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Mike Evans 2020 Outlook


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On 10/1/2020 at 4:42 AM, Tghetty said:


yea ok, he’s averaged 80 yards per game over his career.  And you are bringing up 3 yards in two games like that correlates 

I guess he will average 2 or so years per game here on out

Not to mention that Evans is a notoriously slow starter.

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QUICK EVERYONE GET IN HERE GODWIN FRACTURED FINGER WE BACK 

.....and Evans murdered him. 1)  Evans gets past the initial contact and gets open for a catch. 2) Evans burns him bad. Brady underthrows Evans.  Even the announcers say, "Well Bradberry was

You can’t question his toughness. He’s a warrior out there.

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Yeah, I'm not panicking on his targets just yet. Both Brady and Evans said they want to target him more, but sometimes defenses just double cover him all game because of his size, and Brady has better options. Week 1 - Obvious decoy for Lattimore with a bad hammy. Week 2 - Peppered with targets alongside that TD upside. Week 3 - double covered all game, but still targeted in the endzone. Passing game slowed down second half with a runaway game. I'll hit the panic button if his targets remain low this week, particularly with Godwin out, but for now I think I'm still OK on Evans.

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Great game today despite playing hobbled. Hope the ankle sprain is minor, playing through it all Chargers game and then having to play Thursday has me worried that he is risking his season.

Still worried about his production when Godwin gets back though. It's harder to double cover the slot receiver, and we know Brady loves his slot men.

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Currently on pace for 68/920/20.

Barring an injury that causes him to miss a game, I have no doubt he’ll go over both the reception total and yardage total he’s currently on pace for. The touchdowns are the only one that he’s unlikely to reach. If he gets to 1,000 yards this season, he’ll break Moss’ record for most consecutive seasons over 1,000 receiving yards to start your career and you know that both Evans and Brady are well aware of that.

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Yall think Evans' production is sustainable even when Godwin comes back? Pondering selling him high, but it's tempting to just hold him all season considering he's playing in a high-powered offense, is seemingly the #1 redzone target, and has shown he can put up 100+ yards across multiple games now. The question is... do we go back to 4 targets Miike Evans with Godwin back? Or is he a locked and loaded Brady go to for the rest of the season?

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Worried he doesn't play Thursday or is sent out as just a decoy, might have to bench him this week. Hope he doesn't have a high ankle sprain, but the Bucs are being super quiet about his injury status.

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On 10/5/2020 at 3:20 AM, harck said:

Yall think Evans' production is sustainable even when Godwin comes back? Pondering selling him high, but it's tempting to just hold him all season considering he's playing in a high-powered offense, is seemingly the #1 redzone target, and has shown he can put up 100+ yards across multiple games now. The question is... do we go back to 4 targets Miike Evans with Godwin back? Or is he a locked and loaded Brady go to for the rest of the season?

There is a magnetism between him and Brady in the redzone. Brady knows that Evans WILL win those contested jump balls, and I could easily see a 15 TD Season. Selling would be mad unless you can score....well...hopkins? Maybe?

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20 minutes ago, RevisAteMyQB said:

There is a magnetism between him and Brady in the redzone. Brady knows that Evans WILL win those contested jump balls, and I could easily see a 15 TD Season. Selling would be mad unless you can score....well...hopkins? Maybe?

 

Yeah I totally agree with you. I just feel he's an out for this week (or just a decoy) and possibly the week after, and I need these wins coming up here unfortunately.

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No practice yesterday, understandable.

I didn't see anything about him practicing today. Would have liked to see him get in even some stretching/individual drills.

Game time decision tomorrow night.

Doesn't CHI have a really good WR1 corner?

 

Is everyone still confident to start him if he suits up?

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Still anxiously waiting for Thursday. Most of these fantasy doctors seem to think he has a high ankle sprain. I can't see him playing through that and if he does, high chance of injuring it worse... That being said, the Bucs listing him as questionable and not commenting further bodes somewhat well and gives hope for just a lateral ankle sprain. Hopefully it's not just smoke and mirrors to get Denver to prepare differently though.

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6 minutes ago, harck said:

Still anxiously waiting for Thursday. Most of these fantasy doctors seem to think he has a high ankle sprain. I can't see him playing through that and if he does, high chance of injuring it worse... That being said, the Bucs listing him as questionable and not commenting further bodes somewhat well and gives hope for just a lateral ankle sprain. Hopefully it's not just smoke and mirrors to get Denver to prepare differently though.

I think the ankle is def a tad messed up - he'll gut it out and play 75 percent of snaps and  get targeted heavily in redzone. 

 

Then  him and the team figures he gets a full 10 days of rest/treatment for the ankle.  Seems like their whole team except Brady and Gronk are nicked up.

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2 minutes ago, JetsAwesome said:

I think the ankle is def a tad messed up - he'll gut it out and play 75 percent of snaps and  get targeted heavily in redzone. 

 

Then  him and the team figures he gets a full 10 days of rest/treatment for the ankle.  Seems like their whole team except Brady and Gronk are nicked up.

Gronk is banged up too. Being paid $9M to be the best blocker in the league.

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Can anyone comment on the CHI corner he's likely to get shadowed by? I'm not familiar myself but thought I saw somewhere that he's a shutdown guy. If that's the case, I'm worried that our best hope if Evans plays injured is going to be another 2/2/2 line...

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15 minutes ago, harck said:

Still anxiously waiting for Thursday. Most of these fantasy doctors seem to think he has a high ankle sprain. I can't see him playing through that and if he does, high chance of injuring it worse... That being said, the Bucs listing him as questionable and not commenting further bodes somewhat well and gives hope for just a lateral ankle sprain. Hopefully it's not just smoke and mirrors to get Denver to prepare differently though.

We would probably know by now if it was a high ankle sprain. News of that for CMC and Michael Thomas was available pretty much immediately. Those guys also left their respective games which is usually a strong sign of a serious injury. Evans dusted himself off and after a few snaps on the sideline got back out there and continued producing. They don't build many dudes like Mike Evans. He'll play this week.

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1 hour ago, JAG_challam said:

Can anyone comment on the CHI corner he's likely to get shadowed by? I'm not familiar myself but thought I saw somewhere that he's a shutdown guy. If that's the case, I'm worried that our best hope if Evans plays injured is going to be another 2/2/2 line...

I went back and looked at week 3 just as a point of reference.

CHI played ATL. Julio did not play. Ridley, as the defacto WR1, and I'm assuming saw coverage from CHI's CB1, was held to something like 5 catches off 14 targets. That's insanely good coverage. Ridley was able to turn those 5 catches into a little over 100 yards, but no scores.

I'm reasonably confident Evans can bring in at least as many contested catches as Ridley, if not more. But I also don't think Evans will have the same separation, or YAC, as Ridley. Evans probably has a decent shot at coming out of the game with enough end zone looks for at least a single TD.

So what kind of stat line can we hope for?

6/50/1 ballpark? 

Edit to add: this is based off a similar target count for Evans as what Ridley had ... Which I'm not sure is realistic.

Edited by JAG_challam
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1 hour ago, Jetdog16 said:

We would probably know by now if it was a high ankle sprain. News of that for CMC and Michael Thomas was available pretty much immediately. Those guys also left their respective games which is usually a strong sign of a serious injury. Evans dusted himself off and after a few snaps on the sideline got back out there and continued producing. They don't build many dudes like Mike Evans. He'll play this week.

 

I agree with your first part.  If it was a high ankle I'd hope we already knew that.  Those guys were in walking boots I believe the same day as well.

I disagree with the bolded part.  It did not look like a dust off injury.  It looked bad.  He also did not take just a few snaps off.  He looked like he could barely make it to the sideline.  Then, he hobbled to the locker room with no helmet. Maybe the whole thing scared him that he really messed something, and after they cleared him, he got a couple painkiller shots and toughed it out.

 

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1 hour ago, Sternes said:

 

I agree with your first part.  If it was a high ankle I'd hope we already knew that.  Those guys were in walking boots I believe the same day as well.

I disagree with the bolded part.  It did not look like a dust off injury.  It looked bad.  He also did not take just a few snaps off.  He looked like he could barely make it to the sideline.  Then, he hobbled to the locker room with no helmet. Maybe the whole thing scared him that he really messed something, and after they cleared him, he got a couple painkiller shots and toughed it out.

 

 

Thanks for info there. I was kinda talking out my a** cause I was just following along the box scores early on Sunday and felt like Evans only took a few minutes to get back in. That was a brutal looking bend of his leg there. Still, I'm highly optimistic that we all got lucky here. He came back into the game, and that's massive for a player's potential availability the following week. Most of the time but not always, if a player can return in the game they can get back the next week. This is a short week, maybe Bucs should rest him. 3-4 week high ankle sprain? Not seeing it. 

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