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2020 SURVIVOR POOL THREAD


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You do what you feel is best, but I have a rule to never touch ROAD DIVISION RIVALS unless Vegas shows the spread as 10+.   This has generally served me well.

Herbert should smoke this team but if its one coach who would lose to the Jets, it is Anthony Lynn.

You had me til MIA, now we can no longer be friends.

14 minutes ago, Tomy said:

Baltimore ? Against Texans it’s good matchup no?

I try to stay away from road teams as long as possible especially early in season when they're traveling to the home opener of a playoff team from the previous season.Seeing that Houston is sitting at 0-1 would give me concern as well.

That said,I only have one survivor rule that I won't break if at all possible at that's NO divisional road favorites and yes I realize you're game is not that just pointing it out.

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Indy @ home vs the Jets will be a huge favorite and thinking they will easily eclipse 30-40% pick selection.  Type of game I tend to avoid but honestly can't see Indy losing - this Jets team is probably one of the worst run teams in the past decade.

CLE @ home vs Washington

LAC @ home vs CAR without McCaffrey. Their defense alone should be able to keep the Panthers at bay.

Also PHI at home vs Cincy. Hard to see Philly starting off 0-3 but that team is playing awful football currently, especially Wentz but a Cincy defense on tap is a nice, get right game.

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Rolling the dice on CLE this week. If you didn't use them last week, then this is possibly the last chance you'll get to use them all season against the Football Team.

 

Considered LAC also, but I want to wait and see how Herbert looks another game. They also have NYJ and JAX in the future so there will be other opportunities to use the Bolts.

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Anyone thinking about TB? Defense is looking strong, the offense is certainly capable and coming together slowly. Denver missing Lock, Sutton, and Lindsay on offense and Von Miller on defense. I'm picking between them and IND or CLE this week.

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1 minute ago, cbsholy said:

Anyone thinking about TB? Defense is looking strong, the offense is certainly capable and coming together slowly. Denver missing Lock, Sutton, and Lindsay on offense and Von Miller on defense. I'm picking between them and IND or CLE this week.

Took 'em last week.

If I didn't I would have (slight) Driscoll hesitance.  I streamed some defenses against him last year after Stafford went down and he shocked me.  TB's defense looks legit though, so I would say they're pretty safe.

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3 minutes ago, smeeze said:

Going Indy, expecting 95% of the pool to do the same. I'll give it a few more weeks before I start considering contrarian plays. No reason to get cute in week 3.

If you substituted week "1" for "3" you'd have 20% of my pool.

I know, I know, we know the Jets suck worse than the Jags now.  But any given Sunday and all that jazz.  I've seen Rivers cough up a few hairballs in my time.

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4 minutes ago, smeeze said:

Going Indy, expecting 95% of the pool to do the same. I'll give it a few more weeks before I start considering contrarian plays. No reason to get cute in week 3.

 

I'm expecting everyone to use Indy this week too. I don't really trust Indy any other week because Rivers sucks but this is a lock, gotta use them now.

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1 minute ago, JE7HorseGod said:

If you substituted week "1" for "3" you'd have 20% of my pool.

I know, I know, we know the Jets suck worse than the Jags now.  But any given Sunday and all that jazz.  I've seen Rivers cough up a few hairballs in my time.

No doubt - but IMO Rivers could throw half a dozen picks and the Colts still win this game...

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Just now, ludawg23 said:

With Indy @ 40%+ pick percentage, that is an instant no pick for me.

Will have shares of CLE/LAC/TB this weekend.

Agreed. This is a great week for fading the public.

 

1 minute ago, daethfromabove1979 said:

 

I'm expecting everyone to use Indy this week too. I don't really trust Indy any other week because Rivers sucks but this is a lock, gotta use them now.

At home against Cincy week 6?

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Just now, smeeze said:

No doubt - but IMO Rivers could throw half a dozen picks and the Colts still win this game...

LOL probably true.  If you had the ability to pick the team playing the Jets every week you'd be in pretty good shape.

I've just done the "obvious early" picks for a few years in a row and I always get tripped up somewhere.  This year I'm gonna try something different.  What the hell, if it doesn't work out I can always go back to the boring plays next year.

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5 minutes ago, smeeze said:

Burrow & Co. scare me more than Darnold & ...

It's not as much of a slam dunk as the Jets are, but it's still a great pick (and the highest Vegas favorites of that week, as of now...). Plus I expect ownership #s to be much lower that week. I dunno, I like to balance ownership levels with win % when making my picks

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Chargers/Eagles/Cardinals all go down.

That Chargers game was wild at the end - Chargers run a hook n ladder play from the 30 yard line and Ekeler couldn't handle Keenan's lateral.  He would have strolled into the endzone untouched as time expired.

Colts demolished the Jets - on to week 4.

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