tdye 38 Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 2 hours ago, SirMixalot said: But is the usage counted only for a player's time on court with specific 5-man lineups, or for a team's entire possession of the ball over the course of a game, regardless of whether they're on the court or not? Case in point, in a full game, a team will only have 5 players on court at a time but go 12 players deep for the game... would you count a player's usage as the ratio of their ball usage over 5 or 12? Could that be why league average doesn't equal 20? It is only on the court. I can think 2 possible reasons for variation from 20% to 19% (I saw 19.8% posted somewhere for the league average). They could both be wrong or both right or one right. I haven't looked it up. The terminology isn't official either. 1) The average is probably not weighted by playing time. An example with unrealistic numbers: Five starters play 40 possessions each and "use" 9 of those possession each (assume they overlap with subs). This is 22.5% usage. Five subs play 10 possession each and "use" 1 possession each. This is 10% usage. Then the average usage is 16.25%, but this is possible since 9*5+1*5=50 possessions are "used" out of the 50 total possessions. 2) I don't know how the exact method, but it might be that things such as shot clock violations count as possessions where nobody's usage rate goes up. Also, since this is the Jonathan Isaac thread, I think he is going to improve a lot and have a great year, but not enough to provide significant value for a top 50 or 60 pick. 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SirMixalot 128 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 14 hours ago, tdye said: It is only on the court. I can think 2 possible reasons for variation from 20% to 19% (I saw 19.8% posted somewhere for the league average). They could both be wrong or both right or one right. I haven't looked it up. The terminology isn't official either. 1) The average is probably not weighted by playing time. An example with unrealistic numbers: Five starters play 40 possessions each and "use" 9 of those possession each (assume they overlap with subs). This is 22.5% usage. Five subs play 10 possession each and "use" 1 possession each. This is 10% usage. Then the average usage is 16.25%, but this is possible since 9*5+1*5=50 possessions are "used" out of the 50 total possessions. 2) I don't know how the exact method, but it might be that things such as shot clock violations count as possessions where nobody's usage rate goes up. Also, since this is the Jonathan Isaac thread, I think he is going to improve a lot and have a great year, but not enough to provide significant value for a top 50 or 60 pick. Thanks @tdye @StifleTower2 for the clarifications. I've been thinking about usage all wrong up to this point! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Spyplane 1,583 Posted October 16, 2019 Share Posted October 16, 2019 WINS WINS WINS WINS WINS 🧲 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Dominator83 248 Posted October 19, 2019 Share Posted October 19, 2019 (edited) On 10/15/2019 at 2:56 PM, DZaak said: I have Bryant and Isaac too. But 8 drafted in ESPN where the rankings are out of whack. I got Bryant at 63, and Isaac at 100. Yes.. 100! I'm happy as all hell because my surname is Isaac hahahaha. I play in points leagues. I know its preseason, but out of their 6 games, Aaron Gordon was better than Isaac ONCE by my leagues scoring setup. Yet, Air Gordon went 5th round, i got Isaac 10th round! Best kept secret in the league right now. Gordon still being overdrafted due to previous hype too Edited October 19, 2019 by Dominator83 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
flat_eric 362 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 On 10/19/2019 at 5:11 PM, Dominator83 said: I play in points leagues. I know its preseason, but out of their 6 games, Aaron Gordon was better than Isaac ONCE by my leagues scoring setup. Yet, Air Gordon went 5th round, i got Isaac 10th round! Best kept secret in the league right now. Gordon still being overdrafted due to previous hype too Isaac is a better player than AG in Fantasy and real life. Should be pretty clear by the end of the season, Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hornrimmed_rambis 1,873 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 16 minutes ago, flat_eric said: Isaac is a better player than AG in Fantasy and real life. Should be pretty clear by the end of the season, It's an interesting complementary situation. Isaac allows the Magic to play Vuc and AG and get away with it. Both those guys can play on offense, and when their man beats them on D, there is Isaac to clean up the problem. Not to say Isaac doesn't make mistakes too, but just has the elastic-man hands to cover for mistakes. This season, I'm struck by Isaac's ability to bring the ball up the court after getting a rebound, and leading the break. A light switch has hopefully turned on. He is physically dominant, not just a freak. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
brosephd 1,308 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 i think i've had isaac 3 years in a row due to his hype. always seen flashes, hopefully it comes together this season. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Elzhi 1 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 I just missed out on him in the 9th round. I was hoping to pick him up. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
greatestmetfan 486 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 So I like Isaac a lot in real life. He's improved a lot since his rookie year, but everyone needs to keep in mind he really hasn't contributed that much in fantasy. Last season he scored 9.6 a game on .429% shooting and he can't create his own shot. You're drafting a blocks specialist who makes the occasional 3 or finds a few layups throughout the game. Don't blow up in this thread if he doesn't go off because he probably isn't going to. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tongs 1,316 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, greatestmetfan said: So I like Isaac a lot in real life. He's improved a lot since his rookie year, but everyone needs to keep in mind he really hasn't contributed that much in fantasy. Last season he scored 9.6 a game on .429% shooting and he can't create his own shot. You're drafting a blocks specialist who makes the occasional 3 or finds a few layups throughout the game. Don't blow up in this thread if he doesn't go off because he probably isn't going to. Last 20 games of the season he was able to go for 10.9 points with 1.8 threes on .446%. Not the biggest difference but there's no reason to believe he won't improve on his numbers in general from last year. It's all about the value on where you draft him.. anywhere close to 100 or if you grab a low-blocks C early, block specialists who are not C become more valuable than represented in the box scores. Or say if you're punting FG, stocks guys like Isaac help prevent you from fully punting blocks as well at the later rounds of the draft. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ellejamil 815 Posted October 21, 2019 Share Posted October 21, 2019 The hope is that he becomes a more efficient Lord Covington Quote Link to post Share on other sites
WhatIsThisWizardry 160 Posted October 22, 2019 Share Posted October 22, 2019 i just swapped him for eric bledsoe. i have high hopes for issac as a solid glue guy maybe a slightly poor mans otto porter. i needed the pg position help though so i had to pull the trigger. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ellejamil 815 Posted October 22, 2019 Share Posted October 22, 2019 20 minutes ago, WhatIsThisWizardry said: i just swapped him for eric bledsoe. i have high hopes for issac as a solid glue guy maybe a slightly poor mans otto porter. i needed the pg position help though so i had to pull the trigger. Bledsoe is his price tag?? Am I undervaluing Isaac or overvaluing Bledsoe? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
chaiway 416 Posted October 22, 2019 Share Posted October 22, 2019 12 minutes ago, ellejamil said: Bledsoe is his price tag?? Am I undervaluing Isaac or overvaluing Bledsoe? He got some value out of the trade... Preseason wise, Bledsoe is probably in the 50-60 (55 Y! ADP) range and Isaac in the 60-70 (68 Y! ADP) range. More about team fit as he's stated. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
WhatIsThisWizardry 160 Posted October 22, 2019 Share Posted October 22, 2019 57 minutes ago, ellejamil said: Bledsoe is his price tag?? Am I undervaluing Isaac or overvaluing Bledsoe? yes on paper bledsoe is a clear winner since hes proven, but not to say issac cant suprass that. but stars have to align, he has to keep his stocks and improve offensively. he is just under him 60-70ish I got some value, but yes its more for position help Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DZaak 159 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 Only took 3 shots today But the stocks and rebounds were nice. Anyone concerned that he only got 25 mins? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ayrifeek 123 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 10 minutes ago, DZaak said: Only took 3 shots today But the stocks and rebounds were nice. Anyone concerned that he only got 25 mins? foul trouble Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ellejamil 815 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 31 minutes ago, DZaak said: Only took 3 shots today But the stocks and rebounds were nice. Anyone concerned that he only got 25 mins? Only one player played for more than 29 mins. Stay your hand, even if the scoring doesn't come, 1/1/1 is hard to find. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hoop 381 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 (edited) 3 hours ago, DZaak said: Only took 3 shots today But the stocks and rebounds were nice. Anyone concerned that he only got 25 mins? Foul trouble, got yanked early in the third. He looked great, I'm guessing he would've ended up around 30 like the other starters otherwise Edited October 24, 2019 by hoop Quote Link to post Share on other sites
CViewPride35 95 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 He worries me a bit, but u didn't draft him for points. Have faith... he will have a nice yr. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ayrifeek 123 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 Yeah he needs to take more shots, he's too passive in that department Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tekno Team 2000 1,576 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 45 minutes ago, halbounih said: Yeah he needs to take more shots, he's too passive in that department I only watched the first quarter of the game and like I had suspected before the season started - he still seems to be low in the pecking order on offense. They don't really look for him and he is passive which makes for a bad combination. Depending upon where he was drafted, it is fine because the defensive stats are going to be there for sure and better than last year. I got him low enough to where it was worth it for me. But unless they have some injuries, I don't think the offense is going to develop into more than 11 PPG. Which is a shame because physically he looks more massive out there with the weight gain and growth in height, and has the physical tools that screams offensive nightmare. I was watching his preseason highlights a few days ago and he did look more aggressive. So I do believe he could be a Giannis/Siakam type player if he had that temperament and the coach's backing to do so. They just have too many veterans that want to score. But we'll see. Just one game so hopefully I am wrong and he will be given more of a chance on offense. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
chaiway 416 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, Tekno Team 2000 said: I only watched the first quarter of the game and like I had suspected before the season started - he still seems to be low in the pecking order on offense. They don't really look for him and he is passive which makes for a bad combination. Depending upon where he was drafted, it is fine because the defensive stats are going to be there for sure and better than last year. I got him low enough to where it was worth it for me. But unless they have some injuries, I don't think the offense is going to develop into more than 11 PPG. Which is a shame because physically he looks more massive out there with the weight gain and growth in height, and has the physical tools that screams offensive nightmare. I was watching his preseason highlights a few days ago and he did look more aggressive. So I do believe he could be a Giannis/Siakam type player if he had that temperament and the coach's backing to do so. They just have too many veterans that want to score. But we'll see. Just one game so hopefully I am wrong and he will be given more of a chance on offense. I think he can get to 12 pts / 7 boards / 2-3 assists / 1.5+ 3s / 1.3+ steals / 1.5+ blocks That is a killer line and an amazing glue guy in category leagues. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
XNW 65 Posted October 24, 2019 Share Posted October 24, 2019 The signing of Aminu made me hesitate in drafting him, but still got him in the 7th ish so I'm not too worried. Hoping he plays with the same confidence as he had in preseason. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Nate1213 30 Posted October 25, 2019 Share Posted October 25, 2019 Isaac was dropped in my ten team league...he should immediately be picked up correct? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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