Fuzzy_Slippers 3,898 Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 [This may be hard to believe, but it's possible to have a civil debate without all of the invective. Relax.] 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
WahooManiac 1,965 Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 5 hours ago, mjb03003 said: I realize this. It's why batted ball data matters. If you consistently hit the ball hard, and/or hit line drives, and/or hit the ball on the barrel, and/or have a certain launch angle... you can start to predict a few more batted balls becoming hits vs. someone who does less of these things. Lol, to the exact tune of 3 more hits over 482 AB? Man alive, i need access to that system! To think, all these years ive been doing it wrong... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Fbaseballgod 240 Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 On 2/9/2020 at 2:54 AM, Fbaseballgod said: I feel like in a normal season I’d be all over Olson, but I’m getting a soft “so underrated he’s overrated” vibe. Still, I think I’m mostly a buyer- his peripherals are dreamy and it’s not like a 250-35 HR season will ruin you. Upside 275-280 with 40 HR 1 month later and my analysis is the same. Soft buyer but think he's getting a little overrated at this point by the ~analytics~ community Quote Link to post Share on other sites
twelve20 42 Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Fbaseballgod said: 1 month later and my analysis is the same. Soft buyer but think he's getting a little overrated at this point by the ~analytics~ community I think that’s fair, I mean I feel like that the crux of the other poster’s argument about Moustakas and Olson. Specifically in Roto, you can acquire HR later. I often roll my eyes and the recent bias that exists from the talking heads, and I think they see the HR count coming off an injury they said would impact his power. So you get the pendulum swinging the other direction now and the approach becomes “imagine what that could look like over a full season”. I don’t know how I would approach Olson in a redraft format, but I know I’m a believer in his ability and have been actively trying to acquire shares. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
mjb03003 1,974 Posted March 13, 2020 Share Posted March 13, 2020 On 3/11/2020 at 5:12 PM, WahooManiac said: Lol, to the exact tune of 3 more hits over 482 AB? Man alive, i need access to that system! To think, all these years ive been doing it wrong... I don't really know what you're referring to with the 3 more hits over 482 AB line. Maybe I missed a post somewhere. I don't think it's entirely quantifiable, how much better your stats will be based on how the ball comes off your bat, but since we're all in the business/hobby of projecting I don't see how it isn't relevant information that can help separate otherwise similar players. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
marble_donut 9 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Dude needs a day off, he can't hit a fastball right now Quote Link to post Share on other sites
B&F 887 Posted August 6, 2020 Share Posted August 6, 2020 2 bombs. Hopefully he gets on track. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
B&F 887 Posted August 23, 2020 Share Posted August 23, 2020 No bueno. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
fredo_corleone 22 Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 It's painful to see. Seems like he's either HR or bust most games. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rotofan24 83 Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 12 minutes ago, fredo_corleone said: It's painful to see. Seems like he's either HR or bust most games. This is a good observation. I remember earlier on in the season he had 8 HRs and 12 hits. Perhaps young Olson will figure it out though, I dunno. I think the I read a blurb from somewhere about his splits actually improving for left handers this year. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SpartyOn4 723 Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 His walk rate has gone up, still hitting the ball as hard as ever. His average will rise - xBA is .262. BABIP at .138, that’s nuts, it was .292 and .300 the last 2 years and his batted ball profile hardly changed. Definitely buy low if possible. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hangin n wangin 1,703 Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 It's going to rain. I feel it. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rotofan24 83 Posted August 24, 2020 Share Posted August 24, 2020 13 hours ago, SpartyOn4 said: His walk rate has gone up, still hitting the ball as hard as ever. His average will rise - xBA is .262. BABIP at .138, that’s nuts, it was .292 and .300 the last 2 years and his batted ball profile hardly changed. Definitely buy low if possible. I think it's hard to buy low when this is his likely floor and he's still a borderline top 100 player in standard leagues. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
papasmurf 999 Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 Is it the shift? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hellgrammite 189 Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 (edited) It might be the shift. What is really strange (good?) is that every year he makes improvements against lefties, and this year he is finally crushing them, with a 149 wRC+ and .350 ISO. What he isn't doing is hitting righties as well as in previous years (though the underlying numbers haven't really changed.) However if those numbers get back to career levels, we might still not have seen the best of Olson, and he still is only 26. Edited August 28, 2020 by Hellgrammite Quote Link to post Share on other sites
papasmurf 999 Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 Well, let's look at the silver lining... bad surface numbers might keep his draft price low next year. Then we finally get the Big O next year. .270 with 45 homers. (Assuming a full 162 gm season) 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
papasmurf 999 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Out machine right now. Desperate situation calls for desperate measures. I am gonna bench him. If that doesnt make him hit two homers tomorrow. Nothing will. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
bradwatson 1,593 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 10 hours ago, papasmurf said: Out machine right now. Desperate situation calls for desperate measures. I am gonna bench him. If that doesnt make him hit two homers tomorrow. Nothing will. He's killing me. I have a lot of options at 1B right now and Olson is a one trick pony. If I bench him he homers, if I start him he 0fers. What do? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
papasmurf 999 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Covid made the decision easy today. A's might be ppd the next series too. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ASHLANDARROWS1992 1,963 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 On 8/28/2020 at 2:35 PM, papasmurf said: Well, let's look at the silver lining... bad surface numbers might keep his draft price low next year. Then we finally get the Big O next year. .270 with 45 homers. (Assuming a full 162 gm season) I will take the under on both and give you 3-1 on any amount you want to bet.. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
B&F 887 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 (edited) I thought he would be a safe early pick. Average is hurting us. Edited August 30, 2020 by B&F Quote Link to post Share on other sites
B&F 887 Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 Here it comes. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
papasmurf 999 Posted September 9, 2020 Share Posted September 9, 2020 He's a righted Rob Deer now. Seeing how well he did after a broken hand last year, this year's just incredibly disappointing. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
cad3000 3 Posted September 12, 2020 Share Posted September 12, 2020 Heating up....Still really love this guy in a dynasty Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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