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John Collins 2019-2020 Outlook


kmoore1521
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39 minutes ago, Trench Mob said:

Hopefully the Hawks will not try to make something out of him that he's not. He's not a Center.  He's a natural forward. If you want him out there at the 5 while the opponent is deploying small ball, sure.

I wouldn't mind him getting center eligibility in ESPN...

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I love him. I some how got him at 36 on ESPN.

 

Be careful in H2H though. Atlanta probably have the worst or 2nd worst fantasy playoff schedule. I'm looking for him to smash it, then I'll trade half way through the season for equal value.

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1 hour ago, DZaak said:

I love him. I some how got him at 36 on ESPN.

 

Be careful in H2H though. Atlanta probably have the worst or 2nd worst fantasy playoff schedule. I'm looking for him to smash it, then I'll trade half way through the season for equal value.

He has a 3/4/3 so it’s really not that bad. Assuming your league/leagues end on March 29th which seems to be the vast majority from what I’ve seen.

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I was looking all the way to the last week on the schedule grid. eg. below

https://g.espncdn.com/s/fbadraftkit/2019-20/2019-20FBAWeeklySchedule.pdf

 

Yes, I'm not sure when my league ends.  Playoffs start Week 22 and it's 1 week per playoff round for me (3 rouns) so it makes sense to end on week 24 (the week after March 29).

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1 hour ago, blob2004 said:

I cannot justify taking a big man without stocks in the first four rounds.

He's basically just an unleashed Enes Kanter, which is not bad by the way, but you would be very behind on stocks if you had him in your first four.

yea, this year will be the teller lol since he got blocks his first year lol. 

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13 hours ago, blob2004 said:

I cannot justify taking a big man without stocks in the first four rounds.

He's basically just an unleashed Enes Kanter, which is not bad by the way, but you would be very behind on stocks if you had him in your first four.

Except the fact that Collins is just 22 years old has plenty of growth to his game. 

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2 hours ago, dman0506 said:

Except the fact that Collins is just 22 years old has plenty of growth to his game. 

 

You can add scoring/rebounding/assists/3pm in your game as you progress, but I've rarely seen someone allergic to stocks get better as they grow.

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21 minutes ago, blob2004 said:

 

You can add scoring/rebounding/assists/3pm in your game as you progress, but I've rarely seen someone allergic to stocks get better as they grow.

You're not wrong, but Collins went through a historic dearth of stocks last Nov-Dec that is unlikely to be repeated.  That skewed his averages down.  Now I know you'll say "Well, that's why averages account for highs and lows, it all matters".  And again, you wouldn't be wrong.  But you have to assume he won't go through a two month stock desert this month, so his stocks will be higher than last year, and he won't be Blake-like in that respect.

Just my guess, anyway.

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I think Collins will have a third year improvement and slight increase from last year's stats but nothing crazy. Collins is the Hermes version of Randle.  

55%/76%/1/21/10/2/0.5/1.1/2 TO

Collins's stocks should return to what aligns with his rookie season or last year post-ASB. Percentages drops slightly because teams will have defensive scheme for Trae-Collins pick n roll, as indicated in preseason. I do think that Collin's ADP (Round 3) is where his value is, and I continue to draft him because I simply like Collins very much. Picked him up from waiver when he was rookie and drafted him last year in 5th round (12 Team), very solid as a first or second center on your roster. 😁

 

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