CookiesOmNom 47 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, SkinsChargersFan said: I’m considering fading the Raiders & Vikings this week and going with the Seahawks, who I was previously saving for Week 14. (Already used Miami, Green Bay & KC) This would force me to use the Titans @ Jax in Week 14. Thoughts on that combination? I like fading MIN and LV this week for their negative EV. Titans should be a decent pick next week but, depending on the likelihood of your pool going to week 15, make sure you have an option for then because I know SEA and TEN are my best options week 15. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SkinsChargersFan 3,422 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, CookiesOmNom said: I like fading MIN and LV this week for their negative EV. Titans should be a decent pick next week but, depending on the likelihood of your pool going to week 15, make sure you have an option for then because I know SEA and TEN are my best options week 15. Yeah, I still have Baltimore, Pittsburgh & Arizona left for Week 15. I could go with the Steelers this week to save the Seahawks for Week 14, but with WFT playing better and the Steelers coming off a weird short week against their rivals, that could also be one to avoid. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GurleyTHIRTY 124 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I'm not sure what I do this week. I probably go with Minnesota just because I want to save some matchups I have for the next few weeks. The two teams I was considering making a switch to were the Saints vs the Falcons. I think the Saints handle them pretty easily but they're my only decent matchup I have left for week 17 when they play the Panthers. The other one was the Titans vs the Browns. With two 8-3 teams this seems like it would be a game to stay away from but I don't think the Browns are as good as their record says and I think the Titans bully them around a bit this game. And I like the Titans low ownership for the Week. But there would be some flip flopping if I went with the Titans this week How it lines up right no I have...If I picked Minnesota... Week 14: Titans vs Jags Week 15: Cardinals vs Eagles Week 16: Browns vs Jets Would probably change it to...If I picked the Titans.. Week 14: Cardinals vs Giants Week 15: Browns vs Giants Week 16: Texans vs Bengals Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BornandbredHeel 88 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I'm doing it Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ludawg23 1,982 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 If Jacobs/Agholor sit, then I will fade the Raiders. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ludawg23 1,982 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Looks like Jacobs/Abraham have been ruled out for the Raiders...not great. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ST. STEVEN 4,539 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 My pool is down to 798 picks remaining, here is where they went this week: Kansas City 522 Seattle 94 Miami 70 Green Bay 57 Las Vegas 18 Pittsburgh 17 Minnesota 16 Baltimore 2 Tennessee 1 Buffalo 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ludawg23 1,982 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, ST. STEVEN said: My pool is down to 798 picks remaining, here is where they went this week: Kansas City 522 Seattle 94 Miami 70 Green Bay 57 Las Vegas 18 Pittsburgh 17 Minnesota 16 Baltimore 2 Tennessee 1 Buffalo 1 Very surprised that many teams have KC remaining... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ST. STEVEN 4,539 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ludawg23 said: Very surprised that many teams have KC remaining... This is just a straight pick a winner pool, sorry I should have stated that. It is a huge multi state endeavor that has been around a long time. You can buy as many pick ($25/) in the beginning of the year as you like, you just have to use them every week. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SkinsChargersFan 3,422 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, ST. STEVEN said: This is just a straight pick a winner pool, sorry I should have stated that. It is a huge multi state endeavor that has been around a long time. You can buy as many pick ($25/) in the beginning of the year as you like, you just have to use them every week. I’m a little confused... So you can just pick KC every week? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ST. STEVEN 4,539 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, SkinsChargersFan said: I’m a little confused... So you can just pick KC every week? Yep. I know it sounds easy, but it really isn't. Though I fully agree it isn't the challenge as the true 'survivor' style that most here seem to use. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SkinsChargersFan 3,422 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, ST. STEVEN said: Yep. I know it sounds easy, but it really isn't. Though I fully agree it isn't the challenge as the true 'survivor' style that most here seem to use. So what’s the advantage of going with a risky pick like Buffalo? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ST. STEVEN 4,539 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, SkinsChargersFan said: So what’s the advantage of going with a risky pick like Buffalo? No idea really? Just laying off all the heavier plays and hoping for upsets I guess. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SkinsChargersFan 3,422 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 (edited) 12 minutes ago, ST. STEVEN said: No idea really? Just laying off all the heavier plays and hoping for upsets I guess. Interesting. This seems like it’d be an easy year in that format with a few dominant teams and a couple awful ones. I feel like there isn’t as much parity as in year’s past... perhaps due to the lack of off-season. Edited December 4, 2020 by SkinsChargersFan Typo Quote Link to post Share on other sites
CookiesOmNom 47 Posted December 5, 2020 Share Posted December 5, 2020 You win these games by being the last 1 standing, not standing at the end with thousands of others. The risk of choosing Buffalo is that you have more chance of losing that one week but more chance of winning the entire season (if Buff win and KC loses, your chances of winning the entire season increases by a lot) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hezagenius 17 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Is it worth laying off KC and saving them for week 16 or 17? Everyone else in my pool has used them so I almost feel like I have to take them this week and just pray for losses from MIA/MIN/LV. My week 17 is barren if I use KC prior to that week. That leaves me with PHI vs WAS, LV @ DEN, MIN @ DET, or NYG v DAL in week 17. I'm looking at MIA, SEA, TEN, HOU, KC if I lay off KC this week Otherwise, I'm looking at KC, SEA, TEN, HOU and then throw a dart and pray for the best. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deejay 35 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 I have nothing safe week 17 except KC. I have decent options other weeks so I will ride my preselected picks til I go down. Riding Min today Quote Link to post Share on other sites
wekko368 87 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 14 minutes ago, Deejay said: I have nothing safe week 17 except KC. 8 hours ago, hezagenius said: Is it worth laying off KC and saving them for week 16 or 17? Be sure to have a contingency plan in case the Chiefs rest some starters week 17. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SkinsChargersFan 3,422 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 What a f***ing joke. The Jets are clearly trying to lose. Leaving your CB 1 on 1 on the outside with no help against the fastest player on the field in that situation is inexcusable. Could’ve been such a great week for those of us who faded the Raiders and Vikings... instead it’s just another win for the masses. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ludawg23 1,982 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Had a feeling about that Raiders game all week and faded them. Cover 0 on that TD play with 13 seconds on the clock...what a joke. Tank call... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
OdellBaconJr 65 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 and the LV/MIN pick prevails ! ✊ Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ludawg23 1,982 Posted December 7, 2020 Share Posted December 7, 2020 And I am out with that Seattle loss. What a day...GL to those who are still alive. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hezagenius 17 Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Let's hope for a SEA bounce back against NYJ this week because I'm going all in with all my picks Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GurleyTHIRTY 124 Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Squeaked by with the Vikings win. I had the Titans picked for next week but there are still around 150 survivors in my 3,000 person tournament. The dude running it just said yesterday that if there are more that 100 survivors after next week we will start going to picking 2 teams every week. So that might change my pick for this week. Might end up going with the Cowboys in week 14 vs the Bengals. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deejay 35 Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 On 12/6/2020 at 10:12 AM, wekko368 said: Be sure to have a contingency plan in case the Chiefs rest some starters week 17. I have none! Thought of that but unlikely KC has nothing to play for. Especially with Pitt losing. But as long as Mahomes plays 1/2 to 3/4 I am in. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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