already been fantasy relevant since being called up since he's hit great and has had counting stats in all but today's game so far.  Granted it's only 3 games so far, but he has 2 runs and an RBI.  He should be a counting stats monster honestly, as long as Whit and Mondesi stay healthy.

Stealing 3rd is not really that common. The main goal is getting in scoring position and he did that by hitting 2 doubles today.

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I expect nothing and am prepared to be disappointed.  We should all temper our projections.   Please let him be great.  I finally nabbed a call-up, for once, I need this guy to deliver.  Top 5 RO

Not really.  In fantasy you put a TEAM together to cover all stats.  No one in a competitive league owns a full roster of 5 tool guys.  Nicky will bring Steals and average and OBP and OPS stats.  Also

Batting 2nd and playing 2nd base.  Here weego!

2 hours ago, Slatykamora said:

Stealing 3rd is not really that common. The main goal is getting in scoring position and he did that by hitting 2 doubles today.

My bad.  Didn't realize he hit 2 doubles today, giving him 3 total already.  That's great to see.

The SBs will come at some point, especially being on the Royals.

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5 hours ago, Kaii23 said:

In fantasy without steals or homers Ur nothing. Runs average and rbi aren't enough. He stole 4 bags this spring and 9 in 100 ab in the minors tho. 

Not really.  In fantasy you put a TEAM together to cover all stats.  No one in a competitive league owns a full roster of 5 tool guys.  Nicky will bring Steals and average and OBP and OPS stats.  Also batting early in the line-up, Runs.  A few Homers and average RBIs are just icing on the cake.

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49 minutes ago, The Big Bat Theory said:

Not really.  In fantasy you put a TEAM together to cover all stats.  No one in a competitive league owns a full roster of 5 tool guys.  Nicky will bring Steals and average and OBP and OPS stats.  Also batting early in the line-up, Runs.  A few Homers and average RBIs are just icing on the cake.

If he steals I'm good with that. Without steals he's no good in fantasy tho. My rule of thumb is I need at least 20 steals and or homers. Either 20 homers, 20 steals, 10 of each, etc... 

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7 minutes ago, Kaii23 said:

If he steals I'm good with that. Without steals he's no good in fantasy tho. My rule of thumb is I need at least 20 steals and or homers. Either 20 homers, 20 steals, 10 of each, etc... 

Fair enough. I think he can be valuable in points or maybe OBP leagues either way

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7 hours ago, mocha4313 said:

Fair enough. I think he can be valuable in points or maybe OBP leagues either way

That, and also like I mentioned once or twice in here already, his counting stats should be pretty nice batting in between Whit and Mondesi.  Counting stat monsters have plenty of value too.  To each their own though I suppose.

The steals will come.  They almost have to with him playing for the Royals.

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I'll predict

 

.305 / 12 HR / 21 SB / 80 R / 70 RBI ROS.

 

Rostering Nicky and McNeil basically cement my team as top 3 in BA.  Even if they both end up with 10 HR / 15 SB's, they still aren't strictly BA specialist.  Being at the top of a line up with strong offense will get the top 30 in Runs, and specifically Nicky will contribute with RBI's because Whit is a force on the base paths batting ahead of him.  The Royals offense is a thing of beauty, which will only get better as the season progresses, and into next year.  I like him more than many of the other top prospects recently called up when it comes to their "floor".  He hasn't convinced me he'll completely break out, but he's the perfect glue guy to contribute straight across the board, and not hurt you anywhere.  It's like putting an espresso shot in your coffee, giving everyone a little boost.

 

Guys like Joey Gallo, Khris Davis, and Miguel Sano are fantastic players to pair up with him.  He'll balance out their weaknesses with a ton of at bats at high average.

Edited by HulkSmash
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10 hours ago, Kaii23 said:

If he steals I'm good with that. Without steals he's no good in fantasy tho. My rule of thumb is I need at least 20 steals and or homers. Either 20 homers, 20 steals, 10 of each, etc... 

I mean he has 3hr/9sb in 138 PA's in AAA this year so I dont think that will be much of an issue for him to hit 20 combined over a season. Especially since KC loves to run.

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Saw him in the minors, not majors, am I off base thinking he is a 5-7 homer guy with 20 steal potential and a 300 BA? Seems like a great baller but for fantasy may be a bit overrated...?

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I'm just happy to have for once snagged a call-up (I seem to constantly be a few minutes late) who didn't start off his MLB career 0-12 with eight ks and 36 men LOB.  

Edited by Overlord
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1 hour ago, CraftyRighty said:

Saw him in the minors, not majors, am I off base thinking he is a 5-7 homer guy with 20 steal potential and a 300 BA? Seems like a great baller but for fantasy may be a bit overrated...?

 

You also gotta remember how hard steals are to come by anymore. If he can get 20 or so steals and not hurt anywhere else he has value, especially at a more shallow position. Plus most of us who have him got him at no real risk. 

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2 hours ago, phillyphan21 said:

 

You also gotta remember how hard steals are to come by anymore. If he can get 20 or so steals and not hurt anywhere else he has value, especially at a more shallow position. Plus most of us who have him got him at no real risk. 

 

Bingo. In redraft leagues, I doubt he was drafted or even stashed. For those of us who picked him up, it's all gravy is how I see it.

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His PT outlook is better than most of the recent call ups. Especially in leagues with shallow benches, it can be tough rostering call ups getting part time work, or who get sent back down when someone gets healthy. Like others a broad range of outcomes, but having that longer leash and a more secure PT and lineup outlook is valuable when speculating on call ups.  

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I picked him up in my dynasty OBP league. 

Like @The Big Bat Theory said above in fantasy you try to assemble a team to cover all stats. Some guys will hit homers and other guys will steal bases. Some guys do both. 

I have some nice power bats and some steals but not a great OBP guy so I think Nicky Lopez will be a nice addition. He may not have the power but hopefully he can get on base and steal a few bases.  

Someone above said he predicts 12 homers and 21 SBs. That would be great but I don’t think he will hit that many homers. 

 

Ill predict .285 with a nice OBP/6 homers/15 steals/65 runs/50 RBI the rest of the way.  

I don’t think he will ever be a fantasy stud but i think he could be a good source for AVG/OBP with a good amount of runs and hopefully some steals.  

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3 hours ago, phillyphan21 said:

 

You also gotta remember how hard steals are to come by anymore. If he can get 20 or so steals and not hurt anywhere else he has value, especially at a more shallow position. Plus most of us who have him got him at no real risk. 

 

True. Great add at MI and if you own Dozier, well, great add at 2B

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8 minutes ago, MathieuVirtuoso said:

I'd give it some time. Royals love to run, just gotta be patient. 

 

Yeah, just curious since they run so much and he has wheels. Owings had 4 steals despite rarely getting on base early in the season when he was getting regular playing time.

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5 minutes ago, Ace_King said:

 

Yeah, just curious since they run so much and he has wheels. Owings had 4 steals despite rarely getting on base early in the season when he was getting regular playing time.

 

Lopez only @ 38 PA, right around 30% of what Owings had. I'm guessing he'll end up around 15 bags ROS. 

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4 hours ago, Ace_King said:

Where are the steals?

He is just up facing pitchers he has seen before and he doesn't know their moves.  Every player says things speed up fast when they first come up too.  He needs to just get his sea legs first in the field and at the plate.  The steals will come.

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37 minutes ago, Under500Forever said:

does Nicky L ever put the ball in the air?

i checked his ABs over his last 3 games  and he’s either walked, struck out or hit ground balls for singles or outs. 

 

I would like to know this as well. I can't keep him on the bench too long. Dude hasn't stolen one base yet!

 

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Cut him loose a few days ago.  Was hoping for lightning in a bottle, but so far an absolute wasted roster space.  

The last few years I've started to come around to the utility of "eyeball testing" guys in addition to just looking at their stats.  For every scrawny twerp like Bregman who radically outperforms their "eyeball test" results, there's literally dozens of guys you can take one look at and conclude they're going to be physically outmatched at the highest level.  Meanwhile, one glance at physical specimens like Baez, Moncada, or Alonso when they were first called and maybe we should have been more ready to cut them some slack as they were just physical beasts from the get-go.  

When I first watched Lopez as a proud new owner and noticed his physique wouldn't look out of place on a junior high baseball team I should have realized he'd have no value except maybe stolen bases.  

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24 minutes ago, SpartyinFoCo said:

 

I would like to know this as well. I can't keep him on the bench too long. Dude hasn't stolen one base yet!

 

 

Looking at his minor league stats I don't know why people expected him to light the base paths on fire.  If you only take his first 30 games in AAA this season, and completely ignore all his stats previously, then I suppose disappointment was bound to ensue.  I see a guy who'll get you runs, walks, and 10 to 15 steals over a full season.  And for the person asking if he hits the ball in the air the answer is not really.

Edited by slowride
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